Rouses Point, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Rouses Point, NY

June 23, 2024 9:12 PM EDT (01:12 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:03 AM   Sunset 8:49 PM
Moonrise 10:49 PM   Moonset 6:09 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rouses Point, NY
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Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 240019 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 819 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

SYNOPSIS
Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to continue this evening. The greatest threats are damaging winds, hail, and the potential for a tornado. Heavy rainfall could lead to localized flash flooding in areas that receive multiple storms. Quieter but still unsettled weather continues into the start of the work week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 819 PM EDT Sunday...The Tornado Watch has ended as more favorable low level moisture and helicity has departed to the southeast of our region. Additionally, a plume of very dry air aloft has moved into northern New York and far northwestern Vermont ahead of the upstream cold front to minimize deep convection. In much of Vermont, where mixed layer CAPE exceeds 500 J/kg this evening and effective shear is up around 40 knots, there remains potential for strong thunderstorms. However, it is becoming increasingly unlikely with better forcing both north and south/east of the area. Generally thunderstorm chances look reasonable through 11 PM, then they clear out from west to east overnight.

Previous Discussion...
Showers and strong to severe thunderstorms are moving across the forecast area this afternoon, producing heavy rain, damaging winds, frequent lightning, and hail. There remains the potential for a tornado with any of these thunderstorms.

Tonight, thunderstorms will largely become just showers and showers will become less widespread in coverage as we lose daytime heating and a relatively drier air mass moves into place behind a cold front. Still, lows will only fall into the lower to mid 60s, a few degrees above seasonable averages. Any additional showers and storms will result in anywhere from a few hundredths of an inch to a quarter of an inch of fresh rainfall. Winds are likely to remain elevated aloft overnight.

For tomorrow, an upper level low containing cooler air will slide across the forecast area, which may produce some low topped showers.
An isolated thunderstorm remains possible, but it is not likely, and it would not be severe. High temperatures will be about 5-10 degrees cooler than average in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Showers will come to an end tomorrow night as dry air finally takes hold of our forecast area and forcing moves away. Lows will fall into the 50s for most.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
As of 338 PM EDT Sunday...Tuesday will see plenty of sunshine with no precipitation expected. Highs will reach into the lower to mid 80s. Monday night's lows will be in the upper 40s to upper 50s, but Tuesday night will be a good 5-10 degrees warmer as flow starts to shift to the southwest ahead of an approaching cold front. Scattered showers with a few embedded thunderstorms will spread across much of the region late Tuesday night/early Wednesday morning, but the bulk of the activity associated with the cold front will hold off until after daybreak.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 338 PM EDT Sunday...Wednesday will be the most active of the period as moisture streams back northward ahead of a cold front moving in from the west. While model soundings continue to indicate a potential capping warm layer around 800 mb, still expect showers and thunderstorms to develop ahead of the front and/or along a pre- frontal trough. SB CAPE values are progged to reach 500-1200 J/kg, and with 0-6km shear of 30-40kt, strong to severe thunderstorms would possible. We'll continue to monitor trends as this system gets closer.

The cold front moves through by Wednesday night, ushering in a drier airmass. High pressure will settle over the region, bringing a couple of dry, pleasant days with seasonable highs in the 70s to around 80F and lows in the 40s and 50s. Our next chance of rain will move in on Saturday with another frontal system lifting across the region.

AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Through 00Z Tuesday...After an active afternoon of convective thunderstorms, all terminals are currently VFR, although some isolated thunderstorms cannot be ruled out for the next hour or so. Ceilings will trend towards MVFR conditions overnight into tomorrow morning, with additional showers possible throughout the forecast period. Some isolated IFR may also be possible.
Winds are currently southerly between 5 to 15 knots, with some gusts up to almost 30 knots, with winds shifting to the northwest throughout the forecast period. Some LLWS will be possible overnight, especially at mountain terminals like KSLK and KMPV.

Outlook...

Monday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Patchy BR.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Likely SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, Chance TSRA.
Thursday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...None.
NY...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KFSO56 sm77 minno data--
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Tide / Current for Sorel, Quebec
   
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Sorel
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Sun -- 12:44 AM EDT     0.77 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 04:56 AM EDT     0.79 meters High Tide
Sun -- 05:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:07 AM EDT     0.78 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 07:47 PM EDT     0.84 meters High Tide
Sun -- 08:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current for Islets Perces, Quebec
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Islets Perces
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Sun -- 05:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:05 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 01:07 PM EDT     0.75 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 07:40 PM EDT     0.79 meters High Tide
Sun -- 08:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Islets Perces, Quebec, Tide feet
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Burlington, VT,




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