Chazy, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Chazy, NY

June 22, 2024 12:19 AM EDT (04:19 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:06 AM   Sunset 8:45 PM
Moonrise 10:01 PM   Moonset 5:04 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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SLZ024 Expires:202406220315;;427327 Fzus61 Kbuf 212051 Glfsl
forecast for the saint lawrence river including the thousand islands region national weather service buffalo ny 451 pm edt Fri jun 21 2024
slz022-024-220315- saint lawrence river from cape vincent to saint regis 451 pm edt Fri jun 21 2024

Tonight - Northeast winds less than 10 knots. A chance of showers after midnight.

Saturday - Light and variable winds. A chance of showers early, then showers likely late in the morning. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Saturday night - Northeast winds less than 10 knots becoming east. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Sunday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Sunday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then just a chance of showers and Thunderstorms overnight.

Monday - Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Tuesday - Southwest winds 10 knots or less. A chance of showers Tuesday night.

Wednesday - Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

SLZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chazy, NY
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Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 220238 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 1038 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

SYNOPSIS
Unsettled weather will continue through the weekend as a frontal boundary wavering over the region will result in repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms. Ponding on low lying roads may be possible Sunday with heavier showers and storms. Temperatures will be much more seasonable through the weekend, as well, with highs generally in the 70s and 80s.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 1038 PM EDT Friday...Further small adjustments were made to PoPs with a combination of the latest radar data and the 00Z model guidance. Still some uncertainty to the coverage and location of overnight showers and thunderstorms, but generally good consensus that they will blossom along a boundary that has sunk southward into northern Vermont this evening. Still looks marginal for thunder, but any elevated storms that could develop will produce downpours and frequent lightning.

Previous Discussion... A cold front sinking southward across southern Vermont into southern New England this evening will be the focus of showers and thunderstorms. Showers and thunderstorms along the southern zones of our forecast area could be locally heavy with precipitable water values up to 1.75 inches. Thunderstorms are not anticipated to be severe within the bounds of our forecast area, however, some may be gusty in those southern zones, closest to the core of high CAPE values.

Showers and thunderstorms will dwindle into the overnight hours as daytime heating wanes, however, many high resolution models are showing a resurgence of showers as the frontal boundary lifts northward back into our forecast area early tomorrow morning. We're expecting up to a couple tenths of an inch of rain throughout the night. In addition to the return of showers, patchy fog is expected to return overnight tonight. Lows tonight will fall into the upper 50s to mid 60s, remaining 5-10 degrees above seasonal averages.

Chances of showers and thunderstorms resurge tomorrow along the frontal boundary in our forecast area, and the primary threat with these will be heavy rainfall with deep warm cloud layers about 12000 feet. We are within the marginal area of WPC's Excessive Rainfall Outlook, indicating at least 5% risk of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance within 25 miles of a point as precipitable water values approach 2 inches in spots. Overall expected rain amounts from the daytime hours tomorrow will be 0.15-0.35", but locally higher in heavy storms. Some of these storms could be a bit gusty with modest instability and shear present, but overall we are not anticipating widespread severe weather. Highs tomorrow will rise into the 70s for most, near seasonable.

Tomorrow night, a low pressure will ride the stalled frontal boundary through our forecast area as a larger scale system approaches from the west. Precipitable water and warm cloud depths continue to look favorable for heavy rain throughout the night.
We're forecasting 0.10-0.90" of rain throughout the night, but locally more in heavy showers or thunderstorms. Lows tomorrow night will be similar to tonight, with temperatures falling into the 60s for most.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 328 PM EDT Friday...Sunday will be another active weather day.
A surface low, potentially even sub-1000mb, will track east over the Great Lakes region and drive Saturday's warm front to the north.
Depending on how far north it goes, we may land solidly within the warm sector with some partial clearing. What will be challenging for vigorous convective development will be the timing of a prefrontal trough. Without a capped environment, any daytime heating will initiate showers and thunderstorms. Although 750-1500 J/kg is most likely, there's conditional chances for reaching 2000 J/kg while 35-40 knots of shear is present. Being positioned so near the warm front still, there may be good to excellent low-level convergence and increased helicity as the low tracks closer. However, if there's too much convective debris, the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms would become more limited. Additionally, precipitable waters remain above 1.5". Given the favorable low-level forcing, there could certainly be locally heavy downpours. Hydro concerns may be non-zero depending on how Saturday evolves. If we deal with a situation where the warm front fails to make appreciable northward progress, then multiple rounds of rain could also take place.

Temperaturewise, conditions will be coolest along the international border near the front, with low to mid 70s. In the typically cooler Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom, mid 70s will also be most likely.
In the broader Champlain and lower Connecticut River Valleys, expect upper 70s to lower 80s. The actual cold front does not arrive until Monday morning. Conditions will remain in the upper 50s to upper 60s, about 5 degrees above normal.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 328 PM EDT Friday...Once low pressure moves east, deep low pressure reaches peak intensity. Decreasing thicknesses, cool northwest flow amidst wrap around showers will result in upper 60s to mid 70s for most (though still near 80 in the southern half of the Connecticut River Valley). The upper low will be slow to shift east initially. Chances for showers will linger into next Tuesday morning. Dry weather only hangs around for 24-36 hours before another cold front sweeps through sometime next Wednesday night or Thursday afternoon. It'll be after this front where it looks like we could see more appreciable drying.

AVIATION /03Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Through 00Z Sunday...A stationary boundary will remained draped across our taf sites for the next 12 to 24 hours with occasional rain showers and a few embedded rumbles of thunder. Greatest potential for thunder will be mainly along and south of a SLK to MPV line early Sat morning and again on Sat aftn. However, confidence in thunder is low attm, so have only mentioned VCSH.
Also, as several waves of showers travel from west to east acrs our taf sites, expect lowering cigs toward MVFR with some intervals of IFR possible toward sunrise on Saturday. Highest potential of several hours of IFR on Sat morning will be MPV/SLK and RUT, where moisture profiles are deeper and boundary layer dwpts are higher. Mainly MVFR cigs prevail on Saturday with occasional showers from time to time, but fcsting exact timing is challenging in crnt setup. Winds are mainly north/northeast at 3 to 6 knots, except east/southeast at Rutland thru the next 24 hours.

Outlook...

Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Likely SHRA, Slight chance TSRA, Patchy BR.
Sunday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Definite SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Monday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Likely SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Tuesday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.

HYDROLOGY
A stalled boundary with rounds of showers and thunderstorms, heavy at times, could produce flash flooding this weekend.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...None.
NY...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KPBG PLATTSBURGH INTL,NY 13 sm26 minWNW 0310 smOvercast66°F63°F88%30.08
KFSO FRANKLIN COUNTY STATE,VT 17 sm24 minno data--
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Wind History graph: PBG
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Tide / Current for Sorel, Quebec
   
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Sorel
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Fri -- 03:45 AM EDT     0.67 meters High Tide
Fri -- 04:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:38 AM EDT     0.67 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 06:35 PM EDT     0.73 meters High Tide
Fri -- 08:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:10 PM EDT     Full Moon
Fri -- 09:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Sorel, Quebec, Tide feet
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Tide / Current for Islets Perces, Quebec
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Islets Perces
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Fri -- 12:35 AM EDT     0.92 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 03:07 AM EDT     0.92 meters High Tide
Fri -- 03:59 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:32 AM EDT     0.88 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 05:42 PM EDT     0.90 meters High Tide
Fri -- 08:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:10 PM EDT     Full Moon
Fri -- 09:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Islets Perces, Quebec, Tide feet
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Burlington, VT,




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