Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Morris, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 8:12PM Sunday August 25, 2019 12:39 PM EDT (16:39 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 3:38PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Morris, NY
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location: 46.91, -78.37     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 251412
afdbtv
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
1012 am edt Sun aug 25 2019

Synopsis
Pleasant late august weather conditions will persist across the
north country through Tuesday as high pressure remains anchored
over southern quebec and new england. Temperatures will slowly
moderate, with valley highs trending up from the mid 70s today,
to the upper 70s and lower 80s by Tuesday. A weakening occluded
front will bring the next chance for rain showers, most likely
during Wednesday into Wednesday night.

Near term through Monday
As of 1008 am edt Sunday... Current forecast is on track this
morning with the last of the fog currently clearing montpelier.

Any remaining cloud cover will quickly erode through the morning
hours with less moisture in the boundary layer and a weaker
subsidence inversion. Did bump up temperatures 1-2 degrees as
heating is occurring a bit quicker than originally anticipated
with abundant cloud cover. Nevertheless, it'll be a beautiful
day across the north country and hope you can get out and enjoy
it!
previous discussion... High pressure anchored over southern
quebec and northern new england will bring tranquil late august
weather conditions to our region. Some patchy stratus in low-
level easterly flow exist across s-central vt and the northern
adirondacks per surface observations and satellite imagery early
this morning. These clouds should drift westward and eventually
dissipate toward mid-day. Further north, considerable valley
fog exists at sunrise, but will steadily dissipate thru 14z or
so. Otherwise should see mainly clear conditions today through
Monday. With more sunshine than yesterday and a gradual
moderation of 925mb temperatures, should be about 5 degrees
warmer today (valley highs mid-70s) and a couple degrees warmer
again for Monday (valley highs upper-70s). Good radiational
cooling tonight with lows generally mid-40s to lower-50s, and
some patchy fog development 05-12z across the valleys of
central ERN vt and within the valleys of the northern adirondack
region. Pops nil through the Monday.

Short term Monday night through Tuesday
As of 300 am edt Sunday... Weak ridging aloft and associated
high pressure at the surface will continue to bring dry weather
to the area Monday night and Tuesday. Clear skies and light
winds Monday night will lead to lows in the upper 40s to upper
50s with some spots in the northern adirondacks and northeast
kingdom pushing 40 degrees. Warmer 925 millibar temperatures and
a good deal of Sun on Tuesday will allow highs to get into the
70s to around 80.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
As of 300 am edt Sunday... Eventually we will see the upper
ridge gradually shift east Tuesday night and southwest flow
aloft develops on Wednesday. This pattern will persist through
the end of the week and thus looking at an increased threat of
showers during this period. Looks like Wednesday afternoon and
evening will have the best chance for the showers as a cold
front moves across the region and at some point all areas should
see likely precipitation chances. Not seeing any parameters
that suggests organized convection during this period and thus
will leave weather as showers. Highs in the extended should be
right around seasonal normals with a trend toward cooler
temperatures over the weekend as a pattern change is expected.

Aviation 14z Sunday through Thursday
Through 12z Sunday... Rather tranquil period of aviation wx
conditions. Localized intervals of lifr at slk mpv mss will
dissipate through 1330z this morning. Otherwise, bkn-
ovc030-050 will affect krut thru 14z as areas of stratus advect
westward, with mainly skc elsewhere. Winds generally light
north to northeast as high pressure shifts eastward across
quebec. Should see redevelopment of fog overnight at mpv slk
with light and variable winds areawide.

Outlook...

Monday:VFR. Patchy br.

Monday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Tuesday:VFR. No sig wx.

Tuesday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Wednesday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance shra.

Wednesday night: MVFR ifr conditions possible. Chance shra.

Thursday: mainlyVFR, with local ifr possible. Chance shra.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Banacos
near term... Banacos clay
short term... Evenson
long term... Evenson
aviation... Banacos


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.