Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cleveland, ND

UPDATE
Issued at 932 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Surface high pressure building south/southeast into North Dakota this evening, resulting in all the previous snow showers now off to our south, and the sky trending clear to partly cloudy.
Main edit this product issuance was to sky cover. With winds also tapering off, temperatures are primed to plummet, and have already dropped to below zero most locations, coldest at -10 to -15 northwest and north central. Next embedded wave will push across the Rockies and into the region later tonight and tomorrow, bringing a swath of light accumulating snow to most areas Sun morning through early Sun evening.

UPDATE Issued at 747 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Let the Winter Weather advisory expire with accumulating snow having ended. No other modifications to the forecast.

UPDATE Issued at 600 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Trimmed off several counties from the winter weather advisory southwest and central, keeping my south central going where it is still snowing. Surface high pressure building south into the region will quickly end the snow over the next 1-3 hours, with partial clearing central and east this evening. Next clipper already on the way, with mostly cloudy conditions persisting west and clouds increasing again central. Snow moves into western ND between 09 and 12Z, then continues east through the day Sunday.

Will also be monitoring for fog tonight as the sfc high builds into the region. For now left out of the forecast.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 245 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Currently a low pressure system in Nebraska is impacting the Northern Plains with snow. In southern Canada, a high pressure system is starting to impact far northern North Dakota. Heavy snow was falling across western North Dakota when a frontogenesis band set up this morning. 7 inches of snow was reported in Center this afternoon where the band stayed for several hours! That heavy snow band has been recently impacting the south central. Most of the band moved through the north side of Bismarck and dumped more snow there then where we measure snow at the south side of the city. The Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect through this evening or until canceled. The frontogenesis band has now moved near the South Dakota border and should continue moving south. Skies are breaking in the north and west with the higher pressure moving in. The snow should fully move out by 8pm CT.

Tonight very cold air will move in with northwest flow and the surface high pressure. Lows will drop to 15 below zero in the north and near zero in the south. Wind Chills will be around 25 below. Sunday the train of snow systems will continue with another low moving in and pushing the high pressure out. There is forecast to be less QPF with this Northern Rockies low, making snow amounts between a trace and 2 inches.

Monday much warmer air moves in as the cold air moves east.
Highs are expected to be in the 30s and near 40 in the south.
Monday night a much more dynamic Alberta Clipper moves in. We will still be in the northwest flow, so warmer air will get wrapped into the system. This means in the warm sector of the system mainly rain will fall, this looks to be most of western and southern ND. There will then be a transition zone somewhere in central ND where freezing rain could fall with the warmer temperatures aloft, but cooler surface temps. As of now, most of the snow accumulation will be in the northern tier of counties, the James River Valley, and Devils Lake basin. Northeast ND will see much more snow. A very tight pressure gradient in the surface low will create very strong winds in western and southern ND. 850mb winds are forecast to be near 65kts with a high chance of mixing down to the surface. This will likely require a High Wind Warning, because it will be in an area of rain not snow.

Wednesday yet another Northern Rockies low will form and impact the Northern Plains. Another trace to 3 inches could be possible and likely another frontogenesis setup. Temperatures will drastically drop on the backside. There are model hints of a very strong push of Arctic air. NBM forecast highs are in the single digits above zero only by next weekend. Lows look to be below zero in the entire CWA

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
Issued at 600 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

High pressure builds across North Dakota tonight, and will result in improving aviation conditions as ceilings increase and/or scatter out central and east. It will remain cloudy west, though mainly VFR expected. Next clipper system approaches later tonight and moves across the state on Sunday, and will once again bring lower ceilings and visibility in snow. MVFR-IFR conditions expected, occasionally LIFR with any heavier snow shower. Winds transition to southeasterly by Sunday morning, with a switch to more southerly Sunday night.

BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.