Mooers, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mooers, NY

June 21, 2024 12:40 PM EDT (16:40 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:05 AM   Sunset 8:49 PM
Moonrise 9:11 PM   Moonset 4:06 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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SLZ024 Expires:202406211530;;397096 Fzus61 Kbuf 210837 Glfsl
forecast for the saint lawrence river including the thousand islands region national weather service buffalo ny 437 am edt Fri jun 21 2024
slz022-024-211530- saint lawrence river from cape vincent to saint regis 437 am edt Fri jun 21 2024

Today - Northeast winds 10 knots or less. Mostly cloudy early, then becoming partly Sunny.

Tonight - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable. A chance of showers after midnight. Showers likely late.

Saturday - Light and variable winds. Showers likely in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Saturday night - Northeast winds less than 10 knots becoming east. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Sunday - South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Monday - West winds 10 knots or less. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Tuesday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. A chance of showers Tuesday night.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

SLZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mooers, NY
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Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 211424 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 1024 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

SYNOPSIS
Unsettled weather will continue through the weekend as a frontal boundary wavering over the region will result in repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will be much more seasonable through the weekend, as well, with highs generally in the 70s and 80s.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 1022 AM EDT Friday...Main focus of this morning's update was to slightly increase precipitation chances over the next couple of hours with showers moving across northern New York now and decreasing hourly temperatures over the next few hours.
Widespread cloud cover is keeping temperatures cooler than expected for this time of day in the 60s and lower 70s. With plenty of time for additional heating, we are still expecting to reach the upper 70s and lower 80s this afternoon. Previous discussion below:

Previous discussion...Showers have come to an end early this morning and the frontal boundary now lies draped over southern sections of our forecast area. The front will settle just to our south during the daylight hours, bringing much needed relief from our recent heat wave. However, do expect scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to develop along the front this afternoon, mainly along and south of a line from Tupper Lake NY to Corinth VT.
Severe weather is not anticipated, though thunderstorms will be capable of producing locally heavy rainfall and perhaps some gusty winds, especially over southern Rutland/Windsor Counties. Highs will range from the mid/upper 70s to the lower 80s.

Showers and thunderstorms will wind down this evening as we lose daytime heating, though ample low-level moisture will allow patchy fog to develop again overnight. Lows will be much more comfortable than what we've seen recently, generally in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

Precipitation chances then return for Saturday as the front lifts back north as a warm front. A weak wave of low pressure will slide along the front late Saturday, helping to turn flow back toward the south/southwest and ushering deep moisture northward. PWATs of 2.0 inches will return by the afternoon, and instability returns as CAPE values approach/exceed 1500 J/kg. Hence expect thunderstorms will be possible, especially over the central and southern Adirondacks and south-central VT. 0-6km shear will be somewhat favorable at around 30 kt, so some stronger storms capable of producing gusty winds can't be ruled out. The bigger threat however will be heavy rainfall. Note that the latest Day 2 Convective Outlook from SPC keeps the Marginal Risk just to our south, while the Day 2 Excessive Rainfall Outlook from WPC includes our entire forecast area in a Marginal Risk. Anyone with outdoor plans should stay tuned to forecast updates and be aware of any increasing threats. Highs on Saturday will be in the low 70s to low 80s.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 330 AM EDT Friday...An area of low pressure will pass through the North Country on Sunday, bringing a potential flooding and severe threat. A stalled frontal boundary will be draped across the region Saturday night into Sunday before the center of the low passes through. Along it, there will be strong frontogenetic forcing and a favorable environment for heavy precipitation. PWATs will range between 1.5 to 2 inches and there will be a very deep warm cloud layer to about 12- 13K FT. This boundary will be mostly stationary, so where it sets up there will be heavy rainfall and likely some localized flooding. Right now, the GFS/Euro ensemble guidance favors it setting up over southern Quebec, just over the international border, but the placement has been moving slightly back in forth with each model run. Looking at the deterministic guidance, there will likely be a narrow area of 2-3+ inches of rain with this feature. The WPC ERO highlights the northern part of the region in a slight risk which seems reasonable for now, but if confidence increases that the band will set up north of the region, that will likely need to get removed. South of this front will be able to briefly reach the warm sector of the storm. That looks to cause some marginal instability to develop, at least over southern Vermont, where there is higher confidence that the front will be to the north. Euro/GFS ensembles give southern Vermont around a 40-60 percent chance of seeing higher than 500 J/Kg of CAPE, lowering to close to 0 near the international border. With adequate deep layer shear, there is a severe threat, but with the limited CAPE, it should be on the low end. The cold front will come through late in the day on Sunday and bring the highest chance of severe storms.
Behind the front, temperatures and dew points will gradually drop a little.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 330 AM EDT Friday...Behind the front, the weather pattern remains active. An upper level low moves over the region on Monday.
With cold temperatures aloft, diurnal heating will cause some low- topped convection to develop in the afternoon. However, the severe threat with these should be limited. Brief ridging looks to build in on Tuesday and temperatures look to warm back above normal. A stronger cold front comes through on Wednesday and should finally bring some more refreshing air into the region for the end of the week. There is the potential for severe weather with this frontal passage, but that would depend on the timing of the passage and how much instability will be able to develop ahead if it.

AVIATION /15Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Through 12Z Saturday...Other than localized IFR ceilings through 14z, overall expect early MVFR ceilings to give way to VFR through much of the TAF period. Cloud deck currently hovering 1500-3000 ft will lift to VFR by late morning, remaining so through at least 00z Sat. Scattered showers will develop after 15z, affecting mainly KRUT and KSLK, with little in the way of expected visibility restrictions. Showers end this evening, but another round of patchy fog expected again after 06z, with IFR/LIFR conditions possible, especially at KSLK/KMPV.
Otherwise, MVFR ceilings expected overnight. Light to calm winds will become north/northwest around 5 kt 14z-00z, then trending toward calm overnight.

Outlook...

Saturday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Likely SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Saturday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Likely SHRA.
Sunday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Definite SHRA, Chance TSRA.
Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Likely SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Monday: MVFR. Likely SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Tuesday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...None.
NY...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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Tide / Current for Sorel, Quebec
   
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Sorel
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Fri -- 03:45 AM EDT     0.67 meters High Tide
Fri -- 04:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:38 AM EDT     0.67 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 06:35 PM EDT     0.73 meters High Tide
Fri -- 08:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:10 PM EDT     Full Moon
Fri -- 09:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Sorel, Quebec, Tide feet
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Tide / Current for Islets Perces, Quebec
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Islets Perces
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Fri -- 12:35 AM EDT     0.92 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 03:07 AM EDT     0.92 meters High Tide
Fri -- 03:59 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:32 AM EDT     0.88 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 05:42 PM EDT     0.90 meters High Tide
Fri -- 08:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:10 PM EDT     Full Moon
Fri -- 09:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Islets Perces, Quebec, Tide feet
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Burlington, VT,




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