Thursday, January21, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fort Kent, ME

Version 3.4
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8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 4:23PM Thursday January 21, 2021 10:28 PM EST (03:28 UTC) Moonrise 12:21PMMoonset 1:38AM Illumination 63% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fort Kent, ME
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location: 47.38, -70.32     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 220216 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 916 PM EST Thu Jan 21 2021

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure will approach from the west overnight and slowly cross the region through Friday. Low pressure will remain across the Canadian Maritimes through the weekend. High pressure will build in Monday and Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/. 9:16 PM Update: Have received reports of 1 inch and 1.2 inches of snow along the coast of Washington County in the area around Machias this evening with a band of light snow. Based on the latest radar returns this band is shifting into far eastern Washington County. As low pressure in Quebec moves closer to the region overnight the chance of light snow will increase after midnight, especially across the western Mountains. Have made some adjustments to the snowfall grids to account for what has fallen this evening, and made some slight modifications to the PoPs/QPF/Snowfall for the remainder of the night, mostly along and near the coast.

Otherwise, some adjustments were made to the hourly temperatures and overnight lows in the north where some spots have seen the clouds thin out for a time and temperatures drop. Presque Isle was down to +1F as of 9 pm and Estcourt Station was down to -7F, and may slip a bit more before more clouds move in later tonight. Otherwise, only minor adjustments made based on the 9 pm observations and expected forecast trends.

Previous discussion: A weakening area of low pressure moving through Quebec Province and some warm advection aloft will result in a mainly cloudy night tonight along with the potential for some light snow. There is little in the way of available moisture, thus any snow accumulations are expected to be an inch or less for most of the area. Lows tonight will generally range from the upper single digits above zero across the St. John Valley to the lower 20s along the Downeast coast. Some upper level energy crossing the region tonight will give way to a weak area of low pressure developing across the Gulf of Maine late tonight and on Friday. A surface trof will extend northwest from the weak coastal low, and this may enhance snow fall a bit, especially across portions of Downeast Maine. This could result in a couple inches of snow toward the coast, especially southeast Washington county. Otherwise, an approaching upper trof from Quebec Province will keep a threat of snow showers across the remainder of the region on Friday. Highs on Friday will range from the low to mid 20s north and lower 30s near the coast. A relatively weak pressure pattern will exist across the region tonight through Friday, thus light winds are expected.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. The weak disturbance moving through the region combined with some llvl convergence will allow for some snow showers or perhaps a period of light snow Friday night into Saturday. There is a split in the precip coverage w/one area of light snow or snow showers across the n and mtns, and a second area setting up near the coast. Not expecting anything more than an inch at best w/this first setup. Attention then turns toward the Downeast coast into Saturday for the potential of a weak Norlun event setting up. Upper trof moving combined w/a inverted trof extending off a departing weak low off the coast could allow for another round of snow. There does appear to be some forcing needed to get the precip going. The question is how far inland will the coverage extend. The last few runs of the mdl guidance, including the NAM, GFS and Canadian Global have shifted further s w/this event. The 12Z ECMWF however is pointing to some measurable snowfall into Washington County during the day on Saturday. Given that the ECMWF has been pointing at potential for some snow to Washington County, did not want to ignore its trend. Therefore kept the mention for steady snow into Saturday but attm capped pops at 40%.

The latest model guidance also hints at some activity continuing across the n and mtns into Saturday night as a spoke of energy rounds the base of the upper trof providing enough forcing for some light snow or snow shower activity. Adding to the potential for snow shower activity across the n and mtns will be the open St. Lawrence River, nw flow and CAA. As a matter of fact, can see snow shower activity a threat for the n and mtns right into Sunday. Temperatures throughout this period near to slightly above normal.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. Blocking pattern setting in place w/strong high pres ridge to the nw of Labrador setting up keeping any significant storm systems to the s of the region. NW flow and clouds from time to time right into mid week. Upper level disturbances will be the threat for some snow showers, especially n and mts through this term. The 12z GFS/ECMWF and Canadian along w/their respective ensemble members support this setup. Another item to note is that NW winds will be noticeable into at least Monday w/a continued tightened gradient. Daytime temps The gradient does look like it weakens as an upper trof tries to swing back across the region from the Maritimes. This feature looks like it has the potential to bring some moderating temps Tuesday into Wednesday.

AVIATION /02Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. NEAR TERM: Conditions vary from MVFR to VFR late this evening. The trend will be toward more widespread MVFR conditions overnight that will continue into Friday, but with possible improvement to VFR later in the day. Some occasional light snow or snow showers are possible at the terminals through Friday. Any snow accumulations on runway surfaces will be generally an inch or less through the day Friday. Light E wind can be expected tonight less than 10 kts, becoming N on Friday.

SHORT TERM: Friday night: MVFR. Snow showers. Increasing NW wind.

Saturday: MVFR north, MVFR to VFR KBGR-KBHB. Strong gusty NW wind 15-20 kts w/gusts 25+ kts.

Saturday night: MVFR-VFR northern terminals, while KBGR and KBHB see VFR. Continued breezy conditions w/NW wind 10-20 kts.

Sunday: VFR to start out across the northern terminals w/possibly MVFR by the afternoon. VFR for KBGR-KBHB. Continued NW wind 10-15 kts w/higher gusts.

Sunday night: Becoming VFR for all terminals. The exception could be across KFVE airfield w/MVFR. NW wind continues 10-20 kts.

Monday: VFR-MVFR north. VFR KBGR-KBHB. NW wind 10-15 kts.

Tuesday . VFR-MVFR north. VFR KBGR-KBHB. NW wind around 10 kt.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: Winds/seas are expected to remain below SCA levels through Friday. Visibility may be reduced to 1 to 3 NM at times on the waters in light snow.

SHORT TERM: A SCA will be needed Sat w/20-25 kt.

Sat night into Sun . There is potential for conditions to hit gale force, especially for the offshore waters w/sustained winds going 25-30 kt and gusts hitting 35. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

Sun night into Mon . NW winds 25 kts w/some higher gusts. Seas 4-6 ft.

Mon night into Tue . NW winds 15-20 kts. Seas 3-5 ft.

CLIMATE. The low of -21F at Estcourt Station, Maine this morning was the contiguous U.S. cold spot.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . None. MARINE . None.



Near Term . CB/Duda Short Term . Hewitt Long Term . Hewitt Aviation . CB/Duda/Hewitt Marine . CB/Duda/Hewitt Climate . CB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Clayton Lake, ME67 mi73 minN 0 mi-1°F-5°F84%1004.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for K40B

Wind History from 40B (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalm--2Calm2CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--34342Calm--CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm2Calm3Calm3443Calm3CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoW7
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Tide / Current Tables for Traverse St-Roch, Quebec
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Traverse St-Roch
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Thu -- 12:37 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 03:46 AM EST     4.79 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:02 AM EST     7.40 meters High Tide
Thu -- 11:19 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:26 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 04:31 PM EST     4.90 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 10:35 PM EST     6.96 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.45.85.34.94.85.15.76.36.87.27.47.36.96.45.85.354.95.35.76.26.66.96.9

Tide / Current Tables for Cap Aux Oies, Quebec
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Cap Aux Oies
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Thu -- 12:37 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 03:28 AM EST     1.59 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 07:19 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:50 AM EST     4.42 meters High Tide
Thu -- 11:19 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:12 PM EST     1.65 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 04:26 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 10:23 PM EST     3.99 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.32.621.61.622.63.33.94.34.44.23.83.12.41.91.71.82.12.73.33.743.9

Weather Map
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.