Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Woodland, MN
January 24, 2025 4:41 AM CST (10:41 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:39 AM Sunset 5:12 PM Moonrise 3:50 AM Moonset 12:16 PM |
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Area Discussion for Twin Cities, MN
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FXUS63 KMPX 240830 AFDMPX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 230 AM CST Fri Jan 24 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- Temperatures return to late January normals to slightly above normal by early next week. Sneaky cold tomorrow night into Sunday.
- Light snow/flurries possible today and tomorrow, but any accumulations expected to be minimal.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 225 AM CST Fri Jan 24 2025
Today... It'll be another chilly morning with widespread single digits. Temperatures climb back up into the 20s by this afternoon thanks to increased southerly flow ahead of a weak wave. As this wave passes through, model consensus continues to highlight a 2 to 4 hour window of light snow and flurries, especially for areas along and north of I-94. The biggest setback with this wave is the lack of low level moisture. This is why any window that we do see snow would likely occur as saturation deepens during the afternoon and clouds situate within the dendritic growth zone, maximizing snow growth. Many areas could see little to no accumulation depending on how the snow growth aloft stacks up against the drier air below. Latest HRRR gives most areas a 15 percent or less probability of seeing greater than 0.5" of snow, and less than 5 percent for an inch or greater. If any areas were to reach that higher threshold, it would most likely be in west-central Minnesota or parts of western Wisconsin.
Saturday and Sunday... Although the highs show a milder day tomorrow, that might be deceiving... another weak wave moves through, shifting our winds out of the northwest by the evening.
Sustained winds will be about 15 to 20 mph, with gusts up to 30 mph. This quick shot of cold air and gusty winds could tumble wind chills back below zero as early as tomorrow afternoon, lasting through Sunday morning. Meanwhile, isolated to scattered snow showers and flurries are possible during the morning and afternoon. Only localized, minor accumulations are expected.
Next Week... A few more Clippers are possible next week before the rex block begins to dismantle out west. Temperatures are expected to remain mild during this stretch. They could fluctuate up and down a bit as the weak waves move through, however the general trend is up. Speaking of up, our average high temperature begins its gradual climb again starting tomorrow when MSP increases from 23F to 24F. St Cloud already began increasing when it went from 20F to 21F on the 22nd, and Eau Claire will start its climb on the 27th when it goes from 23F to 24F. In other words, the climatologically coldest days of winter are largely behind us... we'll see if this winter plays along though!
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 1057 PM CST Thu Jan 23 2025
Increasing high clouds overnight, then a band of light snow or flurries will swing through for a period of 2-3 hours Friday.
Little or no accumulation expected, but MVFR conditions may accompany the snow.
KMSP...The window for light snow currently looks to be 19-22Z.
Continued a PROB30 for the band for now. Otherwise, no concerns through the period.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ SAT.. MVFR cigs likely. Wind W 15-20G30 kts.
SUN...VFR. Wind WSW 10-15G25 kts.
MON...VFR. Wind WNW 10-15G25 kts.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...None.
WI...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 230 AM CST Fri Jan 24 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- Temperatures return to late January normals to slightly above normal by early next week. Sneaky cold tomorrow night into Sunday.
- Light snow/flurries possible today and tomorrow, but any accumulations expected to be minimal.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 225 AM CST Fri Jan 24 2025
Today... It'll be another chilly morning with widespread single digits. Temperatures climb back up into the 20s by this afternoon thanks to increased southerly flow ahead of a weak wave. As this wave passes through, model consensus continues to highlight a 2 to 4 hour window of light snow and flurries, especially for areas along and north of I-94. The biggest setback with this wave is the lack of low level moisture. This is why any window that we do see snow would likely occur as saturation deepens during the afternoon and clouds situate within the dendritic growth zone, maximizing snow growth. Many areas could see little to no accumulation depending on how the snow growth aloft stacks up against the drier air below. Latest HRRR gives most areas a 15 percent or less probability of seeing greater than 0.5" of snow, and less than 5 percent for an inch or greater. If any areas were to reach that higher threshold, it would most likely be in west-central Minnesota or parts of western Wisconsin.
Saturday and Sunday... Although the highs show a milder day tomorrow, that might be deceiving... another weak wave moves through, shifting our winds out of the northwest by the evening.
Sustained winds will be about 15 to 20 mph, with gusts up to 30 mph. This quick shot of cold air and gusty winds could tumble wind chills back below zero as early as tomorrow afternoon, lasting through Sunday morning. Meanwhile, isolated to scattered snow showers and flurries are possible during the morning and afternoon. Only localized, minor accumulations are expected.
Next Week... A few more Clippers are possible next week before the rex block begins to dismantle out west. Temperatures are expected to remain mild during this stretch. They could fluctuate up and down a bit as the weak waves move through, however the general trend is up. Speaking of up, our average high temperature begins its gradual climb again starting tomorrow when MSP increases from 23F to 24F. St Cloud already began increasing when it went from 20F to 21F on the 22nd, and Eau Claire will start its climb on the 27th when it goes from 23F to 24F. In other words, the climatologically coldest days of winter are largely behind us... we'll see if this winter plays along though!
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 1057 PM CST Thu Jan 23 2025
Increasing high clouds overnight, then a band of light snow or flurries will swing through for a period of 2-3 hours Friday.
Little or no accumulation expected, but MVFR conditions may accompany the snow.
KMSP...The window for light snow currently looks to be 19-22Z.
Continued a PROB30 for the band for now. Otherwise, no concerns through the period.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ SAT.. MVFR cigs likely. Wind W 15-20G30 kts.
SUN...VFR. Wind WSW 10-15G25 kts.
MON...VFR. Wind WNW 10-15G25 kts.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...None.
WI...None.
Airport Reports
Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KFCM FLYING CLOUD,MN | 9 sm | 48 min | SSE 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 1°F | -8°F | 65% | 30.13 | |
KMIC CRYSTAL,MN | 11 sm | 48 min | S 03 | 10 sm | Clear | -0°F | -8°F | 71% | 30.14 | |
KMSP MINNEAPOLISST PAUL INTL/WOLDCHAMBERLAIN,MN | 16 sm | 48 min | ESE 05 | 10 sm | Clear | -0°F | -9°F | 65% | 30.16 | |
KANE ANOKA COUNTYBLAINE (JANES FIELD),MN | 21 sm | 26 min | SE 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 1°F | -6°F | 71% | 30.12 | |
KCFE BUFFALO MUNI,MN | 23 sm | 26 min | calm | 10 sm | Overcast | 1°F | -8°F | 65% | 30.08 | |
KSTP ST PAUL DOWNTOWN HOLMAN FLD,MN | 24 sm | 48 min | SE 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 1°F | -6°F | 71% | 30.18 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KFCM
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KFCM
Wind History Graph: FCM
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of Upper Mississippi Valley
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