Sunrise 5:30 AM   Sunset 8:23 PM Moonrise 3:26 PM   Moonset 5:00 AM

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PKZ034 Frederick Sound- 337 Am Akdt Fri Apr 19 2024
Today - NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Tonight - NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Sat - SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Sat night - SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Sun - S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Mon - SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Tue - NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.

PKZ005
No data

FXAK67 PAJK 191331 AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 531 AM AKDT Fri Apr 19 2024

SHORT TERM
With the high pressure persisting over the panhandle Friday, the weather will once again remain clear and dry. Inside waters will see winds of 15 kts or less aside from some locally stronger winds out of interior passes. Aside from brisk sea breezes developing during the afternoon hours, winds over land are expected to be light. Only changes made to inherited forecast was to further bump up temperatures in some areas based on observations as well as accounting for turbulent mixing overnight offsetting some radiational cooling.

LONG TERM
/Saturday through Thursday/...Dry weather for SE AK lasts a bit longer into Saturday as the approaching front has slowed down. As high pressure ridge shifts east a trough from a 500 mb low over the Western AK Gulf extends over the SE Gulf then rotates over the Panhandle from S to N Saturday night into Sunday.
Cloud cover increases and temps return to seasonable normals with a narrower diurnal range. The front will shear apart as it loses upper level support so not expecting much in the way of rainfall amounts.
Operational models still have some spread on if this front will produce widespread precip but ensembles have been consistent keeping in some light precip over entire area. GFS/NAM/Canadian show good agreement so leaned towards those. As the front rides over the ridge another short break in precip looks to occur Monday as another low moves in from the west. "Active" weather continues into next week but again ensembles show higher probability of precip than the operational models, mainly due to uncertainty from blocking ridge break down, large model spread, and likely leaning on climatology.
Northerly winds diminish as pressure gradient weakens with a directional shift occurring through Saturday into Sunday. Marine winds generally less than 20 kts. So overall lower confidence in forecast details for the mid range.

AVIATION
/Until 12Z Saturday/...The weather will remain benign with widespread conditions within the VFR CIG and VIS flight category over all of Southeast Alaska through the entirety of the 24-hour TAF period as our weather remains dominated by a ridge of high pressure. As far as SFC winds, some minor sea breezes and land breezes will occur through the period. LLWS values remain insignificant through the period.

MARINE
High pressure over the region keeps a stalled front over the gulf through Saturday. Strong to near gale southeasterly winds will persist over the central gulf through Saturday night before high pressure moves E of the region. Over the inner channels, generally light to gentle winds prevail with moderate to fresh NE to E outflow winds out of Taku Inlet, back side of Douglas Island and S Lynn through Cross Sound.

AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ053-641>644-651-652-661>664-671-672.

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Cleveland Passage, Whitney Island, Frederick Sound, Alaska, Tide feet

Hobart Bay
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Fri -- 05:00 AM AKDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:31 AM AKDT     3.78 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:32 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:27 AM AKDT     12.47 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:24 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:42 PM AKDT     1.62 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:14 PM AKDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:58 PM AKDT     13.55 feet High Tide
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Hobart Bay, Stephens Passage, Alaska, Tide feet

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