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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Elfin Cove, AK

June 24, 2024 12:54 PM AKDT (20:54 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 3:49 AM   Sunset 10:11 PM
Moonrise 11:35 PM   Moonset 5:41 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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PKZ022 Cross Sound- 1131 Am Akdt Mon Jun 24 2024
updated

Rest of today - SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

Tonight - SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming light. Seas 3 ft.

Tue - Light winds becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.

Tue night - W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

Wed - W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

Thu - W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

Fri - SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.


PKZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elfin Cove, AK
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Area Discussion for - Juneau, AK
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FXAK67 PAJK 241759 AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 959 AM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

UPDATE
Update to aviation section to account for 18z TAF issuance.

SHORT TERM
Minor changes to the ongoing forecast. For winds, large scale thermal gradients from clearing skies in British Columbia and the Yukon yesterday and again today will cause enhanced wind speeds in the inner channels, particularly for Icy Strait/Point Couverden area, northern Stephens Passage, and northern Lynn Canal. Expect wind speeds to maximize during the afternoon around 20 knots for any area mentioned.

For precipitation, made edits to PoPs to bring up chances around Petersburg and Juneau during the early morning, and continuing the trend westward across to Pelican through early afternoon. This is due to some vorticity advection making its way westward, providing some minor upward motion in a very moist atmospheric profile.

LONG TERM
Continuing from the short range, the extended forecast once again remains relatively unchanged with lingering showers diminishing into Tuesday, followed by a warming and drying trend. Models continue to come into agreement for a surface ridge to build in over the gulf which will bring clearing skies to the inner channels and overall warmer surface temperatures due to abundant summer sunshine and warmer temperatures at 850 mb. High temperatures in general are set to reach the upper 60s and low to mid 70s for a majority of the panhandle in the latter half of the week. This will also lead to generally light winds overall throughout the panhandle. With low pressure developing during daytime over BC, there remains a slight chance for showers to develop but are expected to struggle to make it past the Coast Mountains. Expect the highest winds with the usual sea breeze circulations in the afternoon and evening hours, such as Taku Inlet. Being on the downstream side of the ridge, the exception to otherwise clearer skies would be any marine layer potentially moving into coastal communities which in turn could limit daytime warming.

As is often the case, model guidance is not in full agreement on the longevity of the blocking ridge in the upper levels and subsequent surface high in the northern gulf. The strength and position of this high pressure over the northern gulf will strongly influence when more organized unsettled weather will make its way back into the panhandle. Ensemble guidance is leaning towards bringing a system into the southern gulf sometime Friday/Saturday. Depending upon its strength and track, this could cause easterly showers to develop and propagate over the southern panhandle during this time.

AVIATION
/For 18z TAF issuance/...Aviation concerns this morning are the low clouds. Surface stations are reporting cloud decks around 1500 to 3000 feet with a few stations (Yakutat, Elfin Cove, Juneau, Klawock as I write this) reporting ceilings of 600 to 1200 feet. Poking around the webcams over the marine inner channels, estimate cloud decks are around 1500 to 2500 feet.

Visibility has been reduced mainly because of a few rain showers and drizzle, down to around 3 miles with conditions improving over the last few hours.

Wind speeds aren't too high, mainly around 5 to 10 knots.

Going forward, not a lot...but some improvement is expected today.
IFR conditions are expected to improve to MVFR. Those with MVFR conditions should see conditions improve to low-end VFR. Some spots of low-end VFR this morning will more-or-less remain low-end VFR.

Later today into today, weak trough tracking north would lower conditions tonight. So overall, expecting IFR to low-end MVFR again tonight. For the northern half of the panhandle, isolated and temporary LIFR cloud decks can't be completely ruled out with LIFR probabilities around 10 to 30% during the overnight hours.

HYDROLOGY
The Chilkat River continues to run right around minor flood stage today and is expected to continue to fluctuate right around minor flood stage into the early part of the week.
Temperatures aloft are expected to remain mostly high and are even expected to increase later in the week as clouds depart the area leading to more runoff from high elevation snow melt. As such the river is expected to remain near or above minor flood stage for the next few days at least. The result is that the Flood Advisory has been extended again for the Chilkat. It now ends at 7 pm Wednesday and may be extended further in the coming days depending on how much snow is left to melt in the upper reaches of the basin.

AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
CSPA2 - Cape Spencer, AK 9 mi45 minWSW 8G8 53°F 30.0453°F
CSXA2 9 mi22 minWSW 4.1G8 29.94
ELFA2 - 9452634 - Elfin Cove, AK 14 mi55 min 48°F
GEXA2 14 mi22 minSW 6G8.9 53°F 50°F
PEXA2 20 mi22 minS 1.9G5.1 57°F 30.0357°F
BLTA2 - Bartlet Cove AK 44 mi29 minSW 1.9G5.1 55°F 49°F




Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
PAEL ELFIN COVE,AK 14 sm2.1 hrscalm5 smOvercast Mist 54°F50°F88%30.03
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Wind History graph: AEL
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Cape Bingham, Alaska
   
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Cape Bingham
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Mon -- 12:24 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:27 AM AKDT     10.91 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:03 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:41 AM AKDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:31 AM AKDT     -2.33 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:08 PM AKDT     8.85 feet High Tide
Mon -- 09:28 PM AKDT     3.25 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:14 PM AKDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Cape Bingham, Alaska, Tide feet
12
am
7.9
1
am
9.7
2
am
10.8
3
am
10.7
4
am
9.5
5
am
7.2
6
am
4.4
7
am
1.5
8
am
-0.8
9
am
-2.1
10
am
-2.2
11
am
-0.9
12
pm
1.3
1
pm
3.9
2
pm
6.4
3
pm
8.1
4
pm
8.8
5
pm
8.5
6
pm
7.3
7
pm
5.7
8
pm
4.2
9
pm
3.4
10
pm
3.4
11
pm
4.4


Tide / Current for North Inian Pass, Cross Sound, Alaska Current
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North Inian Pass
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Mon -- 12:08 AM AKDT     2.46 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 12:26 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:22 AM AKDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:00 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:03 AM AKDT     -7.11 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:38 AM AKDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:05 AM AKDT     0.01 knots Slack
Mon -- 12:58 PM AKDT     3.45 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 03:31 PM AKDT     -0.01 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:35 PM AKDT     -5.23 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 10:15 PM AKDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:17 PM AKDT     0.01 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

North Inian Pass, Cross Sound, Alaska Current, knots
12
am
2.5
1
am
2.1
2
am
0.8
3
am
-1.5
4
am
-4.2
5
am
-6.3
6
am
-7.1
7
am
-6.5
8
am
-4.8
9
am
-2.5
10
am
-0.2
11
am
1.7
12
pm
3
1
pm
3.5
2
pm
2.9
3
pm
1.2
4
pm
-1.2
5
pm
-3.6
6
pm
-5
7
pm
-5.1
8
pm
-4.1
9
pm
-2.4
10
pm
-0.5
11
pm
1.1


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Sitka/Juneau,AK




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