Point Baker, AK Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Point Baker, AK

June 24, 2024 11:08 AM AKDT (19:08 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 3:49 AM   Sunset 10:11 PM
Moonrise 12:01 AM   Moonset 6:41 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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PKZ035 Sumner Strait- 330 Am Akdt Mon Jun 24 2024

Today - S wind 10 kt early in the morning becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less.

Tonight - Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less.

Tue - Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less.

Tue night - W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.

Wed - SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.

Thu - SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.

Fri - SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.

PKZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Point Baker, AK
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Area Discussion for - Juneau, AK
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FXAK67 PAJK 241759 AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 959 AM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

UPDATE
Update to aviation section to account for 18z TAF issuance.

SHORT TERM
Minor changes to the ongoing forecast. For winds, large scale thermal gradients from clearing skies in British Columbia and the Yukon yesterday and again today will cause enhanced wind speeds in the inner channels, particularly for Icy Strait/Point Couverden area, northern Stephens Passage, and northern Lynn Canal. Expect wind speeds to maximize during the afternoon around 20 knots for any area mentioned.

For precipitation, made edits to PoPs to bring up chances around Petersburg and Juneau during the early morning, and continuing the trend westward across to Pelican through early afternoon. This is due to some vorticity advection making its way westward, providing some minor upward motion in a very moist atmospheric profile.

LONG TERM
Continuing from the short range, the extended forecast once again remains relatively unchanged with lingering showers diminishing into Tuesday, followed by a warming and drying trend. Models continue to come into agreement for a surface ridge to build in over the gulf which will bring clearing skies to the inner channels and overall warmer surface temperatures due to abundant summer sunshine and warmer temperatures at 850 mb. High temperatures in general are set to reach the upper 60s and low to mid 70s for a majority of the panhandle in the latter half of the week. This will also lead to generally light winds overall throughout the panhandle. With low pressure developing during daytime over BC, there remains a slight chance for showers to develop but are expected to struggle to make it past the Coast Mountains. Expect the highest winds with the usual sea breeze circulations in the afternoon and evening hours, such as Taku Inlet. Being on the downstream side of the ridge, the exception to otherwise clearer skies would be any marine layer potentially moving into coastal communities which in turn could limit daytime warming.

As is often the case, model guidance is not in full agreement on the longevity of the blocking ridge in the upper levels and subsequent surface high in the northern gulf. The strength and position of this high pressure over the northern gulf will strongly influence when more organized unsettled weather will make its way back into the panhandle. Ensemble guidance is leaning towards bringing a system into the southern gulf sometime Friday/Saturday. Depending upon its strength and track, this could cause easterly showers to develop and propagate over the southern panhandle during this time.

AVIATION
/For 18z TAF issuance/...Aviation concerns this morning are the low clouds. Surface stations are reporting cloud decks around 1500 to 3000 feet with a few stations (Yakutat, Elfin Cove, Juneau, Klawock as I write this) reporting ceilings of 600 to 1200 feet. Poking around the webcams over the marine inner channels, estimate cloud decks are around 1500 to 2500 feet.

Visibility has been reduced mainly because of a few rain showers and drizzle, down to around 3 miles with conditions improving over the last few hours.

Wind speeds aren't too high, mainly around 5 to 10 knots.

Going forward, not a lot...but some improvement is expected today.
IFR conditions are expected to improve to MVFR. Those with MVFR conditions should see conditions improve to low-end VFR. Some spots of low-end VFR this morning will more-or-less remain low-end VFR.

Later today into today, weak trough tracking north would lower conditions tonight. So overall, expecting IFR to low-end MVFR again tonight. For the northern half of the panhandle, isolated and temporary LIFR cloud decks can't be completely ruled out with LIFR probabilities around 10 to 30% during the overnight hours.

HYDROLOGY
The Chilkat River continues to run right around minor flood stage today and is expected to continue to fluctuate right around minor flood stage into the early part of the week.
Temperatures aloft are expected to remain mostly high and are even expected to increase later in the week as clouds depart the area leading to more runoff from high elevation snow melt. As such the river is expected to remain near or above minor flood stage for the next few days at least. The result is that the Flood Advisory has been extended again for the Chilkat. It now ends at 7 pm Wednesday and may be extended further in the coming days depending on how much snow is left to melt in the upper reaches of the basin.

AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
FFIA2 - Five Finger, AK 43 mi68 minSSE 8.9G9.9 55°F 30.03
CDEA2 - Cape Decision, AK 50 mi46 minWNW 6G7 56°F 30.0750°F
PLXA2 - 9451054 - Port Alexander, AK 56 mi50 min0G1 60°F 53°F30.04


Wind History for Port Alexander, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
PAFE KAKE,AK 24 sm12 minW 0410 smOvercast Lt Rain 54°F50°F88%30.08
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Wind History graph: AFE
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Tide / Current for Beck Island, Keku Strait, Alaska
   
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
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Beck Island, Keku Strait, Alaska, Tide feet


Tide / Current for Monte Carlo Island, Keku Strait, Alaska
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
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Monte Carlo Island, Keku Strait, Alaska, Tide feet


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Pacific Northwest   
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