Wednesday, August5, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Chazy, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:43AMSunset 8:15PM Wednesday August 5, 2020 8:41 AM EDT (12:41 UTC) Moonrise 9:43PMMoonset 7:30AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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SLZ024 Expires:202008050330;;944778 Fzus61 Kbuf 050001 Glfsl Forecast For The Saint Lawrence River Including The Thousand Islands Region National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 801 Pm Edt Tue Aug 4 2020 Slz022-024-050330- Saint Lawrence River From Cape Vincent To Saint Regis 801 Pm Edt Tue Aug 4 2020
Tonight..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Scattered showers.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers through early afternoon.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds diminishing to less than 10 knots. Mainly clear.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Sunny.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Mainly clear.
Friday..Light and variable winds. Sunny.
Saturday..Southeast winds less than 10 knots. Sunny.
Sunday..South winds less than 10 knots. Becoming partly cloudy.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chazy, NY
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location: 44.83, -73.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 051054 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 654 AM EDT Wed Aug 5 2020

SYNOPSIS. Much quieter weather day expected across the region with just a few scattered showers this morning, followed by increasing sunshine this afternoon. Temperatures will warm to near normal values with southwest winds. Dry weather is anticipated for the reminder of this week with temperatures slowly climbing to above normal values by the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 645 AM EDT Wednesday . Convection continues acrs the SLV this morning associated with potent 5h vort interacting with sfc based cape values in the 500 to 800 j/kg per latest. Thinking this activity will slowly decrease in areal coverage/intensity this morning as instability decreases acrs the dacks. Have continued to mention likely to cat pops for SLV, but taper to chc for northern CPV and parts of northern VT. Temps under southwest flow will warm into the l/m 70s to lower 80s.

Quick update to expand the areal coverage of precip acrs slv and dacks this morning. In addition, some lightning activity has been detected so have mention schc for thunder in grids from northern NY into extreme northern VT thru 15/16z this morning. Dynamics are strong, so a rumble or two of thunder is possible thru the morning hours. Otherwise, fcst in good shape. Also, we should be able to drop the Ausable River Flood Warning in the next 1 to 2 hours, given the fast rate of fall.

Water vapor imagery shows short wave energy traveling acrs western NY with pocket of PVA and mid lvl moisture. This energy/moisture will continue to swing acrs northern NY this morning and central/northern CPV by 15z and thru northern VT by 18z. Have mention low likely pops for the dacks, but taper values into the chc range acrs the CPV into northern VT for today. Large scale subsidence develops behind short wave energy and sounding show deep layer drying, which should result in clearing skies by early to mid aftn for most locations. Clouds will lingering the longest over the mtns of northern NY and VT. Progged 925mb temps in the 15c to 18c range support highs l/m 70s to lower 80s today, which is very close to normal. Tonight, soundings indicating developing llvl jet of 35 to 45 knots at 4000 feet agl with still some gradient flow acrs our cwa, thinking this will limit fog potential. Temps will drop back into the upper 40s to upper 50s overnight. By Thursday, 1020mb high pres over the central Great Lakes builds into our fa, as mid/upper lvl trof weakens. This will result in dry conditions with just a few fair wx cumulus clouds developing over the trrn. Highs generally in the mid 70s to l/m80s for Thursday.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT/. As of 320 AM EDT Wednesday . Another refreshing night on track for Thursday night. Surface high pressure will stay centered over our area, which will keep flow light. Increasing subsidence may keep a few clouds in the area, but any areas that do clear out have the potential to fog in during the early morning hours. Overnight lows will be in the 50s. The center of the high will shift east during the day and weak southerly flow will commence as a weak warm front moves northward. Can't rule out some isolated showers during the day as the warm front lifts through, especially over southern VT, but still thinking the majority of the area remains dry. Highs will be in the upper 70s to low 80s - a few degrees warmer than the previous day.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 320 AM EDT Wednesday . Great weekend in store for the North Country. Can't rule out a spotty shower or two early Saturday as an upper-level shortwave moves through, but by Saturday afternoon heights will be rising and the area should be mainly dry Surface high pressure builds back in Sunday. so dry throughout . but warmer with highs returning to the mid to upper 80s for most of the area. Southwesterly return flow setting up Monday will usher in a higher PWat air mass. Shower chances increase Monday afternoon with increasing instability and moisture, along with shortwave energy moving through. Temperatures Monday will again be in the mid to upper 80s. Humidity will also be on the increase as dewpoints climb to the mid to upper 60s, and possibly near 70 in parts of the Champlain Valley.

The middle of the week looks to feature warmer and unsettled weather with southwesterly flow continuing to bring in increasing moisture and instability. Temperatures will be above normal in this period with highs in the mid 80s and maybe into the low 90s and dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s.

AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Through 06Z Thursday . Radar shows a broken line of showers and thunderstorms acrs the Saint Lawrence Valley with some lightning. This activity has the highest potential to impact slk/mss with some lightning, brief gusty winds to 30 mph and localized pockets of mvfr/ifr cigs/vis thru 14z. Further east have mention of just vcsh as areal coverage of convection will be decreasing. By aftn expect mainly vfr conditions to prevail at all taf sites with southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Tonight, not anticipating widespread fog/br due to gradient flow and progged 925mb jet of 30 to 35 knots, which will keep llvls mixed.

Outlook .

Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. VT . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . Taber NEAR TERM . Taber SHORT TERM . Duell LONG TERM . Duell AVIATION . Taber


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45178 16 mi42 min SSW 9.7 69°F 73°F1012.4 hPa (+3.4)

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Plattsburgh International Airport , NY13 mi49 minSE 410.00 miPartly Cloudy67°F64°F91%1011.3 hPa
Franklin County State Airport, VT17 mi47 minS 510.00 miMostly Cloudy69°F64°F85%1011.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPBG

Wind History from PBG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8S5S6S9S6S7E4E4N8N14N19
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555CalmCalm4SE6S34SE4
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N6E4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmS3
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmSE84S12
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SE10S8SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS8S6S8SW7
G16

Tide / Current Tables for Sorel, Quebec
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Sorel
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Wed -- 01:06 AM EDT     0.60 meters Low Tide
Wed -- 05:22 AM EDT     0.62 meters High Tide
Wed -- 05:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:26 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 12:27 PM EDT     0.60 meters Low Tide
Wed -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:56 PM EDT     0.65 meters High Tide
Wed -- 09:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.70.60.6

Tide / Current Tables for Islets Perces, Quebec
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Islets Perces
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:41 AM EDT     0.71 meters Low Tide
Wed -- 05:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 05:40 AM EDT     0.72 meters High Tide
Wed -- 07:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 12:17 PM EDT     0.70 meters Low Tide
Wed -- 07:44 PM EDT     0.74 meters High Tide
Wed -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.