Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Pilgrim, MI

DISCUSSION
Issued at 118 PM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

Bitterly Cold Temps & Wind Chills Through Next Week:

Temperatures have warmed across the region this afternoon, wind wind chills of 10 to 20 below zero where there was wind. Clear to mostly clear skies for much of the night will once again allow temperatures to plummet precipitously once the sun sets. Lows tonight are expected to be a few degrees warmer, but still fall to 25 to 30 below zero across the north, around 10 below across the Fox Valley, and the single digits below zero across the lakeshore.
Winds tonight are expected to be fairly calm; however, it will only take a few knots of wind to send wind chills plummeting to 20 to 35 below zero. In addition, Sunday morning winds are expected to pick up a bit to 5 mph, which will also send wind chills falling despite warming temperatures after sunrise. Therefore, will issue a Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight through noon Sunday as some areas like north-central Wisconsin reach criteria without any wind whatsoever. A few sites could reach Extreme Cold Warning criteria; however, this should be brief and not ubiquitous given the fairly calm winds expected tonight.
Locations may rise above criteria before noon on Sunday, and if they do the headline will be cancelled early as this morning was evidence that the cold wind chills can linger well into the morning.

Temperatures are expected to recover into the single digits above zero pretty much everywhere during the day on Sunday. However, that "warmth" will be short lived as temperatures are expected to once again plummet below zero Sunday night. Lows Sunday night are expected to range from the upper teens below zero across the north, to the single digits below zero across the Fox Valley and lakeshore. A tightening pressure gradient due to a low passing through the Ohio Valley will cause winds to be a bit more gusty Sunday night, with wind speeds of 5 to 10 mph for much of the night. This will once again send wind chills plummeting Sunday night to 20 to 35 below zero, likely necessitating a Cold Weather Advisory Sunday night into Monday morning.

Temperatures will only slowly moderate next week as the arctic air loosens its grip on the region, but it will remain well below normal. Highs will recover into the single digits and eventually teens above zero, but wind chills are expected to continue to be below zero for much of next week, with only brief times above zero some afternoons.

Snow Chances:

As a strong winter storm impacts the Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic this weekend, a lake effect snow band is expected to develop over Lake Michigan as winds converge across the central/eastern part of the lake. Winds will attempt to shift to the northeast for a time late tonight into Sunday, allowing to band to drift toward the WI shore line. However, latest CAMs showing it is unlikely to make it, keeping the snow chances offshore. LREF and NBM probabilities of measurable snow are under 15%; therefore, will keep the forecast dry.

A clipper will race across the northern Great Lakes Monday night, bringing the next chance for light snow. It looks to be rather moisture-starved and will be quick mover, so not expecting much in the way of accumulation. LREF showing probs of measurable precip ranging from 20% over Wood County to near 80% near the MI border. But probs of over a half inch are under 10%. NBM not as excited about this snow chance, which keeps things basically dry.
Given the NWP model consensus will introduce a chance (20-30%) for light snow Monday night as the mid level shortwave is quite vigorous and the high snow ratios mean it will not take much to squeeze out some snow. This appears to be another high chance-low QPF event that the NBM typically underforecasts per previous events this winter. Northwest winds behind the clipper could touch of a few lake effect snow showers across north-central Wisconsin into Tuesday and Wednesday.

AVIATION
for 18Z TAF Issuance Issued at 1054 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

VFR conditions and winds under 10 kts are expected through the TAF period. Look for mid and high clouds to continue to spread over the region, with some lower clouds possible at/near MTW tonight as a large storm system passes well to our south.

GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Sunday for WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074.