Friday, April3, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Presque Isle, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 8:07PM Friday April 3, 2020 7:48 PM ADT (22:48 UTC) Moonrise 1:19PMMoonset 4:03AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Presque Isle, ME
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location: 46.62, -68     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 032004 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 404 PM EDT Fri Apr 3 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure will continue to pull away to the south of New England through tonight. High pressure will build into the region tonight into Sunday. A weak frontal system will cross the area Sunday night. Weak high pressure will then build back in Monday through Tuesday night.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/. Coastal low is dropping south of Cape Cod as of 20z with showers now coming to an end over Downeast areas. Expect a blanket of clouds to continue acrs the CWA with winds remaining gusty this evening and possibly longer over southern areas. Expect that mins wl dip into the m/u20 acrs the North Woods tonight with srn areas hard-pressed to drop blo frzg.

High pressure will slowly build into the region fm the north tomorrow with light north winds expected. Temperatures wl rise to just above today's values with m/u 40s expected everywhere.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. Dry conditions with partly to mostly cloudy skies will start the period Saturday night as a shallow layer of low level moisture remains trapped within weak surface and mid level ridging. Mid and high level clouds will increase from west to east Sunday as flow shifts southerly and a warm front approaches the area. A brief period of light rain will move into western regions by the afternoon, then elsewhere by the evening. Held temperatures higher towards the 75th percentile of guidance for the first part of the night given clouds, precipitation, and advection of higher theta-e air over the area. A cold front will then pass through the area overnight, dropping temperatures just below freezing across the north by early Monday morning. There will be a sharp gradient in 850mb temperatures Monday afternoon, with around -9C across the north and -2C across Downeast Maine. This, plus a gradient in cloud cover with more across the north will lead to lower high temperatures in the 40s across the north, while Downeast areas will reach well into the 50s. Increased wind gusts during the day compared to model blends with forecast soundings showing potential for gusts as high as 30 knots with deep mixing to 850mb and cold air advection.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. The broad scale pattern next week will feature below normal heights and a potent mid level disturbance for Thursday and Friday. Conditions Tuesday will be breezy and mild with modestly breezy NW flow. Forecast soundings suggest cumulus at the least, with perhaps a stray convective shower depending upon how moisture and vorticity fields ultimately evolve. A similar situation is expected Wednesday, with a chance of convective showers as a weak ridge moves off to the east and southerly flow takes over. An area of low pressure is expected to pass mainly south of the forecast area Wednesday into Wednesday night.

The next significant storm system will approach the area Thursday. Trends in the 0z European ensemble and 12z deterministic run continue to suggest a colder and possibly snowier forecast compared to blends. Upstream blocking appears weak based on negative SLP anomalies near the southern tip of Greenland, which may ultimately cause any system to be progressive in nature. Given the trends, a larger area of likely PoPs was introduced and Thursday’s temperatures were again reduced to the 25th percentile of guidance.

AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. NEAR TERM: MVFR expected through the overnight hours at all but KCAR and KPQI where drier low-level air may be able to work in after 02z tonight. Remaining terminals will improve to VFR by mid-morning tomorrow as clouds begin to rise and slowly scatter out. LLWS will only be effect BHB this afternoon into evening while remaining terminals see winds diminish aloft.

SHORT TERM: Saturday night into Sunday . High end MVFR to low end VFR ceilings. Light and variable winds, turning SSW late Sunday.

Sunday night . MVFR to IFR early with rain showers. Light SW winds early, shifting NW and increasing late.

Monday into Monday night . VFR. NW wind gusts up to around 25 kts.

Tuesday into Tuesday night . Mainly VFR with NW winds slackening.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: Winds have dropped to SCA levels on the Intracoastal zone and hv issued SCA through 00z Sunday, mainly due to seas. Outer waters still seeing gales thru late tonight and will likely drop to SCA levels and remain there through end of the short term.

SHORT TERM: Small craft seas and wind gusts will subside over the outer waters Saturday night. Expect conditions to remain below small craft through Wednesday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. A storm surge of between 1 to 2 feet will continue into tonight due to the long duration northeast flow around the ocean storm. Astronomical tides are low, but given the persistent fetch areas susceptible to northeast flow will likely have some minor splash-over/overwash. Have continued the statement for tonight's high tide cycle, though tides are lower than they were this morning but still possible to see minor splash-over. High tides tomorrow morning are about 1/2 foot higher than the tide this morning with splash-over reported, thus with surge remaining around 1 foot may see another round of minor splash- over.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ052. Gale Warning until 6 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ050-051.



Near Term . Farrar Short Term . MStrauser Long Term . MStrauser Aviation . Farrar/MStrauser Marine . Farrar/MStrauser Tides/Coastal Flooding . Farrar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Presque Isle, ME6 mi53 minNE 1210.00 miOvercast40°F30°F70%1022.6 hPa
Caribou, Caribou Municipal Airport, ME18 mi55 minNE 7 G 1510.00 miOvercast40°F28°F65%1020.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPQI

Wind History from PQI (wind in knots)
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1 day agoN10N10N9N11N9N10N9N8N9N10N10N12N11N9N8N9N11N12NE16NE14NE14NE13NE18--
2 days agoNE16--NE11N9N10N12N10N10N10N10N9N10N10N10N8N9N7NE9N6N8N9N8N10N8

Tide / Current Tables for Fredericton, New Brunswick
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Fredericton
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Fri -- 04:24 AM ADT     3.01 meters High Tide
Fri -- 04:55 AM ADT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:01 AM ADT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:50 AM ADT     2.96 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 02:15 PM ADT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:56 PM ADT     3.04 meters High Tide
Fri -- 07:58 PM ADT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.