Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Manistee Lake, MI
February 19, 2025 3:58 AM EST (08:58 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 7:29 AM Sunset 6:16 PM Moonrise 12:50 AM Moonset 10:10 AM |
LMZ323 Grand Traverse Bay South Of A Line Grand Traverse Light To Norwood Mi- 310 Am Est Wed Feb 19 2025
Today - North wind 5 to 10 knots. Slight chance of snow showers through the day. Waves 2 to 3 feet.
Tonight - North wind 5 to 10 knots. Chance of snow showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday - North wind 10 to 15 knots. Chance of snow showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday night - Northwest wind 10 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
see the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.
see the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.
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Area Discussion for Gaylord, MI
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FXUS63 KAPX 190754 AFDAPX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 254 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- Lake effect snow continues today with accumulations up to 1 to 3 inches near Lk Michigan coastal communities.
- Warming trend thru this weekend/early next week, high temps rise into the 30s.
- Chance for occasional light snow showers this weekend.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 248 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Forecast Pattern... Light lake effect snow chances will continue through sunrise this morning. Light winds and light snowfall rates will lead to minimal impacts from falling snow this morning. The only exception is the far east coastal locations of Presque Isle county where more moderate snowfall likely exists. This band has mostly been off shore, and will continue to only impact areas of a few miles inland. Winds will become north and light as a surface trough slides SW over northern lower. This will diminish LES chances for NW lower today and focus light to moderate bands of snow over areas along and south of M-72 and west of I-75. Light north to northeast winds will spread over all of northern MI and should push most LES chances off shore by this evening. A brief break in snow this evening, before more widespread light snowfall begins around midnight. Accumulations from this look to remain less than one inch for most locations.
Forecast Details... A band of LES just off the coast of Presque Isle county has been gradually weakening over the past few hours (evident in radar and surface obs show only ~2 mb gradient to capture the surface troughing). North winds through the column over Ontario CAN will continue to push the troughing southwestward this morning.
Winds remain on the lighter side (<15mph), with little steering flow or forcing aloft (a weak deformation zone). Most CAMs hint at a possible meso-low forming near Traverse City a few hours after sunrise this morning. Soundings depict a DGZ saturation of ~2-4kft which is sufficient for more moderate to times of heavy snowfall.
This should result in areas along and south of M-72 and west of I-75 seeing generally light snow with times of more moderate and local spots of heavier snowfall this morning through the late afternoon hours. Most places in the aforementioned area will see up to 1 to 3 inches of snow falling this morning through this afternoon, with the possibility of locally higher amounts up to 4 to 5 inches. More confidence will exist in the location of highest amounts once the formation of a meso-low is seen.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Issued at 248 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Upper low begins to depart during the day on Thursday, with northerly flow and lingering moisture contributing to snow showers across the shorelines of Lakes Michigan and Huron, especially the former. However, as heights begin to rise and fcst soundings display waning low level instability/moisture, much of the activity through the day on Friday should diminish/be diminished.
Quick troughing/vort maxes move through this weekend, with a chance for scattered generally light snow showers. Guidance develops a low pressure system to the west later Sunday into early next week, which will advect a warmer airmass into N MI. Consequently, high temperatures rise into the 30s to end the weekend and into early next week and southwesterly winds remain dominant. Unclear on the exact track of this system, but guidance shows a low pressure system moving in the vicinity of the Great Lakes N MI region spreading precipitation. Thus, there will be chances for wet snow/maybe a bit of rain showers possible on Monday. Best chances to see some accumulation will be across E UP, where the airmass will be coolest and perhaps near the better forcing as hinted at by ENS guidance.
AVIATION /006 TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 959 PM EST Tue Feb 18 2025
Mostly VFR to MVFR conditions through this taf period. Will need to watch for some brief periods of IFR visibilities in snow showers this afternoon and evening...especially at KTVC and KMBL. Light northwest winds through the period.
APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 254 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- Lake effect snow continues today with accumulations up to 1 to 3 inches near Lk Michigan coastal communities.
- Warming trend thru this weekend/early next week, high temps rise into the 30s.
- Chance for occasional light snow showers this weekend.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 248 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Forecast Pattern... Light lake effect snow chances will continue through sunrise this morning. Light winds and light snowfall rates will lead to minimal impacts from falling snow this morning. The only exception is the far east coastal locations of Presque Isle county where more moderate snowfall likely exists. This band has mostly been off shore, and will continue to only impact areas of a few miles inland. Winds will become north and light as a surface trough slides SW over northern lower. This will diminish LES chances for NW lower today and focus light to moderate bands of snow over areas along and south of M-72 and west of I-75. Light north to northeast winds will spread over all of northern MI and should push most LES chances off shore by this evening. A brief break in snow this evening, before more widespread light snowfall begins around midnight. Accumulations from this look to remain less than one inch for most locations.
Forecast Details... A band of LES just off the coast of Presque Isle county has been gradually weakening over the past few hours (evident in radar and surface obs show only ~2 mb gradient to capture the surface troughing). North winds through the column over Ontario CAN will continue to push the troughing southwestward this morning.
Winds remain on the lighter side (<15mph), with little steering flow or forcing aloft (a weak deformation zone). Most CAMs hint at a possible meso-low forming near Traverse City a few hours after sunrise this morning. Soundings depict a DGZ saturation of ~2-4kft which is sufficient for more moderate to times of heavy snowfall.
This should result in areas along and south of M-72 and west of I-75 seeing generally light snow with times of more moderate and local spots of heavier snowfall this morning through the late afternoon hours. Most places in the aforementioned area will see up to 1 to 3 inches of snow falling this morning through this afternoon, with the possibility of locally higher amounts up to 4 to 5 inches. More confidence will exist in the location of highest amounts once the formation of a meso-low is seen.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Issued at 248 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Upper low begins to depart during the day on Thursday, with northerly flow and lingering moisture contributing to snow showers across the shorelines of Lakes Michigan and Huron, especially the former. However, as heights begin to rise and fcst soundings display waning low level instability/moisture, much of the activity through the day on Friday should diminish/be diminished.
Quick troughing/vort maxes move through this weekend, with a chance for scattered generally light snow showers. Guidance develops a low pressure system to the west later Sunday into early next week, which will advect a warmer airmass into N MI. Consequently, high temperatures rise into the 30s to end the weekend and into early next week and southwesterly winds remain dominant. Unclear on the exact track of this system, but guidance shows a low pressure system moving in the vicinity of the Great Lakes N MI region spreading precipitation. Thus, there will be chances for wet snow/maybe a bit of rain showers possible on Monday. Best chances to see some accumulation will be across E UP, where the airmass will be coolest and perhaps near the better forcing as hinted at by ENS guidance.
AVIATION /006 TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 959 PM EST Tue Feb 18 2025
Mostly VFR to MVFR conditions through this taf period. Will need to watch for some brief periods of IFR visibilities in snow showers this afternoon and evening...especially at KTVC and KMBL. Light northwest winds through the period.
APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
GTLM4 - Grand Traverse Light, MI | 48 mi | 78 min | WNW 17G | 17°F | 30.44 | |||
CYGM4 - Cheybogan, MI | 71 mi | 28 min | WNW 8G | 11°F | 30.45 | 6°F | ||
MACM4 - 9075080 - Mackinaw City, MI | 75 mi | 58 min | NW 2.9G | 8°F | 32°F | 30.35 | 5°F |
Wind History for Mackinaw City, MI
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Airport Reports
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KGOV
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KGOV
Wind History Graph: GOV
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of GreatLakes
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Gaylord, MI,

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