Friday, July10, 2020
Privacy Policy
L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ashland, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 9:31PM Friday July 10, 2020 4:33 PM ADT (19:33 UTC) Moonrise 11:44PMMoonset 10:25AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ashland, ME
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 46.62, -68.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KCAR 101749 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 149 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will cross the region today. Low pressure will approach from the south tonight then track west of the area Saturday. A cold front will cross the region Sunday followed by upper level low pressure early next week slowly exiting the region to the east on Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Update . High pressure, at both the surface and aloft, will remain across the region this afternoon along with warm humid conditions. Diurnal heating will support the development of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, with the better chances across central and northern portions of the forecast area. With weak winds aloft, expect the showers/thunderstorms will only move slowly with the potential to produce gusty winds and heavy rain. Otherwise, expect generally partly sunny skies this afternoon. The exception could occur along the immediate Downeast coast where more extensive low clouds could persist into the afternoon. Afternoon high temperatures will range from the upper 80s to around 90 north, to the lower to mid 80s interior Downeast. Temperatures along the Downeast coast will generally range through the 70s. Have updated the forecast to adjust for current conditions along with afternoon temperatures and clouds

Previous Discussion . Late tonight, shwrs and potentially semi-steady rain will begin to arrive ovr Downeast areas from the periphery of Fay movg N from the mid-Atlc states coastline with fog again possible ovr this area. Ovrngt lows will again be quite warm region wide.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. TS Faye is forecast to lift from the Mid Atlc region on up into the Nern US. The consensus of the model guidance brings the center across NYS as it transitions to extra-tropical. Tropical feed of moisture will be transported northward during the day on Saturday. The strongest forcing is expected to be across NYS, VT and NH where some heavy rainfall is possible. There is a plume of deep moisture shown by the NAM/ECMWF and GFS that gets pulled up into western areas of Maine during the day on Saturday. S winds of 30-40 kts at the 925-850mbs layer crossing SE winds at the sfc will allow for some decent overrunning and the potential for periods of heavy rainfall as east as Piscataquis County into southern Penobscot County and portions of the Downeast region. Up to an inch or so of rain is possible by Saturday evening. Decided to leave the mention of tstms in the forecast as some elevated CAPE is shown by the GFS and even the NAM. Further n and e, rainfall amounts will be less. Daytime temps will be much cooler given the rain and clouds. The rain looks like it will wind down Saturday night as the best forcing lifts into southern Canada w/some scattered showers remaining. Given the dry conditions and the expected rainfall amounts, the flood threat attm looks to be minimal. Some partial clearing is possible late at night which will aid in fog development. It will be a humid night w/overnight temps in the 60s across the CWA.

Sunday will see see low clouds and fog in the morning which should burn off and some sunshine is possible. It will remain humid and temps are expected to warm AOA 80F by the afternoon. The atmosphere is expected to destabilize w/a frontal system apchg from the w. Showers and tstms are expected to develop in the afternoon and last into the evening. A potent upper level disturbance associated w/the front and good shear will allow for good tstm organization. The ECMWF and GFS point to this potential. Decided to keep the mention tstms in the forecast but it is still too early to add any enhanced wording. This can be dealt with as we move closer to the event. The activity looks like it will wind down by early evening w/the loss of diurnal effects and the best mid level forcing lifting into NB. Another round of fog expected Sunday night into early Monday morning.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. An active pattern continues through mid week. A series of disturbances will be moving across the region bringing the threat for showers and tstms up through Wednesday. A warm front is shown by the long range guidance to lift up across the region later Monday into Monday night bringing the first round of showers and possible tstms. The front looks like it stalls across the region on Tuesday w/another disturbance lifting up across the region. This will set the stage for another round of showers and tstms. A brief break in the activity expected Tuesday evening, but then shower and possible tstms on Wednesday as the upper low across the eastern Great Lakes swings across the region. Some interesting things to note are the upper level difluence noted at 500 mbs especially Tuesday and Wednesday and the cold pool aloft which could result in some strong tstms. Still plenty of time to assess this potential. Humidity holds into Tuesday w/daytime temps expected to be near normal.

A cold front is shown by the long range guidance to push through the region on Thursday w/yet another round of showers and possible tstms. The latest guidance shows afternoon temps on Thursday to reach into the 80s.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. NEAR TERM: IFR/LIFR conditions will occur along the Downeast coast through early afternoon with low clouds and fog. The low clouds and fog could then linger along the immediate Downeast coast through the afternoon. Isolated to scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms will produce variable conditions across mostly northern and central portions of the forecast area. Locally gusty winds and heavy rains are possible in the vicinity of any thunderstorms. Conditions are then expected to lower to IFR/LIFR levels across the forecast area overnight with low clouds and fog along with developing showers.

SHORT TERM: Saturday: LIFR/IFR going to MVFR by the afternoon w/showers and possibly a tstm. SSE winds 10-15 mph.

Saturday night . A return to IFR/LIFR w/fog for all terminals. SSE winds around 10 mph.

Sunday: IFR to MVFR, becoming VFR in the afternoon. Showers and possible tstms. S wind 10-15 mph.

Sunday night: Showers and tstms early. VFR w/the possibility of MVFR and IFR late at night w/some fog and low cigs. Light SSW wind.

Monday: Patchy and low cigs early w/IFR in the morning. Otherwise, VFR. Light and variable wind becoming SEE around 10 mph.

Monday night: VFR becoming MVFR and possibly IFR w/fog once again. SSE wind dropping below 10 mph.

Tuesday: IFR/MVFR, becoming VFR. SSE wind 10 mph.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: Winds/seas will remain below small craft advisory levels this afternoon through tonight. Visibilities will be reduced in fog this afternoon through tonight. Scattered showers are also expected later tonight.

SHORT TERM: Areas of fog will be across the waters through at least Monday w/vsbys down below 1 NM at times especially overnight into morning hrs. A S swell coming into the area will bring seas up close to 6 ft later Sat into early Sun mainly across the outer waters. SSW winds are expected to increase to 10-20 mph.

Sun into Sun night . S swell will continue w/seas of around 6 ft across the outer zones, while the intra-coastal zones will see 4-5 ft. SSW 10-15 kt w/gusts to 20 over the outer zones.

Mon into Tue . SSW wind continues at 10-15 kts. Showers and possible tstms w/some fog at night. Seas are expected to subside some w/heights 4-5 ft.

CLIMATE. Today will very likely be the 26th day this year with a high of 80 degrees (F) or warmer in Caribou, Maine. The long term (30 year average, 1981-2010) is 26 days. This would also be the earliest in the year that we have observed 26 days with a high of 80 or warmer in Caribou, if indeed we reach 80 degrees (the forecast afternoon high this afternoon for Caribou is 88).

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . None. MARINE . None.



Near Term . Norcross/VJN Short Term . Hewitt Long Term . Hewitt Aviation . Norcross/Hewitt Marine . Norcross/Hewitt Climate . VJN


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Presque Isle, ME19 mi37 minSSE 810.00 miMostly Cloudy87°F72°F61%1017.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPQI

Wind History from PQI (wind in knots)
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
Last 24hrS9S10CalmS11SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmSE5S5SE3E3SE5E6SE8SE7SE8
1 day agoS7S6SE6SE3S4S3S8S3CalmCalmS3S3S3S3S3S3S3S5SW3SE5SE7SE5SE7SE7
2 days agoS10
G16
S10S10S7S6S8S13S9S7S10S11S11S11S11S8S4S7SE6S7S7SW4S4S9S8

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (15,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Cookie Policy:
This website uses cookies to save your settings. No personal information is saved. I do not collect statistics on your visit. You can disable cookies in your browser if you like but it is not recommended for this site. I do not sell cookies. Go to a bakery for that. In fact I do not sell anything. To disable cookies from L-36.com, please refer to the Help button in your browser.
Privacy Policy:
I do not sell or share any user data or anything else for that matter. The only personal information I save is in the site log which has a line for each page view which includes the IP address your browser sends in the header as well as which page you requested. I use this to block hackers and other bad actors. I do not use this raw data to create profiles on users. I periodically delete the log files. If you are subject to CCPA, Google ads on this site will not be based on your past behavior so you will likely not see an ad for a lawn mower just because you looked for one at a big box website. I do not believe this site is subject to CCPA but I am doing what I can to follow the guidelines anyway.
Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.