Sunday, July5, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fort Kent, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 4:44AMSunset 8:40PM Sunday July 5, 2020 4:16 PM EDT (20:16 UTC) Moonrise 9:27PMMoonset 5:00AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fort Kent, ME
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location: 47.38, -70.32     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 052002 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 402 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will push off the coast tonight. High pressure will build across the region later Monday into Tuesday. A warm front will cross the region Tuesday night into Wednesday. Weak high pressure remains over the area through mid week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/. Marine layer rmns over srn and ern sxns of CWA this aftn. This has hampered svr storm potential with a very narrow axis of instability. CAPES in this area are running btwn 500-1000 Joules fm about the Moosehead Lake area up twd Portage. 12z guidance indicated upwards of 1000+ J but ovc mid-deck streaming in ahead of upr trof also served to limit destabilization.

0-6km bulk shear values of 30-35 kts still lead to potential for organized storms. However as storms begin to dvlp a core on them they move east and begin to interact with marine layer and slowly fizzle. Hydroviewer is estimating between 1-2 inches per hour with storms that are developing with potential for torrential downpours still expected tonight.

Hv cont'd enhanced wording of hvy rain, gusty winds and small hail for central and nern areas late this aftn and evening. As storms hit marine layer they wl become elevated but strongest ones may survive into interior Downeast this evng. Patchy fog and low clouds expected to dvlp once again overnight as low- level moisture gets trapped near the surface.

Front looks to move offshore by 12z Monday leading to drier and cooler conds with temps in the 70s area-wide for highs tomorrow. Offshore flow wl keep temps along the coast in the 70s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. High pressure at the surface and aloft is expected Monday night into Tuesday, providing dry conditions, partly cloudy skies, and seasonable temperatures in the 50s overnight and 70s during the day. A warm front will approach the area late Tuesday into Wednesday. Precipitable water values will climb above one inch by Tuesday evening, reaching a maximum of over 1.7” along the Downeast coast Wednesday morning. Isentropic lift will lead to widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. Isolated thunderstorms are also possible due to the presence of weak elevated instability. The warmest temperatures and best chance of a surface-based thunderstorm Wednesday afternoon will be across western portions of the forecast area, where breaks of sunshine are expected.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. Zonal flow and above normal heights will continue through the end of the week. 1000 to 500mb thicknesses above 570dam will build in by Friday with a moderate amount of sunshine leading to highs near 90 degrees. Isolated to scattered diurnal thunderstorms are expected Thursday and Friday.

Uncertainty increases heading into next weekend as a stream of tropical moisture from the Gulf of Mexico builds northward over the Southeast U.S. coast ahead of an upper level trough moving over the Northern Plains and into the Great Lakes. The trough will direct moisture northward towards the forecast area by Saturday, resulting in increasing cloud cover and precipitation. There is potential for tropical development if the system can remain offshore within a trough of locally weaker 200 to 850mb wind shear. While it’s still far too early to talk about details, a general northward track is expected before the system begins to curve northeast as it gains latitude and interacts with the upper level trough. In any case, humid conditions are expected along with above normal precipitation chances for the upcoming weekend.

AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. NEAR TERM: IFR restrictions expected once again overnight as low-level moisture gets trapped. Northern terminals of FVE, CAR and PQI will stand the best chance of seeing localized MVFR restrictions from -shra and vcts into this evening.

SHORT TERM: Monday night-Tuesday . VFR to MVFR. S winds around 10 kt.

Tuesday night-Wednesday night . MVFR to IFR with SHRA/-TSRA. S winds around 10 to 15 kt.

Thursday-Friday . VFR. MVFR possible in scattered afternoon SHRA/TSRA. S winds around 10 kt.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: Winds and seas remain below small craft levels through Monday. Expect another round of reduced visibilities on the waters tonight, clearing as cold front moves through tomorrow morning.

SHORT TERM: Winds and seas will remain below SCA levels through Thursday.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for MEZ029- 030. MARINE . None.



Near Term . Farrar Short Term . MStrauser Long Term . MStrauser Aviation . Farrar/MStrauser Marine . Farrar/MStrauser


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Clayton Lake, ME67 mi3 hrsVar 3 mi74°F51°F44%1012.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for K40B

Wind History from 40B (wind in knots)
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----3----Calm----CalmCalm----Calm----CalmCalm----3----3
1 day ago----S10
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2 days ago----4----5----CalmCalm----Calm------Calm----CalmCalm----3
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Tide / Current Tables for Traverse St-Roch, Quebec
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Traverse St-Roch
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Sun -- 12:44 AM EDT     Full Moon
Sun -- 04:32 AM EDT     8.71 meters High Tide
Sun -- 04:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 04:59 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:01 AM EDT     3.60 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 05:05 PM EDT     7.68 meters High Tide
Sun -- 08:39 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:26 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:05 PM EDT     3.99 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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56.17.18.18.68.78.27.36.2543.644.85.76.67.47.77.56.96.15.24.44

Tide / Current Tables for Cap Aux Oies, Quebec
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Cap Aux Oies
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Sun -- 12:44 AM EDT     Full Moon
Sun -- 04:19 AM EDT     5.88 meters High Tide
Sun -- 04:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 04:58 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 10:48 AM EDT     0.13 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 04:55 PM EDT     4.81 meters High Tide
Sun -- 08:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:26 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:52 PM EDT     0.68 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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23.34.55.45.95.85.14.12.81.50.40.10.71.82.93.94.64.84.53.82.91.910.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.