Menominee, MI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Menominee, MI

June 22, 2024 2:20 AM CDT (07:20 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:05 AM   Sunset 8:42 PM
Moonrise 10:02 PM   Moonset 5:02 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LMZ521 Green Bay South Of Line From Cedar River To Rock Island Passage And North Of A Line From Oconto Wi To Little Sturgeon Bay Wi- Green Bay South Of Line From Oconto Wi To Little Sturgeon Bay Wi- 127 Am Cdt Sat Jun 22 2024

Overnight - NE wind 5 to 10 kts. Patchy fog. Rain showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 ft or less.

Today - NE wind 10 to 15 kts. Patchy fog in the morning. Rain showers and a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 ft or less.

Tonight - N wind 10 to 20 kts. Rain showers likely in the evening. A chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 ft.

Sunday - NW wind 5 to 10 kts. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 ft or less.

LMZ500
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Menominee, MI
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Area Discussion for - Green Bay, WI
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FXUS63 KGRB 220410 AFDGRB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Green Bay WI 1110 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Updated aviation portion for 06Z TAF issuance

KEY MESSAGES

- Several rounds of thunderstorms with heavy rain are likely across central and east-central Wisconsin through Saturday evening. The heavy rain could result in flash flooding, especially in urban areas. A Flood Watch for flash flooding is in effect through early Saturday evening along and south of Highway 29.

- Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across central and east-central Wisconsin Saturday afternoon and evening. Damaging winds, a few tornadoes and torrential rainfall will be the primary threats.

- Additional strong to severe thunderstorms are possible Monday night into Tuesday evening.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 210 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Short Term...Tonight and Saturday

Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected across the region through Saturday as a warm front slowly lifts north across the western Great Lakes region. Although the CAMs models aren't in great agreement regarding exact timing and placement of this activity, there seems to be some consensus that another round will track east through the area later this afternoon into early this evening, then again Saturday morning, and yet again Saturday afternoon. The initial rounds should not be surface based, which will limit the severe weather potential. However, moderate to heavy rain is possible from these rounds of rainfall into the early part of the weekend.

Although the first rounds of convection are not expected to be severe, the third round Saturday afternoon could be problematic based on where the warm front ends up. There are some indications the warm front could lift as far north as southern portions of central and east- central Wisconsin, which would mean an increased threat for severe weather as model soundings are quite impressive. Specifically, SBCAPEs could be as high as 1-2 J/g with 0-1 km SRH values of 300 to 600 and Supercell Composite numbers of 3 to 6. There will be quite a bit of instability and low level helicity near the warm front, which will mean an increased threat for wind damage and tornadoes given the curved hodographs. Large hail will not be as big of a threat given the skinny CAPE profiles in the hail growth zone and wet-bulb zero heights of 12-14k ft. That being said, if the warm front ends up being further south due to the convection pushing the front further south, the severe weather threat across our area would be de minimis.

Long Term...Saturday Night Through Friday

The main forecast concerns revolve around thunderstorm and severe weather threats Saturday evening and Monday night through Tuesday evening.

Models show low pressure and an associated warm front moving through EC WI Saturday evening, along with a potential severe weather and heavy rainfall threat. There is some concern about the degree of instability that will be present, as earlier convection could hold the front just south of the area. If everything comes together there could be a damaging wind/tornado/flooding threat in east central WI during the early evening. Short-wave energy moving through northern WI will also support continued showers and isolated storms there.

Although Sunday still looks like the overall better weekend day, a short-wave moving through during the afternoon and early evening is expected to generate scattered showers and a few thunderstorms.

After a brief break in the precipitation Sunday night into Monday, a warm front will bring a chance of storms back into the area Monday night. Substantial instability will develop across the forecast area later Monday night into Tuesday. Strong to severe elevated storms are possible later Monday night, with surface based storms possible ahead of a cold front Tuesday into Tuesday evening.

Mainly low-impact weather expected for the latter half of the work week.

AVIATION
for 06Z TAF Issuance Issued at 1110 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Poor flying conditions will prevail through much/all of the TAF period as periods of showers and storms, low clouds and fog are expected with MVFR/IFR/LIFR conditions. A lull in the heavier rain/storms will continue late this evening. Another more widespread batch of showers and storms is expected to spread west to east overnight into Saturday morning. Heavy rain and lightning will be the main threats from this activity. Another round is expected Saturday afternoon/early evening, but questions just how far north the more significant storms will be able to form. Trends have been to keep most of the activity south of the area, possibly clipping ATW/MTW, which looks to a more favorable outcome as the large area of showers/storms in southern MN and northern IA should help keep the front from working northward.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 210 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Rainfall reports from this initial batch of thunderstorms that moved through this morning and early this afternoon indicate that anywhere from 0.70 to around 1 inch of rain fell from this activity. Several more rounds of rainfall are expected later this afternoon through Saturday, each round possibly producing 0.50 to 1 inch of rain, for a total of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts possible. The highest amounts appear to be across central and east-central Wisconsin where the heaviest rains will likely hit these areas several times. Therefore, will issue a Flood Watch for central and east-central Wisconsin through Saturday.

GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Flood Watch through Saturday evening for WIZ030-031-035>040-045- 048>050.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
MN4 - 9087088 - Menominee, MI 2 mi50 minNNE 9.9G9.9 62°F 71°F30.0360°F
CBRW3 - Chambers Island, WI 15 mi40 minN 6G9.9 62°F
NPDW3 - Northport Pier at Death's Door WI 36 mi80 minN 6G8.9 61°F 30.11
GBWW3 45 mi50 minENE 8G12 65°F 30.02
KWNW3 - 9087069- Kewaunee, WI 46 mi50 minNNE 8G14 60°F 30.02


Wind History for Menominee, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KMNM MENOMINEE RGNL,MI 1 sm23 minENE 0610 smOvercast61°F61°F100%30.08
KSUE DOOR COUNTY CHERRYLAND,WI 22 sm24 minENE 0710 smOvercast61°F59°F94%30.07
KOCQ OCONTOJ DOUGLAS BAKE MUNI,WI 23 sm25 minNNE 0410 smOvercast61°F59°F94%30.06
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Wind History graph: MNM
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Green Bay, WI,




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