Tuesday, March31, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Chazy, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 7:21PM Tuesday March 31, 2020 4:28 PM EDT (20:28 UTC) Moonrise 10:42AMMoonset 1:42AM Illumination 53% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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SLZ024 Expires:201912312230;;648039 Fzus61 Kbuf 311749 Glfsl Forecast For The Saint Lawrence River Including The Thousand Islands Region National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 1249 Pm Est Tue Dec 31 2019 Slz022-024-312230- Saint Lawrence River From Cape Vincent To Saint Regis 1249 Pm Est Tue Dec 31 2019
This afternoon..South winds 5 to 15 knots. Snow showers and numerous rain showers.
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Lake effect snow showers in the evening, then a chance of snow showers after midnight.
Wednesday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Cloudy.
Wednesday night..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Mostly cloudy.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Rain and snow showers likely Thursday night.
Friday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Rain showers.
Saturday..East winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. Rain showers during the day, then snow and rain showers likely Saturday night. The saint lawrence seaway has closed for the 2019 navigation season, therefore the forecast for the saint lawrence river has been discontinued. The forecast will resume in the spring when the river opens for navigation.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chazy, NY
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location: 44.83, -73.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 311919 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 319 PM EDT Tue Mar 31 2020

SYNOPSIS. Weak high pressure building into the region this afternoon will continue to bring clearing skies this evening and dry weather on Wednesday with increasing clouds through the day. Light rain and snow showers are expected for eastern portions of the area Thursday before high pressure returns for Friday and the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. As of 318 PM EDT Tuesday . As surface low pressure exited offshore today we've seen a nice decrease in sky cover from north to south as some weak surface high pressure has built into the region. Clearing skies will continue this afternoon and into this evening, but clouds are expected to increase again late tonight through Wednesday as north-northeasterly flow around an upper level low streams low-level moisture back into the region. Not expecting any precipitation during the day tomorrow, but in the evening and overnight there could be some spotty drizzle, freezing drizzle or snow across eastern areas towards daybreak Thursday. Temps through the period will be seasonal with lows mainly in the 20s tonight with some spot teens, highs Wednesday ranging through the 40s, and lows Wednesday night in the mid 20s to mid 30s.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. As of 318 PM EDT Tuesday . A disorganized upper low continues to spin just offshore. A trough on the backside of the low will pivot from Maine into the North Country and then south. As that does, a push of mid-level warm advection with modest isentropic lift depicted at the 300K isentrope and some deformation should support enough upward motion for scattered to numerous showers, mainly over Eastern Vermont. As Thursday morning dawns, some drizzle could be falling with atmospheric profiles still not completely saturated. Once it does, we should see drizzle transition to a rain/snow mix owing to the marginal boundary layer temperatures. As temperatures warm during the day, this should transition to rain. Highs are expected to reach the 40s, except at the higher summits, where some light snow should continue. Any accumulations are expected to by minor (< 1") and generally about 2000ft elevation upwards and in eastern VT. Some of the high peaks could see 1"-2".

During the evening, backside trough pushes into the upper low's southern hemisphere along with a more potent shortwave. This should allow the upper low to translate more eastwards and bring an upper ridge with weak surface high into the region overnight. With abundant cloud covered and recycled maritime air, most areas will stay above freezing overnight. Isolated chances for light showers will continue overnight.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 318 PM EDT Tuesday . A deep layer ridge will set up over the North Country for the weekend. Precipitation chances will gradually decrease, though it may take skies a bit longer to follow suit. Temperature trends will feature a steady climb into the start of next week.

A weak area of low pressure will then traverse far northern Quebec Province and drag a weak cold front across the North Country. The dynamics associated with the front are not impressive, and the moisture available is sub-par. There are several pieces of shortwave energy around, but they are all fairly weak, and available NWP does not really agree all that much. Nevertheless, it should temporarily halt the warm up with only low precipitation chances expected at this time. A stronger system will progress towards the Great Lakes for the middle of the week, and that should allow the warming trend to resume.

AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Through 12Z Wednesday . Mainly VFR expected through the period with lingering MVFR at KRUT for a couple more hours, and additional MVFR at KMSS after 12Z tomorrow. Brisk NNE winds this afternoon of 10-20kts will abate tonight and return tomorrow at 5-10kts.

Outlook .

Wednesday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance SHSN. Thursday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Likely SHRA, Chance SHSN. Thursday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Chance SHRA, Chance SHSN. Friday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Saturday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. VT . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . Lahiff NEAR TERM . Lahiff SHORT TERM . Haynes LONG TERM . Haynes AVIATION . Lahiff


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Plattsburgh International Airport , NY13 mi36 minNNE 12 G 1810.00 miFair48°F23°F37%1016.9 hPa
Franklin County State Airport, VT17 mi34 minN 7 G 1710.00 miFair51°F19°F29%1016.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPBG

Wind History from PBG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE8S12SE9SE7SE6SE8SE8SE8SE6SE3E3NE3CalmNW3N6N11N9N8NE11N9NE10NE13NE13NE12
G18
1 day agoS16
G23
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G29
S14
G25
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S8SE11SE11SE7SE6SE4SE10S8S6SE11S12SE9SE14SE11SE14
G23
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2 days agoSE8E6SE4CalmS3CalmCalmSE4SE5SE4CalmSE4SE3SE6CalmSE7SE8SE11SE12S11S11
G20
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G16
SE13
G18
S12
G23

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.