Richford, VT Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Richford, VT

June 17, 2024 1:16 AM EDT (05:16 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:00 AM   Sunset 8:45 PM
Moonrise 4:29 PM   Moonset 2:02 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Richford, VT
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Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 170209 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 1009 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
The pleasant weekend we experienced will be a distant memory soon enough. Temperatures warm sharply over the next couple of days leading to the warmest temperatures seen in the area in several years. Be sure to take appropriate precautions to avoid heat stress Tuesday through Thursday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 1001 PM EDT Sunday...No big changes with this update.
Increasing cloud cover and increasing southerly winds will keep us significantly warmer than the past several night with lows in the 60s across the region.

Previous Discussion...High clouds have built into the CWA over the past several hours. These clouds along with southerly winds will keep temperatures considerably higher than we saw last night. A weak warm front will pass through Northern New York and Vermont on Monday, with high temperatures close to 10F warmer than today.
Areas close to the Canadian border will have a chance of showers overnight, spreading into the Dacks by Monday morning. These scattered showers will not linger and lift out by Monday afternoon.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 339 PM EDT Sunday...
HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...

* Key points: A prolonged period of dangerous to potentially extreme heat is expected across the majority of the North Country and all of Vermont Tuesday through Thursday. This is a rare and potentially life threatening event for our region, with little to no overnight relief expected. Impacts are likely to some health systems, heat sensitive industries, and infrastructure.

The forecast remains relatively unchanged for the period with an anonymously strong near 560dm 500mb ridge situated to our south through the period, with daily rises of 925mb temperatures to +25- 27C along the spine of the Appalachians and points westward. With efficient mixing to 925mb and above, high temperatures are expected to rise to near or above record levels in the 90s, with ensemble probabilities still flirting with the potential for a few 100s on Wednesday. Adding to the heat are PWATs in excess of 150% of normal which will be felt at the surface as dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s which will result in heat indices in excess of 95 degrees, and potentially up to 105 degrees for portions of the Champlain, St.
Lawrence, and southern Connecticut River Valleys. Adding to the misery is that overnight lows won't provide much relief, only falling off into the upper 60s to low 70s, which provides a cumulative impact to the heat. Experimental NWS Heat Risk highlights all of this well, forecasting major to extreme heat conditions across the region, and warrants people to be extra vigilant of your health, drinking plenty of water and avoiding prolonged strenuous activity during the hottest time of day. Be sure to check up on your family, friends, neighbors, and those most vulnerable to heat.

The threat for precipitation is additionally non-zero through the period, though the likelihood is low outside of the chance for an isolated storm to develop on the daily lake breeze or over the Adirondacks. If something could get going though, the potential for heavy rain and/or a wet microburst does exist given how juiced the airmass will be. The best chance for any precipitation will be on Thursday as a weak pre-frontal trough approaches from the north and could provide enough synoptic support near the international border to produce isolated to scattered storms.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 339 PM EDT Sunday...A much welcomed front arrives Thursday night into Friday providing relief from the heat, and likely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Timing of the front remains uncertain, and an earlier arrival Thursday evening/night could provide greater potential for stronger storms across northern zones, while southern areas will see the best chance Friday afternoon. High pressure builds into the region briefly for Friday night, with rising chances for showers and thunderstorms on the weekend.

AVIATION /02Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Through 00Z Tuesday...It will be a quiet 24 hour TAF period all things considered, with prevailing VFR conditions at all sites as ceilings remain high. There is a shortwave that is expected to ride through or north of the forecast area tomorrow, but conditions are too dry for much precipitation to reach the ground, let alone lower visibilities at TAF sites.

The only real piece of interest over the next 24 hours will be wind directions and speeds changing. Winds are generally calm or light and variable as of Sunday evening, but should begin to increase around the 02Z-12Z Monday time frame, generally out of the south. Gusts 15-25 knots out of the south/southwest are anticipated at BTV and SLK from 11Z-21Z Monday. Meanwhile, other sites could have sustained winds up to around 15 knots. MSS may experience some low level wind shear around 09Z-12Z Monday as a weakening low level jet brushes by associated with the previously mentioned shortwave.

Outlook...

Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Chance TSRA.
Thursday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Friday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, Chance TSRA.

CLIMATE
Hot temperatures will result in values near records by the middle of next week. Below are some of the records under threat of being broken.

Record High Temperatures:

June 18: KBTV: 97/1994 Forecast 98 KMPV: 93/1994 Forecast 93 KPBG: 94/1994 Forecast 93 KMSS: 97/1994 Forecast 94 KSLK: 94/1907 Forecast 93

June 19: KBTV: 100/1995 Forecast 98 KMPV: 95/1995 Forecast 94 KPBG: 93/2001 Forecast 94 KMSS: 94/1955 Forecast 93 KSLK: 93/1994 Forecast 92

June 20: KBTV: 95/2012 Forecast 94 KMPV: 90/2020 Forecast 92 KPBG: 94/1964 Forecast 92 KMSS: 92/2012 Forecast 91 KSLK: 92/1995 Forecast 89

Record Low Temperatures:

June 16: KSLK: 32/2020 Forecast 30

Record High Minimum Temperatures:

June 19: KPBG: 70/1949 Forecast 70

June 20: KPBG: 70/1953 Forecast 72 KSLK: 68/2012 Forecast 68

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 8 PM EDT Thursday for VTZ001>011-016>021.
NY...Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 8 PM EDT Thursday for NYZ026>029-031-035-087.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
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Wind History graph: FSO
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Tide / Current for Sorel, Quebec
   
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Sorel
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Sun -- 01:45 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:01 AM EDT     0.59 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 12:04 PM EDT     0.60 meters High Tide
Sun -- 03:23 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:43 PM EDT     0.57 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 08:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Sorel, Quebec, Tide feet
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Tide / Current for Islets Perces, Quebec
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Islets Perces
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Sun -- 01:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 01:52 AM EDT     0.88 meters High Tide
Sun -- 04:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:12 AM EDT     0.87 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 02:07 PM EDT     0.91 meters High Tide
Sun -- 03:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:59 PM EDT     0.90 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 08:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Islets Perces, Quebec, Tide feet
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Burlington, VT,




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