Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Naselle, WA
February 18, 2025 6:42 PM PST (02:42 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 7:11 AM Sunset 5:46 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 9:21 AM |
PZZ210 Columbia River Bar- 247 Pm Pst Tue Feb 18 2025
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday afternoon - .
In the main channel -
General seas - 6 to 8 ft building to 10 to 12 ft Wednesday evening.
First ebb - Ebb current of 2.88 kt at 758 pm Tuesday. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
SEcond ebb - Ebb current of 4.04 kt at 838 am Wednesday. Seas 10 to 12 ft.
Third ebb - Ebb current of 2.22 kt at 844 pm Wednesday. Seas 11 to 13 ft.
PZZ200 247 Pm Pst Tue Feb 18 2025
Synopsis for the southern washington and northern oregon coast - A frontal system tracking over the waters this afternoon into Wednesday morning will bring gusty southerly winds, before shifting abruptly out of the west behind the cold front Wednesday afternoon. Gale-force winds are expected to begin this afternoon in the outer waters and overnight tonight in the inner waters south of cape falcon, continuing through much of Wednesday. There is a 40 to 50 percent of storm-force winds Saturday and Saturday night as another strong frontal system passes over the northeast pacific.

NEW! Add second zone forecast
Naselle River Click for Map Tue -- 05:08 AM PST 11.27 feet High Tide Tue -- 07:13 AM PST Sunrise Tue -- 09:21 AM PST Moonset Tue -- 11:50 AM PST 2.63 feet Low Tide Tue -- 05:45 PM PST Sunset Tue -- 05:53 PM PST 9.11 feet High Tide Tue -- 11:25 PM PST 4.09 feet Low Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Naselle River, 4 miles above swing bridge, Willapa Bay, Washington, Tide feet
12 am |
3.9 |
1 am |
5.7 |
2 am |
7.9 |
3 am |
9.6 |
4 am |
10.7 |
5 am |
11.3 |
6 am |
10.9 |
7 am |
9.7 |
8 am |
7.7 |
9 am |
5.7 |
10 am |
4.1 |
11 am |
3 |
12 pm |
2.6 |
1 pm |
3.4 |
2 pm |
5 |
3 pm |
6.6 |
4 pm |
7.8 |
5 pm |
8.8 |
6 pm |
9.1 |
7 pm |
8.6 |
8 pm |
7.3 |
9 pm |
5.8 |
10 pm |
4.7 |
11 pm |
4.1 |
Paradise Point Click for Map Tue -- 04:59 AM PST 10.74 feet High Tide Tue -- 07:13 AM PST Sunrise Tue -- 09:21 AM PST Moonset Tue -- 11:29 AM PST 2.51 feet Low Tide Tue -- 05:44 PM PST 8.68 feet High Tide Tue -- 05:46 PM PST Sunset Tue -- 11:04 PM PST 3.90 feet Low Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Paradise Point, Long Island, Willapa Bay, Washington, Tide feet
12 am |
4.2 |
1 am |
6 |
2 am |
7.9 |
3 am |
9.4 |
4 am |
10.4 |
5 am |
10.7 |
6 am |
10.3 |
7 am |
8.9 |
8 am |
6.9 |
9 am |
5 |
10 am |
3.5 |
11 am |
2.6 |
12 pm |
2.7 |
1 pm |
3.7 |
2 pm |
5.2 |
3 pm |
6.6 |
4 pm |
7.7 |
5 pm |
8.5 |
6 pm |
8.7 |
7 pm |
8 |
8 pm |
6.6 |
9 pm |
5.2 |
10 pm |
4.3 |
11 pm |
3.9 |
Area Discussion for Portland, OR
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FXUS66 KPQR 190015 AFDPQR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Portland OR 415 PM PST Tue Feb 18 2025
SYNOPSIS
Light rain returns this evening as a frontal system pushes across the region through Wednesday. Breezy winds likely Wednesday, with gusts up to 50 mph along the coast and up to 40 mph inland. Another round of snow expected for the Cascades through Wed night, with 4 to 8 inches of snow expected at pass level. Then, trending drier and slightly warmer Thursday into Friday. Later Saturday, potential for heavier rain returns through early next week as a moderate atmospheric river takes aim at the Pacific NW.
SHORT TERM
Now through Wednesday night...Water vapor satellite imagery this afternoon shows an amplified upper level pattern shifting east across the Pacific toward Pacific NW. We see to some extent a baroclinic leaf developing downstream of a PV anomaly at the base of the upper level trough. A weak surface low will likely develop tonight as the weather system approaches the region. This low moves north toward Vancouver Island while a warm front lifts across the area, with light rain through this evening. The main uncertainty comes with the potential of a secondary, compact surface low developing near the Oregon coast Wednesday morning. This would bring the potential for more impactful south to southwesterly winds.
Fortunately, the latest model runs have been trending away from this solution. Still, will likely see winds increasing Wednesday morning. The HRRR shows southerly winds with gusts up to 40-50 mph along the coast becoming westerly by the afternoon. And although there is still potential for a low to spin up quickly near the coast, the probability of exceeding 60 mph is quite low, around 10%. Breezy southerly winds likely through the Willamette Valley as well mid-day Wednesday, with gusts up to 30-40 mph. Those in the Columbia River Gorge and east Portland/Vancouver metro will also notice the easterly winds pick-up Wed morning as the KTTD-KDLS pressure gradient increases to around -7 to -8 mb.
Precipitation rates will likely increase on Wednesday as the upper trough pushes an occluding front across the region. Snow levels above 5000 ft Wednesday morning will gradually fall to around 3500- 4000 ft by Wednesday evening. The higher Cascades are expected to pick up another round of snow, with around 4 to 8 inches of snow likely at pass level, therefore have issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the Cascades. Heaviest snowfall rates expected between 8 AM and 4 PM on Wednesday.
The Upper Hood River Valley will potentially see a mix of wintry weather tonight into early Wed morning. Probabilities have decreased as forecasted temperatures marginally fall to below freezing. But there remains a low chance (10-30%) of areas above 1000 ft to see a freezing rain with ice accumulations up to a tenth an inch or snow up to a half inch. /DH
LONG TERM
Thursday through Tuesday...Models and their ensembles remain in good agreement of upper level ridging building over the region later this week. Expect a mostly dry day on Thursday. But with clouds, temperatures only warm into the lower 50s. Most clusters keep the area dry on Friday, although there is around a 40% chance that a front is able to push rain back into southwest Washington and far NW Oregon by Friday afternoon. Temperatures are likely to continue the gradual warming trend into the mid to upper 50s into the weekend and early next week.
Light rain showers late Friday into Saturday turns to heavier rain later in the weekend as the next weather system will likely be associated with a moderate atmospheric river, potentially persisting through Monday. Both the GEFS and the European Ensemble suggests mean PWAT amounts of around 1.1-1.2 inch now. Uncertainty remains with where the band of heavier moisture sets up. The highest chances of IVT values > 500 kg/m/s (of around 70-90%) have shifted slightly southward, according to the CW3E IVT landfall tool, to much of the central and northern Oregon coast. Although latest HEFS forecasts show a 5-15% chance of local tributary rivers reaching minor flood stage, will need to monitor the flashier rivers as we get closer to Sunday. /DH
AVIATION
An approaching frontal system will see continued overcast skies and rain spreading from southwest to northeast, bringing mixed VFR/MVFR conditions. Rain has already begun at ONP/EUG and is expected by 03Z Wed at most other terminals, although vsbys may remain 6SM or greater during light showers.
East to southeast winds at generally 5-10 kt will continue through the warm frontal passage.
By 04-08Z Wed, coverage of rain will decrease to intermittent showers and continued VFR conditions. As the surface pressure gradient tightens ahead of the approaching cold front, offshore winds will increase to 8-12 kt, however PDX/TTD may see speeds of 15-20 kt and gusts of 25-30 kt due to Columbia Gorge outflow.
Periods of low-level wind shear are expected initially along the coast at AST/ONP after 08-10Z Wed, and subsequently across the central/southern Willamette Valley at EUG/SLE/UAO after 12-14Z Wed as winds at 2 kft increase out of the south to south-southwest to 35-45 kt. Scattered to numerous showers return after 12-14Z Wed as the cold front nears from the west, with winds turning abruptly out of the southwest following the frontal passage around 18-22Z Wed. Inland terminals will see continued winds at 10-15 kt, while southwest winds of 10-15 kt gust to 25-30 kt along the coast.
PDX AND APPROACHES...Largely low-VFR cigs at 4-5 kft expected through the period with rain arriving by this evening. Some periods of MVFR cigs/vsbys cannot be ruled out during steady light rain, with an improvement back to VFR favored after 08Z Wed. East to east-southeast winds at 6-12 kt expected into this evening, increasing to 10-15 kt overnight after 06Z Wed. East-southeasterly gusts of 20-25 kt are possible after 08-10Z Wed, followed by a shift to south-southwesterly flow at 10-15 kt behind the cold frontal passage after 21Z Wed. -Picard
MARINE
A frontal system moving onshore this evening into Wednesday will bring gusty winds and building seas. Gale Warnings have been expanded to include all inner waters south of Cape Falcon after 4 AM Wednesday, in addition to all outer waters as of 4 PM today. A strong cold front sweeping through the region will produce southerly gusts of 35 to 45 kt, initially beyond 10nm, and subsequently to near-shore zones as winds turn out of the south-southwest. Further gusts of 35 to 45 kt are expected as winds turn out of the west behind the approaching cold front.
A Small Craft Advisory is in effect as of 4 PM today for inner waters north of Cape Falcon and within the Columbia River Bar. A Gale Watch has additionally been issued for inner waters north of Cape Falcon after 7 AM Wednesday, with isolated to scattered gusts of 35 kt possible, most likely behind the cold frontal passage as winds turn out of the west. Within the Columbia River Bar, choppy seas growing to 11 to 13 ft are expected through Wednesday despite modest ebb tides as gusty southerly winds turn westerly Wednesday afternoon. There remains some uncertainty in the strength of winds as well as resultant wave heights beyond Wednesday afternoon due to associated uncertainty in the location of the parent surface low.
Following a quieter Thursday and Friday, additional gales are expected as another surface low and strong cold front track across the northeast Pacific on Saturday. In fact, there appears to be a 40-50% chance in storm-force winds in outer waters on Saturday, though there remains uncertainty given the lead time. -Picard
PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...Winter Weather Advisory from 4 AM Wednesday to 4 AM PST Thursday for ORZ126>128.
WA...Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 4 AM PST Thursday for WAZ211.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM PST Wednesday for PZZ210.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM PST Wednesday for PZZ251.
Gale Watch from Wednesday morning through Wednesday afternoon for PZZ251.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM PST Wednesday for PZZ252-253.
Gale Warning from 4 AM to 4 PM PST Wednesday for PZZ252-253.
Gale Warning until 4 PM PST Wednesday for PZZ271>273.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Portland OR 415 PM PST Tue Feb 18 2025
SYNOPSIS
Light rain returns this evening as a frontal system pushes across the region through Wednesday. Breezy winds likely Wednesday, with gusts up to 50 mph along the coast and up to 40 mph inland. Another round of snow expected for the Cascades through Wed night, with 4 to 8 inches of snow expected at pass level. Then, trending drier and slightly warmer Thursday into Friday. Later Saturday, potential for heavier rain returns through early next week as a moderate atmospheric river takes aim at the Pacific NW.
SHORT TERM
Now through Wednesday night...Water vapor satellite imagery this afternoon shows an amplified upper level pattern shifting east across the Pacific toward Pacific NW. We see to some extent a baroclinic leaf developing downstream of a PV anomaly at the base of the upper level trough. A weak surface low will likely develop tonight as the weather system approaches the region. This low moves north toward Vancouver Island while a warm front lifts across the area, with light rain through this evening. The main uncertainty comes with the potential of a secondary, compact surface low developing near the Oregon coast Wednesday morning. This would bring the potential for more impactful south to southwesterly winds.
Fortunately, the latest model runs have been trending away from this solution. Still, will likely see winds increasing Wednesday morning. The HRRR shows southerly winds with gusts up to 40-50 mph along the coast becoming westerly by the afternoon. And although there is still potential for a low to spin up quickly near the coast, the probability of exceeding 60 mph is quite low, around 10%. Breezy southerly winds likely through the Willamette Valley as well mid-day Wednesday, with gusts up to 30-40 mph. Those in the Columbia River Gorge and east Portland/Vancouver metro will also notice the easterly winds pick-up Wed morning as the KTTD-KDLS pressure gradient increases to around -7 to -8 mb.
Precipitation rates will likely increase on Wednesday as the upper trough pushes an occluding front across the region. Snow levels above 5000 ft Wednesday morning will gradually fall to around 3500- 4000 ft by Wednesday evening. The higher Cascades are expected to pick up another round of snow, with around 4 to 8 inches of snow likely at pass level, therefore have issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the Cascades. Heaviest snowfall rates expected between 8 AM and 4 PM on Wednesday.
The Upper Hood River Valley will potentially see a mix of wintry weather tonight into early Wed morning. Probabilities have decreased as forecasted temperatures marginally fall to below freezing. But there remains a low chance (10-30%) of areas above 1000 ft to see a freezing rain with ice accumulations up to a tenth an inch or snow up to a half inch. /DH
LONG TERM
Thursday through Tuesday...Models and their ensembles remain in good agreement of upper level ridging building over the region later this week. Expect a mostly dry day on Thursday. But with clouds, temperatures only warm into the lower 50s. Most clusters keep the area dry on Friday, although there is around a 40% chance that a front is able to push rain back into southwest Washington and far NW Oregon by Friday afternoon. Temperatures are likely to continue the gradual warming trend into the mid to upper 50s into the weekend and early next week.
Light rain showers late Friday into Saturday turns to heavier rain later in the weekend as the next weather system will likely be associated with a moderate atmospheric river, potentially persisting through Monday. Both the GEFS and the European Ensemble suggests mean PWAT amounts of around 1.1-1.2 inch now. Uncertainty remains with where the band of heavier moisture sets up. The highest chances of IVT values > 500 kg/m/s (of around 70-90%) have shifted slightly southward, according to the CW3E IVT landfall tool, to much of the central and northern Oregon coast. Although latest HEFS forecasts show a 5-15% chance of local tributary rivers reaching minor flood stage, will need to monitor the flashier rivers as we get closer to Sunday. /DH
AVIATION
An approaching frontal system will see continued overcast skies and rain spreading from southwest to northeast, bringing mixed VFR/MVFR conditions. Rain has already begun at ONP/EUG and is expected by 03Z Wed at most other terminals, although vsbys may remain 6SM or greater during light showers.
East to southeast winds at generally 5-10 kt will continue through the warm frontal passage.
By 04-08Z Wed, coverage of rain will decrease to intermittent showers and continued VFR conditions. As the surface pressure gradient tightens ahead of the approaching cold front, offshore winds will increase to 8-12 kt, however PDX/TTD may see speeds of 15-20 kt and gusts of 25-30 kt due to Columbia Gorge outflow.
Periods of low-level wind shear are expected initially along the coast at AST/ONP after 08-10Z Wed, and subsequently across the central/southern Willamette Valley at EUG/SLE/UAO after 12-14Z Wed as winds at 2 kft increase out of the south to south-southwest to 35-45 kt. Scattered to numerous showers return after 12-14Z Wed as the cold front nears from the west, with winds turning abruptly out of the southwest following the frontal passage around 18-22Z Wed. Inland terminals will see continued winds at 10-15 kt, while southwest winds of 10-15 kt gust to 25-30 kt along the coast.
PDX AND APPROACHES...Largely low-VFR cigs at 4-5 kft expected through the period with rain arriving by this evening. Some periods of MVFR cigs/vsbys cannot be ruled out during steady light rain, with an improvement back to VFR favored after 08Z Wed. East to east-southeast winds at 6-12 kt expected into this evening, increasing to 10-15 kt overnight after 06Z Wed. East-southeasterly gusts of 20-25 kt are possible after 08-10Z Wed, followed by a shift to south-southwesterly flow at 10-15 kt behind the cold frontal passage after 21Z Wed. -Picard
MARINE
A frontal system moving onshore this evening into Wednesday will bring gusty winds and building seas. Gale Warnings have been expanded to include all inner waters south of Cape Falcon after 4 AM Wednesday, in addition to all outer waters as of 4 PM today. A strong cold front sweeping through the region will produce southerly gusts of 35 to 45 kt, initially beyond 10nm, and subsequently to near-shore zones as winds turn out of the south-southwest. Further gusts of 35 to 45 kt are expected as winds turn out of the west behind the approaching cold front.
A Small Craft Advisory is in effect as of 4 PM today for inner waters north of Cape Falcon and within the Columbia River Bar. A Gale Watch has additionally been issued for inner waters north of Cape Falcon after 7 AM Wednesday, with isolated to scattered gusts of 35 kt possible, most likely behind the cold frontal passage as winds turn out of the west. Within the Columbia River Bar, choppy seas growing to 11 to 13 ft are expected through Wednesday despite modest ebb tides as gusty southerly winds turn westerly Wednesday afternoon. There remains some uncertainty in the strength of winds as well as resultant wave heights beyond Wednesday afternoon due to associated uncertainty in the location of the parent surface low.
Following a quieter Thursday and Friday, additional gales are expected as another surface low and strong cold front track across the northeast Pacific on Saturday. In fact, there appears to be a 40-50% chance in storm-force winds in outer waters on Saturday, though there remains uncertainty given the lead time. -Picard
PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...Winter Weather Advisory from 4 AM Wednesday to 4 AM PST Thursday for ORZ126>128.
WA...Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 4 AM PST Thursday for WAZ211.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM PST Wednesday for PZZ210.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM PST Wednesday for PZZ251.
Gale Watch from Wednesday morning through Wednesday afternoon for PZZ251.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM PST Wednesday for PZZ252-253.
Gale Warning from 4 AM to 4 PM PST Wednesday for PZZ252-253.
Gale Warning until 4 PM PST Wednesday for PZZ271>273.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
46243 - Clatsop Spit, OR - 162 | 19 mi | 47 min | 48°F | 7 ft | ||||
TOKW1 - 9440910 - Toke Point, WA | 23 mi | 55 min | 46°F | 30.02 | ||||
46029 - COL RIVER BAR - 20NM West of Columbia River Mouth | 38 mi | 43 min | SE 19G | 47°F | 29.98 | |||
WPTW1 - 9441102 - Westport, WA | 38 mi | 67 min | ESE 9.9G | 46°F | 46°F | 30.01 | ||
46211 - Grays Harbor, WA (036) | 39 mi | 47 min | 46°F | 6 ft | ||||
46248 - Astoria Canyon, OR (179) | 46 mi | 47 min | 47°F | 10 ft |
Wind History for Astoria, OR
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Airport Reports
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KAST
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KAST
Wind History Graph: AST
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of Pacific Northwest
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Portland, OR,

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