Two Harbors, MN Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Two Harbors, MN

June 22, 2024 1:39 AM CDT (06:39 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:12 AM   Sunset 9:08 PM
Moonrise 9:29 PM   Moonset 4:08 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LSZ144 Expires:202406190139;;265282 Fzus73 Kdlh 190129 Rra Mwsdlh
marine weather statement national weather service duluth mn 829 pm cdt Tue jun 18 2024
lsz143>147-150-162-190139- /o.exp.kdlh.ma.w.0015.000000t0000z-240619t0130z/ 829 pm cdt Tue jun 18 2024

.the special marine warning will expire at 830 pm cdt - .
the affected areas were - . Duluth mn to port wing wi - . Lake superior west of a line from saxon harbor wi to grand portage mn beyond 5nm - . Outer apostle islands beyond 5 nm from mainland - . Port wing to sand island wi - . Sand island to bayfield wi - . Silver bay harbor to two harbors mn - . Two harbors to duluth mn - .
the Thunderstorms have weakened and no longer pose a significant threat to boaters.
a tornado watch remains in effect until 900 pm cdt for northeastern minnesota.
&&
lat - .lon 4669 9229 4668 9224 4672 9223 4681 9211 4716 9147 4716 9137 4701 9146 4703 9079 4683 9111 4682 9118 4683 9122 4674 9150 4666 9193 4666 9203 4671 9210 4666 9211 4662 9221 4664 9230 time - .mot - .loc 0129z 270deg 31kt 4725 9093 4675 9171

LSZ100
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Two Harbors, MN
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Area Discussion for - Duluth, MN
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FXUS63 KDLH 220555 AFDDLH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Duluth MN 1255 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Periods of rain and some thunderstorms continue through the weekend.

- More showers and storms are possible Monday late-afternoon into early Tuesday morning. Some strong to severe storms are possible.

- Active weather with rain and thunder chances persist through next week with occasional breaks of sunshine.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 334 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

This afternoon, we're continuing to watch rain and storm potential with a quasi-stalled warm front across southern Minnesota, which is expected to very slowly migrate north going into Saturday. Models are in good agreement about keeping this front south of our region, and as such, flooding rain potential has been greatly reduced. We will still have several upper-level waves passing through, and eventually a low pressure center that will pass by just to the south on Saturday. This will keep at least scattered showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms across the region through tonight, especially east- central Minnesota into northwest Wisconsin. Amounts are generally expected to be light relative to what we've seen the past several days with totals generally less than 0.5" through tonight.
Instability is expected to increase overnight, raising the chances for thunder late, but with MUCAPE remaining below 500 J/kg, severe weather is not expected.

On Saturday, we essentially see a continuation of rain chances.
A more potent upper-level wave and the attendant low-pressure center will pass through central Minnesota into central/northern Wisconsin, and with this, we may see a more organized area of rainfall move through especially in the afternoon. Chances for any strong to severe storms have continued to decrease for Sunday afternoon as the best instability remains well to the south. At this point, we may see a few storms in the afternoon and early evening, mainly in northwest Wisconsin. Couldn't rule out a stray strong to severe storm, but the likelihood continues to decrease. For rainfall totals, additional amounts around 0.5" to 1.5", mainly across northwest Wisconsin towards the Twin Ports on Saturday. Another passing wave aloft may bring another area of rain into northeast Minnesota Saturday night into Sunday. With this, only light rainfall amounts (0.25" or less) are expected as we get into more of a west/northwest flow pattern and PWATs decrease from ~1.5" to ~1". With a very small amount of instability, some stray rumbles of thunder can't be ruled out.

East/northeasterly winds shift to northwesterly on Sunday, and additional showers and possibly non-severe storms will be possible (20-40% chance). These will linger into the evening before diminishing with clearing skies expected Sunday night.

Strong warm air advection aloft underneath upper-level ridging will bring about a chance for thunderstorms, some of which could be strong to severe late evening Monday through Monday night.
Depending on the position of a warm front to the south, the threat for severe weather could be around our region or perhaps further to the south. North of the warm front, the environment is expected to be capped, but aside from that, there should be plenty of instability available for thunderstorms (up to 2000 to 3000 J/kg of MUCAPE). We will have to continue to monitor how this setup evolves, but right now, there is at least a small chance for some strong to severe storms during this period.

Going forward into the week, there may be a quieter stretch of weather on Tuesday with flow becoming northwesterly behind a cold front. The active pattern still doesn't show much signs of stopping, however, and there may be more chances for rain/storms in the later part of the week.

Temperature-wise, seasonal to slightly above average this weekend, then briefly warmer Monday and Tuesday with highs in the lower 80s. Some relatively cooler (but seasonable)
temperatures are likely for the later parts of the week.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 1255 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Initial VFR conditions with light east winds of less than 10kts.
Rain with embedded thunder to spread into the area from the southwest during the early morning, then spread east Saturday morning. For now it appears the lowest conditions are expected for KBRD, KHYR and KDLH, with ceilings lowering to IFR and MVFR visibilities where the heaviest showers pass. MVFR conditions can be expected for KHIB, but conditions to remain VFR for KINL.
These lowered ceilings to linger Saturday afternoon and evening, with some sites returning to VFR for the end of the TAF period.
Rain chances move back in from the northwest after 00z for KINL.

MARINE /FOR NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/
Issued at 334 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Winds are expected to remain northeasterly tonight with gusts 15 kt or less, but strengthening on Saturday through the day where gusts to 25 knots and wave heights up to 5 ft are expected for most nearshore waters, particularly the Head of the Lake, up the North Shore, and South Shore through the Outer Apostle Islands.
A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for these areas. Winds will become westerly to southwesterly on Sunday, and speeds will be less than 10 knots. There will be a small chance (20%) for thunderstorms late tonight into Saturday. Rain is expected at times through the weekend, especially Saturday afternoon and night.

For the open water discussion, refer to the NWS Marquette Area Forecast Discussion at weather.gov/mqt.

DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...None.
WI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening for LSZ142>147-150.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
45028 - Western Lake Superior 17 mi40 minENE 12 54°F 54°F30.0450°F
45027 - North of Duluth, MN 18 mi30 minNE 7.8 54°F 55°F1 ft30.0751°F
PNGW3 - Port Wing, WI 22 mi60 min0G1.9 53°F 30.03
SLVM5 - Silver Bay, MN 27 mi60 minNNE 1.9G4.1 53°F 30.07
DULM5 - 9099064 - Duluth, MN 28 mi52 minNE 2.9G6 56°F 61°F30.0051°F
PKBW3 35 mi55 minSE 1.9 55°F 30.0652°F


Wind History for Duluth, MN
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KTWM RICHARD B HELGESON,MN 4 sm24 minN 0310 smMostly Cloudy54°F50°F88%30.05
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Wind History graph: TWM
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Duluth, MN,




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