Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Big Timber, MT
November 29, 2023 9:04 PM MST (04:04 UTC)
Sunrise 7:40AM Sunset 4:44PM Moonrise 6:17PM Moonset 10:25AM
Area Discussion for - Billings, MT
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS65 KBYZ 291943 AFDBYZ
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Billings MT 1243 PM MST Wed Nov 29 2023
DISCUSSION
This afternoon through Friday...
A series of disturbances dropping into the northern plains from Canada will back in some cooler air from the northwest over the next 24 hours. Will see an increase in cloud cover but no precipitation with this cold air intrusion. Highs on Thursday will be about 15 degrees cooler Thursday than this afternoon when highs will be well into the mid-upper 40s.
Friday will see a pattern shift to Pacific westerly flow that will last through the middle of next week. Pacific moisture will bring snow showers the the western mountains (west facing slopes) while downslope will keep the plains dry but cloudy. Highs Friday will climb about 5 degrees above Thursdays highs. This time of year Cirrus cloud cover can really inhibit heating, thus forecast highs might be a bit optimistic until downslope winds really kick in later in the weekend. Chambers
Saturday through Tuesday...
Zonal Pacific flow will bring prolific moisture into the PacNW through the period as an Atmospheric River sets up shop.
Unfortunately for precipitation prospects in our area east of the divide, mountains between here and the Pacific coast will eat up this moisture and leave mainly persistent cloud cover for our area through the extended period. The downslope oriented wind field aloft will bring periods of strong gap winds to the western valleys and gusty afternoon mixed winds across the area through the period, though the mixed winds don't look more than a minor impact at this point. May need some wind highlites over the western foothills (Livingston, Big Timber, Harlowton) by the weekend. Extensive Cirrus cloud cover through the period will help to hold temperatures mainly in the 40s through the weekend into early next week, despite the warming influence of the downslope winds.
Mountain snow, mainly on west facing slopes, will be generally light but nearly continuous from Saturday through Tuesday.
Mountains around Cooke City are showing about a 40 percent chance for over a foot of snow from Saturday through early Monday, with a 15 percent chance for over 18 inches in that period. This snowpack is forecast to contain 1 to 1.5 inches of water. This is beneficial snowfall given mountains in our area are sitting around 60 percent of the normal snowpack for this time of year. For skiers, unfortunately this pattern is not conducive to snowfall for the north side of the Beartooth mountains around Red Lodge.
Looking at the extended out to 10 days, another ridge builds over the area beyond Tuesday lasting into Friday. Temperatures respond to the building heights and less cloud cover with highs pushing well into the 50s mid week. Possible pattern change to cooler and wetter may arrive for next weekend. Chambers
AVIATION
VFR conditions will prevail through Thursday. Wind gusts early this afternoon will range from 20 to 30 kts across the area, out of the west along the western foothills, and northwest over the rest of the forecast area. Winds will subside after sunset this evening. Chambers
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS
Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed ----------------------------------------------------------- BIL 021/035 021/039 026/044 027/044 031/050 030/051 036/054 00/B 00/E 00/B 11/B 11/N 10/B 11/B LVM 020/035 021/039 024/041 023/041 031/045 030/050 035/051 00/B 00/E 12/J 32/J 32/W 11/N 11/N HDN 018/038 019/040 022/047 025/046 027/050 026/053 031/056 00/B 00/B 00/B 11/B 22/W 10/B 11/B MLS 019/033 019/036 022/043 023/041 027/046 026/049 034/054 00/B 00/E 00/B 00/B 21/N 00/B 01/B 4BQ 020/034 021/036 022/044 025/042 027/046 027/050 032/055 00/B 00/B 00/B 00/B 11/N 10/B 00/B BHK 015/031 016/034 018/041 018/039 021/045 022/045 029/050 00/B 00/E 00/U 00/U 12/J 10/B 00/B SHR 015/035 015/038 019/042 020/041 022/048 026/053 031/056 00/B 00/B 00/B 21/B 22/W 10/B 11/B
BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MT...None.
WY...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Billings MT 1243 PM MST Wed Nov 29 2023
DISCUSSION
This afternoon through Friday...
A series of disturbances dropping into the northern plains from Canada will back in some cooler air from the northwest over the next 24 hours. Will see an increase in cloud cover but no precipitation with this cold air intrusion. Highs on Thursday will be about 15 degrees cooler Thursday than this afternoon when highs will be well into the mid-upper 40s.
Friday will see a pattern shift to Pacific westerly flow that will last through the middle of next week. Pacific moisture will bring snow showers the the western mountains (west facing slopes) while downslope will keep the plains dry but cloudy. Highs Friday will climb about 5 degrees above Thursdays highs. This time of year Cirrus cloud cover can really inhibit heating, thus forecast highs might be a bit optimistic until downslope winds really kick in later in the weekend. Chambers
Saturday through Tuesday...
Zonal Pacific flow will bring prolific moisture into the PacNW through the period as an Atmospheric River sets up shop.
Unfortunately for precipitation prospects in our area east of the divide, mountains between here and the Pacific coast will eat up this moisture and leave mainly persistent cloud cover for our area through the extended period. The downslope oriented wind field aloft will bring periods of strong gap winds to the western valleys and gusty afternoon mixed winds across the area through the period, though the mixed winds don't look more than a minor impact at this point. May need some wind highlites over the western foothills (Livingston, Big Timber, Harlowton) by the weekend. Extensive Cirrus cloud cover through the period will help to hold temperatures mainly in the 40s through the weekend into early next week, despite the warming influence of the downslope winds.
Mountain snow, mainly on west facing slopes, will be generally light but nearly continuous from Saturday through Tuesday.
Mountains around Cooke City are showing about a 40 percent chance for over a foot of snow from Saturday through early Monday, with a 15 percent chance for over 18 inches in that period. This snowpack is forecast to contain 1 to 1.5 inches of water. This is beneficial snowfall given mountains in our area are sitting around 60 percent of the normal snowpack for this time of year. For skiers, unfortunately this pattern is not conducive to snowfall for the north side of the Beartooth mountains around Red Lodge.
Looking at the extended out to 10 days, another ridge builds over the area beyond Tuesday lasting into Friday. Temperatures respond to the building heights and less cloud cover with highs pushing well into the 50s mid week. Possible pattern change to cooler and wetter may arrive for next weekend. Chambers
AVIATION
VFR conditions will prevail through Thursday. Wind gusts early this afternoon will range from 20 to 30 kts across the area, out of the west along the western foothills, and northwest over the rest of the forecast area. Winds will subside after sunset this evening. Chambers
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS
Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed ----------------------------------------------------------- BIL 021/035 021/039 026/044 027/044 031/050 030/051 036/054 00/B 00/E 00/B 11/B 11/N 10/B 11/B LVM 020/035 021/039 024/041 023/041 031/045 030/050 035/051 00/B 00/E 12/J 32/J 32/W 11/N 11/N HDN 018/038 019/040 022/047 025/046 027/050 026/053 031/056 00/B 00/B 00/B 11/B 22/W 10/B 11/B MLS 019/033 019/036 022/043 023/041 027/046 026/049 034/054 00/B 00/E 00/B 00/B 21/N 00/B 01/B 4BQ 020/034 021/036 022/044 025/042 027/046 027/050 032/055 00/B 00/B 00/B 00/B 11/N 10/B 00/B BHK 015/031 016/034 018/041 018/039 021/045 022/045 029/050 00/B 00/E 00/U 00/U 12/J 10/B 00/B SHR 015/035 015/038 019/042 020/041 022/048 026/053 031/056 00/B 00/B 00/B 21/B 22/W 10/B 11/B
BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MT...None.
WY...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Wind History from LVM
(wind in knots)
Billings, MT,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE