Sunrise 5:16 AM   Sunset 8:34 PM Moonrise 9:26 PM   Moonset 4:25 AM

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PKZ022 Cross Sound- 324 Am Akdt Wed Apr 24 2024
Today - W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Tonight - SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Thu - E wind 10 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Thu night - W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fri - W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Sat - E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Sun - W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

PKZ005
No data

FXAK67 PAJK 232305 AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 305 PM AKDT Tue Apr 23 2024

SHORT TERM
/ Through Wednesday night / A low west of Dixon Entrance is weakening and moving into the British Columbia coastline. Bands of the showers are rotating about the feature and and impacting the southern half of the panhandle, with a bit of sprinkles for the north central, specifically the Juneau area. The little light rains will be weakening through Wednesday night. A weak surface ridge over the eastern gulf and into panhandle.

A small pool instability aloft associated with the low may lead to to enhanced showers, however do not think it is strong enough lift the convection threat to a thunderstorm level it is possible but but have not seen any today which should have triggered on the Haida Gwaii coast so think that threat on the very low level.


LONG TERM
Thursday a ridge will be building across the interior of Alaska, with zonal flow over the northern Pacific.
These features will help block active weather from moving into the region, bringing dry conditions and light winds to the end of the week. Upstream of the ridge in the Bering Sea, a closed low will dig into the Gulf of Alaska early Friday morning, making a beeline for Haida Gwaii. As this feature ejects towards the archipelago, surface pressure will fall in the Gulf Saturday, with ensembles indicating a 998mb low and southeasterly 22-28 knot winds into the central Gulf and coastal waters. While there is uncertainty in the exact location and orientation of this feature, we will likely see elevated east winds out of Cross Sound and other east-to-west orientated passageways into Sunday, along with 25-30 knot southerly winds in Dixon Entrance and Hecate Strait, perhaps as far north as southern Clarence Strait.

Regarding precipitation, a desiccant pattern continues for the future as our systems undergo cyclogenesis in dry regions and fail to steer ample tropical moisture into the Panhandle. Current IVT guidance suggests Saturday afternoon into Sunday afternoon will see some rainfall for the central and southern region, but amounts and rates fall below climate normal. One item to note is the central and southern Panhandle is now marked under a D0 Drought Intensity (meaning abnormally dry). Temperatures continue to trend warmer across the Panhandle, with the south reaching into the upper 50s by Friday.



AVIATION
Widespread VFR conditions continue for the panhandle.
Cloud cover has returned due to a weakening low approaching Haida Gwaii which is bringing showers and occasionally lower ceilings to the southern half of the panhandle. This will continue Tuesday night with showers diminishing through the day Wednesday. With cloud coverage, sea breezes are likely to be less noticeable with no significant wind concerns during the TAF period.

AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ661.

Canoe Cove, North Pass, Lisianski Strait and Inlet, Alaska, Tide feet

Dry Pass, Hill Island, Chichagof Island, Alaska, Tide feet

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