Monday, April6, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Menominee, MI

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:20AMSunset 7:27PM Monday April 6, 2020 8:33 PM CDT (01:33 UTC) Moonrise 5:43PMMoonset 6:02AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ521 Green Bay South Of Line From Cedar River To Rock Island Passage And North Of A Line From Oconto Wi To Little Sturgeon Bay Wi- Green Bay South Of Line From Oconto Wi To Little Sturgeon Bay Wi- 337 Pm Cdt Mon Apr 6 2020
Tonight..E wind 5 to 10 kts. Waves 2 ft or less. Cloudy with a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Tuesday..SE wind 5 to 10 kts. Waves 2 ft or less. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..NW wind 5 to 10 kts. Waves 2 ft or less. Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers in the evening then clearing.
Wednesday..SW wind 10 to 15 kts. Waves 2 ft or less. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
LMZ521 Expires:202004070415;;677041 FZUS53 KGRB 062037 NSHGRB Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Green Bay WI 337 PM CDT Mon Apr 6 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ521-522-070415-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Menominee, MI
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location: 45.12, -87.62     debug


Area Discussion for - Green Bay, WI
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FXUS63 KGRB 062355 AFDGRB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Green Bay WI 655 PM CDT Mon Apr 6 2020

Updated aviation portion for 00Z TAF issuance

SHORT TERM. Tonight and Tuesday Issued at 333 PM CDT Mon Apr 6 2020

The short terms focus will be light overnight rain chances, and the setup for active weather on Tuesday.

Tonight, clouds will continue to move into the region as WAA continues aloft. A weak low level jet will bring a light showers chance into the region, focused mainly across central Wisconsin. As dew points rise overnight, some patchy fog development is likely. Any fog is expected to dissipate Tuesday morning as temperatures rise once again.

Tuesday, warm air advection ahead of a cold front will continue. Models continue to suggest dewpoints rising well into the 50s and possibly lower 60s across the east-central region, but this is likely overdone as moisture values that high are exceedingly rare for this time of year. Similarly, the warm front location varies greatly, but a far northern push is unlikely with our current setup. Thus, kept the warmest temperatures in the lower Fox Valley and kept dewpoints a little lower. Highs will range from the upper 40s near the lake to the lower to middle 60s across central Wisconsin.

Active weather-wise for Tuesday, the best upper level support will be in far northern Wisconsin and over the Upper Peninsula of Michigan, near an upper level jet, but this will be away from the best instability. There is some middle level support in the region, with 0-3km shear values at 40+ and mid level lapse rates rising up to 8C/km. Overall, expect severe chances to be small but non- zero, as middle lever support may aid any strong thunderstorms that do manage to develop. Expect that the most likely result however, will be showers, rumbles of thunder, and maybe a few slightly stronger embedded cells.

LONG TERM. Tuesday Night Through Monday Issued at 333 PM CDT Mon Apr 6 2020

A surface low and associated cold front will be moving through the far southeast part of the forecast area early Tuesday evening, so will maintain a small chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. A weak ridge of high pressure will bring dry conditions for the rest of the night, and into Wednesday morning.

A fairly strong cold front and potent short-wave trof will move through the region Wednesday afternoon and evening. Models are not in good agreement on QPF, but the general trend is for lower amounts north and higher amounts south. Will have chance pops north, and likely over the south two tiers of counties. Another mild day is in store, with highs ranging from the lower 50s northwest and near the lakeshore, to the upper 50s and lower 60s elsewhere. Have boosted the winds and gusts in the wake of the front Wednesday night into Thursday. Could see gusts to 25 to 35 mph inland on Thursday, along with conditions hazardous to small craft on Lake Michigan. Temperatures will be much cooler on Thursday, with highs ranging from the upper 30s to middle 40s.

Cooler weather is anticipated for the rest of the extended forecast, with several weak frontal systems passing through the region. Most of the systems will have little moisture to work with, with the possible exception of the frontal passage on Saturday afternoon and evening.

AVIATION. for 00Z TAF Issuance Issued at 655 PM CDT Mon Apr 6 2020

VFR conditions early this evening will give way to MVFR conditions by late evening as a warm air advection increases and a warm front approaches from the south. As the warm front approaches, expected fog to develop and ceilings to lower, possibly into the IFR or LIFR range. An upper-level disturbance is also expected to slide across far northern WI and Upper MI Tuesday afternoon, which will help to increase rain chances across the area. The best chances will be toward RHI. Otherwise, scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm could occur at any of the TAF sites from late tonight through the day Tuesday. Conditions will likely improve by Tuesday evening as a cold front shifts east of the area.

GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NONE.

SHORT TERM . Uhlmann LONG TERM . Kieckbusch AVIATION . Cooley


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MN4 - 9087088 - Menominee, MI 2 mi45 min E 4.1 G 4.1 40°F 39°F1014.7 hPa34°F
NPDW3 - Northport Pier at Death's Door WI 36 mi53 min E 1.9 G 2.9 37°F 1015.2 hPa
KWNW3 - 9087069- Kewaunee, WI 46 mi45 min ENE 1 G 5.1 39°F 1014.2 hPa

Wind History for Menominee, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Menominee - Marinette Twin County Airport, MI1 mi37 minESE 610.00 miOvercast41°F30°F67%1015.4 hPa
Door County Cherryland Airport, WI23 mi37 minESE 410.00 miOvercast40°F35°F83%1015.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMNM

Wind History from MNM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE5E4E6SE6SE8SE8E6E6SE5SE7SE5SE6
1 day agoSE5CalmCalmCalmNW3CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4SE6SE4SE7SE9SE9SE11SE11S6SE6E3
2 days agoE5SE4CalmCalmN4N6N6N6N10N11N11
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N7N9N7
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SE11E10E10SE9E6NE3E5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Green Bay, WI (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Green Bay, WI
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.