Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Rouses Point, NY
July 27, 2024 7:45 AM EDT (11:45 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 5:30 AM Sunset 8:29 PM Moonrise 11:34 PM Moonset 1:14 PM |
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Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 270731 AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 331 AM EDT Sat Jul 27 2024
SYNOPSIS
Dry weather will prevail this weekend, with plentiful sunshine and low humidity. The dry weather continues through Monday, but the humidity will begin to increase. Shower chances return for the middle of the week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 331 AM EDT Saturday...It's shaping up to be a pleasant weekend across the region as upper level ridging and surface pressure build into the region. Today will feature mostly clear skies, with northwesterly flow continuing to usher in dry air. Wildfire smoke the fires out west may continue to impact the region tomorrow, possibly making skies hazy tomorrow, but the smokes looks to remain aloft. Daytime highs will be quite seasonable this afternoon, although a few degrees warmer than yesterday, with temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Dewpoints will continue to be in the 50s, making it feel quite comfortable. Another efficient radiational cooling night is expected overnight, with some patchy valley fog possible and overnight lows dropping into the 50s and lower 60s.
Sunday will be a few degrees warmer than today, with high temperatures in the 80s and some locations in the broad valleys nearing 90. Fairly pleasant conditions will continue as the ridge continues to move overhead, with some sunshine and dry weather prevailing.
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 331 AM EDT Saturday...Overall uneventful weather is expected for this period. A retrograding weak low pressure system brings the potential for increased cloud cover to start the new work week. Most of the shower activity does stay east of the Connecticut River valley, however, so have maintained an overall dry forecast across our forecast area on Monday. The increased cloud cover is expected to keep a lid on high temperatures, which should generally top out in the low to mid 80s.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 331 AM EDT Saturday...The upper ridge parked over the Northeast gradually breaks down as we head into mid week and the month of August. Out ahead of the slow- moving upper level trough, PWATs rise to 150 percent of climatological normal so there is the increased risk of heavy rainfall during downpours and embedded thunderstorms.
WPC currently has a Day 5 marginal excessive rainfall outlook for most of our region, which is reasonable given the aforementioned factors. While a stronger storm cannot be ruled out, severe weather looks unlikely at this time given the unimpressive lapse rates and instability parameters. Additionally, while it could get quite muggy with dew points rising into the upper 60s and lower 70s, air temperatures in the mid to upper 80s would keep apparent temperatures generally in the lower 90s. In other words, while it could get quite uncomfortable outside, this is not uncommon for mid summer. Overnight lows would also likely be quite mild, gnarly 60s to lower 70s.
AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Through 06Z Saturday...VFR conditions continue to prevail at all terminals, and are expected for most of the forecast period.
The only exception to VFR conditions would be the development of patchy valley fog overnight, with KSLK, KMPV, and KEFK the most likely to see reduced flight conditions. There is still some uncertainty regarding the fog development, especially with the timing and how much visibilities will drop, however any fog that does develop should dissipate by 12Z. Winds overnight will be light and terrain-driven, becoming northwesterly during the afternoon then becoming light and variable again after sunset.
Outlook...
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Tuesday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Chance TSRA.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Likely SHRA, Chance TSRA.
BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...None.
NY...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 331 AM EDT Sat Jul 27 2024
SYNOPSIS
Dry weather will prevail this weekend, with plentiful sunshine and low humidity. The dry weather continues through Monday, but the humidity will begin to increase. Shower chances return for the middle of the week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 331 AM EDT Saturday...It's shaping up to be a pleasant weekend across the region as upper level ridging and surface pressure build into the region. Today will feature mostly clear skies, with northwesterly flow continuing to usher in dry air. Wildfire smoke the fires out west may continue to impact the region tomorrow, possibly making skies hazy tomorrow, but the smokes looks to remain aloft. Daytime highs will be quite seasonable this afternoon, although a few degrees warmer than yesterday, with temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Dewpoints will continue to be in the 50s, making it feel quite comfortable. Another efficient radiational cooling night is expected overnight, with some patchy valley fog possible and overnight lows dropping into the 50s and lower 60s.
Sunday will be a few degrees warmer than today, with high temperatures in the 80s and some locations in the broad valleys nearing 90. Fairly pleasant conditions will continue as the ridge continues to move overhead, with some sunshine and dry weather prevailing.
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 331 AM EDT Saturday...Overall uneventful weather is expected for this period. A retrograding weak low pressure system brings the potential for increased cloud cover to start the new work week. Most of the shower activity does stay east of the Connecticut River valley, however, so have maintained an overall dry forecast across our forecast area on Monday. The increased cloud cover is expected to keep a lid on high temperatures, which should generally top out in the low to mid 80s.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 331 AM EDT Saturday...The upper ridge parked over the Northeast gradually breaks down as we head into mid week and the month of August. Out ahead of the slow- moving upper level trough, PWATs rise to 150 percent of climatological normal so there is the increased risk of heavy rainfall during downpours and embedded thunderstorms.
WPC currently has a Day 5 marginal excessive rainfall outlook for most of our region, which is reasonable given the aforementioned factors. While a stronger storm cannot be ruled out, severe weather looks unlikely at this time given the unimpressive lapse rates and instability parameters. Additionally, while it could get quite muggy with dew points rising into the upper 60s and lower 70s, air temperatures in the mid to upper 80s would keep apparent temperatures generally in the lower 90s. In other words, while it could get quite uncomfortable outside, this is not uncommon for mid summer. Overnight lows would also likely be quite mild, gnarly 60s to lower 70s.
AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Through 06Z Saturday...VFR conditions continue to prevail at all terminals, and are expected for most of the forecast period.
The only exception to VFR conditions would be the development of patchy valley fog overnight, with KSLK, KMPV, and KEFK the most likely to see reduced flight conditions. There is still some uncertainty regarding the fog development, especially with the timing and how much visibilities will drop, however any fog that does develop should dissipate by 12Z. Winds overnight will be light and terrain-driven, becoming northwesterly during the afternoon then becoming light and variable again after sunset.
Outlook...
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Tuesday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Chance TSRA.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Likely SHRA, Chance TSRA.
BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...None.
NY...None.
Airport Reports
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Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KFSO
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KFSO
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KFSO
Wind History graph: FSO
(wind in knots)Sorel
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Sat -- 05:04 AM EDT 0.77 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 05:29 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 09:26 AM EDT 0.77 meters High Tide
Sat -- 01:12 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:28 PM EDT 0.75 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 08:27 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 10:03 PM EDT 0.75 meters High Tide
Sat -- 10:54 PM EDT Last Quarter
Sat -- 11:31 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:04 AM EDT 0.77 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 05:29 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 09:26 AM EDT 0.77 meters High Tide
Sat -- 01:12 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:28 PM EDT 0.75 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 08:27 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 10:03 PM EDT 0.75 meters High Tide
Sat -- 10:54 PM EDT Last Quarter
Sat -- 11:31 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorel, Quebec, Tide feet
12 am |
0.8 |
1 am |
0.8 |
2 am |
0.8 |
3 am |
0.8 |
4 am |
0.8 |
5 am |
0.8 |
6 am |
0.8 |
7 am |
0.8 |
8 am |
0.8 |
9 am |
0.8 |
10 am |
0.8 |
11 am |
0.8 |
12 pm |
0.8 |
1 pm |
0.8 |
2 pm |
0.8 |
3 pm |
0.8 |
4 pm |
0.7 |
5 pm |
0.7 |
6 pm |
0.7 |
7 pm |
0.7 |
8 pm |
0.7 |
9 pm |
0.8 |
10 pm |
0.8 |
11 pm |
0.8 |
Islets Perces
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:25 AM EDT 0.87 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 05:28 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 11:18 AM EDT 0.91 meters High Tide
Sat -- 01:12 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 04:13 PM EDT 0.89 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 08:27 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 10:54 PM EDT Last Quarter
Sat -- 11:30 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 11:35 PM EDT 0.93 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:25 AM EDT 0.87 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 05:28 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 11:18 AM EDT 0.91 meters High Tide
Sat -- 01:12 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 04:13 PM EDT 0.89 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 08:27 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 10:54 PM EDT Last Quarter
Sat -- 11:30 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 11:35 PM EDT 0.93 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Islets Perces, Quebec, Tide feet
12 am |
0.9 |
1 am |
0.9 |
2 am |
0.9 |
3 am |
0.9 |
4 am |
0.9 |
5 am |
0.9 |
6 am |
0.9 |
7 am |
0.9 |
8 am |
0.9 |
9 am |
0.9 |
10 am |
0.9 |
11 am |
0.9 |
12 pm |
0.9 |
1 pm |
0.9 |
2 pm |
0.9 |
3 pm |
0.9 |
4 pm |
0.9 |
5 pm |
0.9 |
6 pm |
0.9 |
7 pm |
0.9 |
8 pm |
0.9 |
9 pm |
0.9 |
10 pm |
0.9 |
11 pm |
0.9 |
Burlington, VT,
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