Tuesday, October15, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ashland, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:50AMSunset 6:47PM Tuesday October 15, 2019 8:30 AM ADT (11:30 UTC) Moonrise 7:01PMMoonset 8:20AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ashland, ME
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location: 46.62, -68.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 151112
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
712 am edt Tue oct 15 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will move over the region Tuesday and Wednesday.

Low pressure will intensify off the mid- atlantic coast
Wednesday night and quickly track north into the gulf of maine
Thursday morning. The low will continue northeast across the
maritimes Friday. High pressure will return Saturday.

Near term through tonight
710am update... Overcast skies confined to very southern reaches
of aroostook county and much of hancock washington county at
this time. This will continue to pull east through the morning,
with sunny skies today for the cwa. Updated temp obs and
forecast remains on track.

Prev discussion...

high pressure will build into the northeast today, bringing
sunny and dry conditions to northern and eastern maine. Some
overcast skies may linger after daybreak, but expect this to
move off to the east during the morning hours. This will allow
many places to warm nicely into mid to upper 50s with fall
sunshine.

The surface high will slide into the gulf of maine tonight,
bringing calm winds and clear skies to much of interior and
downeast maine. Many locations will fall into the 30s given
ample radiational cooling conditions.

Short term Wednesday through Thursday night
Will see hipres beginning to shift offshore Wed mrng as next system
appchs the northeast fm the great lks. System wl be taking on a
negative tilt drg the day on Wed and with sfc high upr lvl
ridge axis ovr most of the cwa, hv backed off on timing of rain
until closer to midnight. With good portion of the area
receiving Sun on wed, expect that temps wl climb to svr degrees
abv normal with NRN areas in the m u 50s and downeast zones
climbing to nr 60f in the aftn.

Clds begin to increase Wed night fm SW to ne. Vry potent system wl
begin to transfer it's energy to the coast Wed evng as sfc low dvlps
nr the ny bight by 00z thu. Sfc low deepens as it heads northeast
twd ma by 06z thu. All models are in fair agreement with
strengthening of lopres and mvmnt, tho gem is tracking system
more inland and wl disregard.

Between 00z and 12z thu, GFS deepens lo by 18mb, ec by 14mb and nam
by 21mb and ultimately place sfc low within 150m of each other,
somewhere in the vicinity of the western gulf of maine.

Vry strong jet dynamics wl likely deepen coastal low ovr the gulf of
maine drg the day on Thursday. LLJ of 50-60kts wl bring serly winds
into downeast by 12z Thu as coastal low deepens. Cannot rule out
wind gusts on the order of 30-45mph on Thu morning along the
immediate coast though questions continue to center around how much
mixing wl be achieved.

Locally hvy band of rain is expected Thu morning acrs SRN areas and
mvg north in the aftn. Only nuisance-type ponding of water on
roadways is expected as system wl lkly be progressive. Main concern
wl be culverts and drains clogged with leaves exacerbating the
flooding. Mainstem rivers not expected to see much rise as they are
fairly low at this time.

As system heads north and east into canada expect that rain wl go
over to light showers beginning late aftn with wrap-around moisture
contg thru the overnight hrs.

Long term Friday through Monday
|system wl be mvg into the maritimes on Friday with contd gusty nw
flow ovr the area. Mocldy skies drg the day wl keep temps in
the 40s acrs the north and in the lwr 50s for downeast. High
pressure both at the sfc and aloft wl quickly build in Sat mrng
leaving a dry and cool weekend on tap.

High pressure looks to build east into the canadian maritimes
early next week with the next chc for rain Mon tue.

Aviation 12z Tuesday through Saturday
Near term:VFR expected Tuesday through tues night. Potentially
some patchy fog in vicinity of northern terminals along river
valleys early tues morning, but will dissipate after sunrise.

Short term:
Wednesday:VFR with light south wind.

Wed night-thu: rain will move into southern terminals after
midnight Wed night and continuing at all terminals on thu.

Locally hvy rain is possible with ifr and or lifr expected.

Winds 5-10 from the ese Wed night increasing to 10-20kts on thu
out of the NE with occasional gusts.

Thu night-fri: windy with improvement to MVFR Thursday night
and becomingVFR Friday, especially for southern sites.

Fri night-sat:VFR. NW winds 5-10kts, gusty Fri night.

Marine
Near term: below SCA conditions Tuesday through Tuesday night
with waves 2 to 3 feet. Winds will be breezy during day, nw
5-10kts gusting up to 20kts shifting w, becoming calm Tuesday
night.

Short term: seas and winds below SCA levels on wed. Seas
increase to AOA 5ft Wed night and climb to between 7-12ft on
Thursday. Winds will increase to gale force after midnight wed
night and likely continue into Thursday afternoon. May see sca
conditions continue through the end of the week, dropping below
sca levels Saturday morning.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Gale watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday
afternoon for anz050>052.

Near term... Cornwell
short term... Farrar
long term... Farrar
aviation... Cornwell farrar
marine... Cornwell farrar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Presque Isle, ME19 mi35 minW 810.00 miMostly Cloudy42°F39°F89%1018.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPQI

Wind History from PQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmSE5SE7SE9S11SE9SE11
G18
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S12S6S4S10S11S8S74W7SW3SW3SW6W5W9W8
1 day agoCalmCalmW5W8CalmNW3NE6NW5W5W4CalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoNE7NE6E8NE9NE10NE10NE9N5NE6E8E7E7E6NE6E4NE3CalmN3N4CalmCalmN4NW3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.