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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Garden, MI

July 15, 2025 6:16 PM EDT (22:16 UTC)
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Sunrise 6:10 AM   Sunset 9:40 PM
Moonrise 11:03 PM   Moonset 10:30 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
   
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NOTE: Zones were updated 3/20/2025. If your report is out of date, please click Edit
LMZ261 Lake Michigan From Seul Choix Point To Rock Island Passage 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South Of A Line From Seul Choix Point To The Mackinac Bridge And North Of A Line From Charlevoix Mi To South Fox Island 5 Nm Offshore- Lake Michigan From Charlevoix To Point Betsie Mi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan From Point Betsie To Manistee Mi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan From Rock Island Passage To Sturgeon Bay Wi- Lake Michigan From Sturgeon Bay To Two Rivers Wi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan From Two Rivers To Sheboygan Wi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan From Pentwater To Manistee Mi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- 217 Pm Cdt Tue Jul 15 2025
sheboygan wi to pentwater mi north - .

Tonight - South winds to 30 kt diminishing to 10 to 20 kt. Waves 3 to 5 ft subsiding to 1 to 3 ft.

Wednesday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 kt veering to north 10 to 20 kt. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 ft.

Wednesday night - Northeast winds 10 to 20 kt becoming north. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely overnight. Waves 2 to 4 ft.

Thursday - North winds 15 to 25 kt increasing to 30 kt. Waves 4 to 6 ft occasionally to 8 ft.

Thursday night - North winds 15 to 25 kt becoming northeast 10 to 20 kt. Waves 4 to 6 ft occasionally to 8 ft subsiding to 2 to 4 ft.

Friday - East winds 10 to 15 kt backing to west. Waves 1 to 3 ft.

Friday night - East winds 5 to 10 kt becoming south. Waves 1 ft or less.

Saturday - South winds 10 to 15 kt. Chance of showers. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Sunday - North winds 10 to 15 kt increasing to 10 to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
LMZ200
No data

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Garden, MI
   
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Area Discussion for Marquette, MI
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FXUS63 KMQT 151921 AFDMQT

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Marquette MI 321 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

KEY MESSAGES

- Thunderstorms will progress across the western UP this evening. Strong to severe storms will be capable of producing damaging winds and large hail. Training thunderstorms may cause localized flash flooding.

- Sharply cooler Wednesday into Thursday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 204 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Afternoon RAP analysis and GOES satellite imagery reveal a "calm before the storm" as morning convection has cleared the UP and sunny skies have allowed for surface based instability to build upwards of 3000 j/kg atop 60-70 degree dewpoints. Upstream, a slow moving cold frontal boundary has begun to redevelop convection in far western Lake Superior. This boundary will be the focal point for strong to severe storms this afternoon and evening as they progress eastward across the UP. While CAM guidance doesn't have much of a handle on the ongoing convection in the western arm of the lake, current thinking is this line will continue developing into the western shorelines over the next several hours before diving south-east into the central UP counties this evening. With increasing bulk-shear upwards of 35-45 kts, organized convection and embedded supercell features with the upscale growth will bring all severe weather hazards to the table, including damaging winds and hail. Cannot rule out a brief spin up since model soundings showing some modest curvature in the 1-3 km range, especially in the west, though the probability is still quite low (<2%). Guidance suggests this line will peter out as it pushing into the central third with the loss of diurnal instability. While not the main hazard concern, training thunderstorms along the slow moving boundary may produce several inches of rain under the strongest convection. This is highlighted by both the HRRR and REFS ensembles, where 6 hrly PMM shows 1-3" across much of the west and Keweenaw by midnight. Give then more anafrontal structure, additional showers and non-severe thunderstorms will linger overnight.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Issued at 320 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

By Wednesday morning, the cold front will have pushed south out of the UP, ushering in a much cooler airmass. Daytime highs will be noticeably cooler than the previous couple as northerly flow helps cool the western half to the upper 50s and low 60s. Elsewhere across the s-central and eastern third, temps are expected to peak close to 70. Lingering anafrontal showers and sub-severe storms will be the rule for much of Wednesday into Thursday. 12z HRRR and latest NBM guidance suggest a 50-70% chance for an additional 0.5" through Thursday morning across the west-central UP and Keweenaw, with higher probabilities for at least 0.25" for the entire Upper Peninsula. Thursday will remain on the cool side as well with this reaching the upper 60s to low 70s, coolest in the west-central.

As the parent trough and embedded shortwaves passing through the western Great Lakes depart east Thursday afternoon dry weather will finally return to the region, keeping things quiet and seasonable through Friday. A transient shortwave within the broad zonal flow aloft may touch off some showers on Saturday before quiet/dry conditions return Sunday into early next week. From there, deterministic guidance varies on the timing and strength of additional shortwaves traversing the Upper Midwest. Long range ensembles point towards positive height anomalies building in the eastern CONUS while slightly negative anoms fall in the PNW / northern Rockies, leaving the Upper Great Lakes in a favored position for passing shortwaves and active weather through mid-late July.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 204 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Showers and thunderstorms progressing through far western Lake Superior ahead of a cold front will continue east this evening, impacting IWD first ~18-19z, then CMX ~21z, and eventually SAW closer to 00z. Some storms could be strong to severe. Behind the frontal passage, additional showers and non-severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and linger into Wednesday. With an already moist low-level airmass overhead, additional expected rainfall, and cooling temperatures behind the front, cigs will lower at all sites overnight to IFR or potentially LIFR.

MARINE
Issued at 320 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Winds will shift northerly tonight as the cold front pushes south over Lake Superior and stalls over northern Wisconsin. With the stalled front in place periods of showers and thunderstorms are expected through early Thursday morning over Lake Superior. Some of the thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight could produce damaging winds and large hail. Northeast winds gusting to 25kts will develop over western Lake Superior tonight, with gusts to 20kts central and east. Areas of fog are possible this evening and overnight with rain falling into a moist marine airmass. Any fog that forms should diminish on Wednesday as drier air filters into the Upper Great Lakes. The northerly flow should help clear out much of the wildfire smoke tonight and Wednesday. Winds will become light Wednesday night through the weekend.

MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Upper Michigan...
None.
Lake Superior...
None.
Lake Michigan...
None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
45002 - N MICHIGAN- Halfway between North Manitou and Washington Islands. 19 mi36 minS 14G18 70°F 67°F29.9266°F
PNLM4 - 9087096 - Port Inland, MI 33 mi46 minSW 14G16 71°F 67°F29.92
GTLM4 - Grand Traverse Light, MI 41 mi36 minWSW 15G17 80°F 29.94
NPDW3 - Northport Pier at Death's Door WI 46 mi76 minSE 8G13


Wind History for Port Inland, MI
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Airport Reports
   
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KISQ28 sm21 minSSW 10G1510 smClear75°F68°F78%29.92

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of great lakes  
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Gaylord, MI,





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