Monday, October14, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Skykomish, WA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 6:17PM Monday October 14, 2019 3:45 AM PDT (10:45 UTC) Moonrise 6:09PMMoonset 6:58AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ135 Puget Sound And Hood Canal- 246 Am Pdt Mon Oct 14 2019
Today..S wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less. Patchy fog in the morning.
Tonight..NE wind to 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..S wind 5 to 15 kt becoming 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. A slight chance of rain in the afternoon.
Tue night..S wind 10 to 20 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.
Wed..S wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.
Wed night..S wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.
Thu..S wind 15 to 25 kt easing to 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft or less.
Fri..S wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
PZZ100 246 Am Pdt Mon Oct 14 2019
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..Weak surface ridging will shift east of the cascades later today as the first of a series of vigorous frontal systems approaches the offshore waters. The first front will move across the area early Wednesday with additional fronts every 24 to 36 hours into the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Skykomish, WA
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location: 47.78, -121.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Spokane, WA
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Fxus66 kotx 140923
afdotx
area forecast discussion
national weather service spokane wa
223 am pdt Mon oct 14 2019

Synopsis
A brief period of quiet weather returns Monday and Tuesday. A wetter
weather pattern is forecast for later in the work week with rain,
mountain snow, and breezy surface winds. Temperatures for the
weekend will be slightly cooler and below seasonal average.

Discussion
Today and Tuesday: a dry-stable northwest upper flow will precede
high pressure building into the inland northeast Monday and Tuesday.

As the ridge continues its eastward shift, an increasing southwest
upper flow will bring increased mid and high level cloudiness ahead
of the next incoming pacific trough. A weak mid-level trough,
however, moving southeast across eastern washington this morning
contributes to a broken layer of mid-level cloudiness lagging behind
the outgoing 500mb trough. This condition should dampen the
development of any low-level radiational cooling and reduce the risk
of widespread fog formation across region this morning. The valleys
of northern idaho still have the best chance of fog lingering
through the morning. Some patchy fog is still possible along the
purcell trench into cda and could extend west into the spokane area
before dissipating later this morning. With widespread clearing
continuing overnight Monday, there remains the risk of a repeat
possibility of fog formation Tuesday morning as radiation cooling
becomes more established throughout the region. Highs today and
Tuesday will be close to average and range from the mid 50s to mid
60s both days. Lows will be mostly in the 30s to low 40s with some
lows across the northern valleys dropping into the high 20s. Aky
Wednesday through Sunday... Once again models are a little slower
tonight. It still looks like a change to a more progressive
pattern with several short wave disturbances moving through the
region. The changes for tonight is that it looks like the first
short wave for Tuesday night Wednesday will get a lot it's energy
sapped out of it as a bit stronger wave follows Wednesday
afternoon. Model guidance is also showing a wave Thursday night
and one more Saturday and Sunday. This will result in a cool, wet
and unsettled pattern through the week and into next weekend.

Precipitation will ease into the region Tuesday night and Wednesday
as the warm front sags east of the cascades. And it now look like
the heaviest precipitation will be Wednesday afternoon and
Wednesday night ahead of the cold front. Snow levels will be up
around 7000 feet, with snow only at the higher elevations. Behind
the cold front snow levels will drop enough for accumulating snow
down to around 5000 feet. Some of the higher elevations of the
cascades up near the crest could see moderate snow accumulations,
but overall accumulations of 3-5 inches in the mountains will be
possible through Thursday morning. Showers will remain in the
mountains Thursday afternoon but the remainder of the area should
see a brief break in the weather. The precipitation will be on
the increase Thursday night with the next wave. However, by this
time we lose the deep moisture tap. The mountains will still see
moderate precipitation amounts, but across the lower terrain
accumulations should be lighter. Snow levels drop down to
4000-5000 feet and the mountains will have the possibility of
picking up moderate accumulations of snow. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s Wednesday and Thursday then fall into the 40s and 50s
the remainder of the week. Winds will be elevated and gusty each
day, with gusts 20-35 mph each afternoon.

Things get a little cluttered Saturday and Sunday, but it does
look like yet another disturbance will move into the region
Saturday and Sunday. Right now the track of this storm is along
the cascades and south into oregon, giving the inland northwest
just a glancing blow. There is more confidence that the
temperatures will remain cool with gusty winds. Time will tell so
stay tuned. Tobin

Aviation
06z tafs: bkn to ovc skies will continue through the night for
geg-sff-coe-puw-lws. The cloud cover is expected to remain through
at least 15z... And have therefore backed off on the fog forecast
and lower sct cloud cover. Very light winds expected. Clouds will
thin with a sct deck abv 10k ft.

Preliminary point temps pops
Spokane 54 34 59 40 57 39 0 0 0 10 30 60
coeur d'alene 52 33 60 40 58 40 0 0 0 10 20 70
pullman 54 35 61 42 62 40 0 0 0 10 10 70
lewiston 60 41 69 48 70 48 0 0 0 10 10 60
colville 57 29 60 33 57 34 0 0 10 10 40 70
sandpoint 52 33 57 38 57 40 0 0 0 10 30 80
kellogg 50 36 59 43 61 43 10 0 0 10 10 80
moses lake 59 35 61 40 61 39 0 0 10 10 30 60
wenatchee 58 40 58 45 58 43 0 0 10 20 50 60
omak 58 37 57 40 55 40 0 0 10 10 50 80

Otx watches warnings advisories
Id... None.

Wa... None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 74 mi46 min SSE 5.1 G 6 50°F 1018.5 hPa (+1.1)49°F
TCNW1 - 9446484 - Tacoma, WA 80 mi52 min 47°F 56°F1018.7 hPa

Wind History for Seattle, Puget Sound, WA, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Stampede Pass, WA37 mi1.8 hrsSW 50.75 miFog/Mist37°F34°F89%1016.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSMP

Wind History from SMP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE3CalmSW4CalmSW3CalmCalm435465434Calm33SW334SW55
1 day ago33334333Calm3333--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmE3Calm
2 days ago54545655665433--4--4444334

Tide / Current Tables for Marysville, Quilceda Creek, Washington
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Marysville
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Mon -- 12:21 AM PDT     1.39 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:21 AM PDT     9.83 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:26 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:02 AM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 12:30 PM PDT     3.18 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:59 PM PDT     10.15 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:22 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:13 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.7357.28.99.89.78.97.55.84.23.33.34.46.28.19.610.19.78.56.74.62.6

Tide / Current Tables for Everett, Washington
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Everett
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Mon -- 06:13 AM PDT     10.14 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:26 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:03 AM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 12:00 PM PDT     3.54 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:50 PM PDT     10.47 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:22 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:13 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.62.33.95.989.510.19.98.97.35.54.13.54.15.47.28.910.110.59.88.36.342

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Spokane, WA (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.