Manistee Lake, MI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Manistee Lake, MI

June 13, 2024 6:58 AM EDT (10:58 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:55 AM   Sunset 9:23 PM
Moonrise 12:01 PM   Moonset 12:46 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LMZ323 Grand Traverse Bay South Of A Line Grand Traverse Light To Norwood Mi- 410 Am Edt Thu Jun 13 2024

Today - Southwest wind 10 to 15 knots becoming west early in the evening. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms early in the morning. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tonight - Light winds. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.

Friday - North wind 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Friday night - Light winds. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in the vicinity of Thunderstorms.
see the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.

LMZ300
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manistee Lake, MI
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Area Discussion for - Gaylord, MI
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FXUS63 KAPX 131022 AFDAPX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 622 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Isolated severe storms will be possible across northern Michigan this afternoon.

- Temperatures building next week to potential record breaking highs.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 349 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Pattern Synopsis:

Low amplitude shortwave/jet max looks to punch across the Great Lakes today as the parent longwave trough amplifies over the region into Friday. Forcing provided aloft will result in surface low pressure deepening along an advancing cold front from Quebec back across the central Great Plains, which is set to swing across the area this afternoon.

Forecast Details:

Isolated severe storms possible this afternoon -- Ongoing thunderstorms across parts of northern Michigan will continue to track east and gradually weaken with time this morning amidst fumes of elevated instability. Severe storms are not anticipated through the morning hours. A break in thunderstorm chances is anticipated later this morning before additional scattered storms develop along/ahead of the aforementioned cold front this afternoon. The best chances for storms seem to be split, with one area of higher storm chances coming across the eastern U.P./Tip of the Mitt and another south of M-72. Thunderstorms this afternoon will be in the presence of strong buoyancy (~2,000 J/kg MLCAPE) and deep-layer shear (~40 kts). Forecast hodographs display shear that is relatively evenly distributed through the vertical profile, increasing the likelihood for organized storms later today -- a few of which could be strong to severe. Large hail and damaging wind gusts will be possible with any strong storms that develop. While not necessarily expected, a tornado or two will be possible with any strong storms as well. These thoughts are echo'd by SPC as the Day 1 Convective Outlook highlights a 2% tornado probability area across most of the northern lower peninsula. Otherwise, temperatures looks to warm into the low to mid 80s for many areas south of the bridge today before the cold front swings through, dropping temperatures back into the upper 40s and low 50s tonight.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 349 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Midlevel zonal flow with an internal jet maxima across the northern half of the CONUS will continue chances of showers and storms at times due to embedded height disturbances. Ridging currently over southwestern U.S will progress over upper Midwest at the start of the forecast period and build surface level high pressure.

Biggest focus for the entirety of the long term is the temperatures building well above normal as the aformentioned midlevel flow advects northward. Chances of precipitation is still expected at times with convective storms along with weak frontal passages but diurnal heating to near record breaking temperatures through the majority of the work week.

Primary Forecast Concerns/Key Messages:

-Temperatures building next week to potential record breaking highs: Surface high pressure will build at the start of the long term resulting in dry and pleasant weather pattern this weekend.
Clear skies and sinking air will result in cool overnight lows (especially Friday night) and daytime highs in the upper 70s to low 80s for the weekend. Attention quickly turns toward the start of the next work week as midlevel ridging strengthens across the eastern half of the U.S allowing for hot and humid air to build across the CWA (humid for northern Michigan). Long range guidance is hinting at Tuesday and Wednesday being the hottest during the entirety of the long term with daytime highs near 90 degrees for most locations while overnight lows remain in the upper 60s/low 70s. Enough atmospheric energy will trigger come convective showers and thunderstorms at times next week that would aid in cooling localized locations, but overall northern Michigan will remain warm until a cold front finally puts an end to the heat around the Thursday timeframe.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 622 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Mainly VFR conditions are expected across northern Michigan TAF sites through the issuance period. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon, potentially impacting TAF sites -- with the best chances coming between 18Z-00Z. Southwest winds will increase to 10-15 kts today with gusts to around 25 kts at times through this afternoon. Winds will eventually turn northwesterly and weaken this evening after a cold front swings across the area.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
GTLM4 - Grand Traverse Light, MI 48 mi79 minSW 11G14 65°F 29.73
CYGM4 - Cheybogan, MI 71 mi69 minS 1G8.9
MACM4 - 9075080 - Mackinaw City, MI 75 mi59 minSW 7G8.9 63°F 60°F29.6460°F


Wind History for Mackinaw City, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KGOV GRAYLING AAF,MI 11 sm63 minW 0610 smPartly Cloudy68°F55°F64%29.76
KACB ANTRIM COUNTY,MI 24 sm23 mincalm10 smClear68°F57°F68%29.74


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Gaylord, MI,




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