Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Point Baker, AK

FXAK67 PAJK 142339 AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 239 PM AKST Tue Jan 14 2025

SHORT TERM
Light rain showers continue into this evening before a low makes its way toward the panhandle tonight. This low moves north toward the panhandle near Dixon Entrance. Once it reaches the southern coast, it will move east-northeast across the panhandle. As this low reaches the panhandle, winds will increase to 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph possible for southern communities. A high wind warning is out for these areas. This low quickly moves across the panhandle Wednesday night then leaving a chance for continued gusty winds and strong breezes into Wednesday night.

Precipitation chances increase for the southern and central panhandle through Wednesday. With warm air in place, and the warm air associated with the low, the far south will continue to see rain. As for the central panhandle, the chance for mixed precipitation and snow are in place. With wind directions from the north, colder air from Canada will reach the central panhandle.
These temperatures will be right around freezing creating the potential for very wet snow to fall. Snow accumulations of 1 to 4 inches, with potential for more, will fall in the central panhandle.
Chances for more will occur if training precipitation occurs and temperatures stay below freezing.

LONG TERM
After the main low pushes through Wednesday night, showers will linger throughout the day Thursday, diminishing across the area in the evening. A cooldown is expected to continue throughout the weekend, bringing more winter-like temperatures.
Colder temperatures, lighter winds, and clearing skies Thursday night increases our chance of fog across much of the panhandle Friday morning, but this will depend heavily on the amount of clearing that actually occurs overnight. Looking at marine weather for this timeframe, there is a chance for near-gale southerly winds in the Gulf, with periods of easterly gale force near Cape Suckling. Seas could reach 15 to 18 ft at times throughout the weekend, especially as the potential for storm- force winds increases Sunday night along Cape Suckling, with near gales near Sitka and Prince of Wales coast. Updates to the current gale force forecast will be made as confidence improves.

As for the early part of the weekend, a strong mid-level ridge will be positioned over the area and help keep precipitation chances to a minimum Friday and into Saturday morning. However, as the ridge starts to shift east, an increase in moisture and lift will bring our precipitation chances back Saturday along the northern portion of the panhandle. As the ridge continues to move Sunday, POPs are expected to increase throughout the rest of the panhandle. Precip type could fluctuate across the region, with warm air advection increasing the likelihood for a mix of rain and snow near sea level and predominantly snow at higher elevations.
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