Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hollis, AK

FXAK67 PAJK 032303 AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK Issued by National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 303 PM AKDT Thu Oct 3 2024

SHORT TERM
Rain showers persist across SE AK through early Thursday evening, then we are expecting a break in the precip for most locations Thursday night into Friday, ahead of a gale- force front which will arrive Friday night into Saturday.

Satellite and radar imagery depict a weak low and frontal boundary over the Central Gulf of Alaska, which will bring very minor impacts to SE Alaska. showers will be on the downtrend tonight. By Thursday evening, the already weak low will be steadily decaying, and flow will turn more offshore as ridging briefly rebuilds across the area. This ridge will bring clearing skies Thursday night into part of Friday, and an increase for fog formation.

Dry for the most part on Friday, as a decaying upper low gives way to weak ridging over the area through Friday afternoon.
Rain will be on the increase Friday night into Saturday. Cool and cloudy with rain over much of the area on Saturday.

LONG TERM
/Sunday through Wednesday/...A strong upper low persists over Bristol Bay on Friday then transitions across the AK peninsula on Saturday then over the Gulf of Alaska on Sunday. Guidance in good agreement with the low being vertically stacked and weakening over the NW gulf while front moves into SE AK on Sunday. Ultimately, this weakening system looks to drop a climatological normal amount of rainfall, without hinting at any outlier rainfall values. The upper low will remain quasi-stationary in the Gulf and shortwaves will rotate around the low and produce more rain on Sunday.
The upper low will move slowly to the east and rain chances could persist Monday into Wednesday.
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