Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Newhalen, AK
October 5, 2024 4:08 PM AKDT (00:08 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 8:16 AM Sunset 7:18 PM Moonrise 10:47 AM Moonset 5:38 PM |
PKZ767 Saint Matthew Island Waters- 202 Pm Akdt Sat Oct 5 2024
.small craft advisory through Sunday night - .
Tonight - N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
Sun - N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
Sun night - NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
Mon - W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
Mon night - SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
Tue - SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
Wed - SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
Thu - N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
PKZ700
No data
No data
NEW! Add second zone forecast
| Nordyke Island Click for Map Sat -- 04:45 AM AKDT 15.69 feet High Tide Sat -- 08:32 AM AKDT Sunrise Sat -- 10:45 AM AKDT 2.55 feet Low Tide Sat -- 12:39 PM AKDT Moonrise Sat -- 04:33 PM AKDT 16.84 feet High Tide Sat -- 07:35 PM AKDT Sunset Sat -- 07:37 PM AKDT Moonset Sat -- 11:09 PM AKDT -0.30 feet Low Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |
Nordyke Island, Kamishak Bay, Alaska, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.4 |
| 1 am |
| 4.9 |
| 2 am |
| 8.9 |
| 3 am |
| 12.6 |
| 4 am |
| 15.1 |
| 5 am |
| 15.6 |
| 6 am |
| 14.4 |
| 7 am |
| 11.8 |
| 8 am |
| 8.5 |
| 9 am |
| 5.3 |
| 10 am |
| 3.1 |
| 11 am |
| 2.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 4.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 7.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 11.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 14.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 16.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 16.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 14.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 11.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 7.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 1 |
| 11 pm |
| -0.3 |
| Iliamna Bay Click for Map Sat -- 04:47 AM AKDT 14.79 feet High Tide Sat -- 08:31 AM AKDT Sunrise Sat -- 10:39 AM AKDT 2.26 feet Low Tide Sat -- 12:40 PM AKDT Moonrise Sat -- 04:35 PM AKDT 15.71 feet High Tide Sat -- 07:32 PM AKDT Moonset Sat -- 07:32 PM AKDT Sunset Sat -- 11:03 PM AKDT -0.08 feet Low Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |
Iliamna Bay, Alaska, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.7 |
| 1 am |
| 4.9 |
| 2 am |
| 8.6 |
| 3 am |
| 12 |
| 4 am |
| 14.2 |
| 5 am |
| 14.8 |
| 6 am |
| 13.6 |
| 7 am |
| 11 |
| 8 am |
| 7.8 |
| 9 am |
| 4.7 |
| 10 am |
| 2.7 |
| 11 am |
| 2.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 4 |
| 1 pm |
| 7 |
| 2 pm |
| 10.5 |
| 3 pm |
| 13.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 15.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 15.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 13.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 10.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 7.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 10 pm |
| 1 |
| 11 pm |
| -0.1 |
FXAK68 PAFC 051307 AFDAFC
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Anchorage AK 507 AM AKDT Sat Oct 5 2024
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Today through Monday night)...
A deep vertically stacked low is spinning just off the Southwest AK coast (west of Cape Newenham) early this morning. The cyclonic circulation around this low is humongous, spanning nearly the entire Alaska region from the central Bering Sea to the Panhandle and north to the Interior (of mainland AK). A gale force occluded front has been slowly pushing onshore along the north Gulf coast overnight, lingering early this morning from eastern Prince William Sound southeastward along the Gulf coast down to the Panhandle.
Any remaining gale force winds will rapidly diminish behind the front this morning while steady rain breaks up as the front gets torn up trying to cross the coastal mountains into inland areas of Southcentral. As expected, rainfall amounts were heaviest along the south to eastern Kenai Peninsula coastal areas where anywhere from 2 to 6 inches of rain fell. Area rivers and streams saw some steep rises, but water levels are beginning to crest well within banks. There may be some patchy light rain or sprinkles as the front progresses inland this morning, but it would be very brief in nature.
Colder air aloft moving in behind the front will lead to a showery regime for the next few days. There will be a steady supply of upper level short-waves embedded in the upper level flow to help focus showers. A new surface low will develop ahead of a strong short-wave rounding the base of the trough this morning to the south of the Alaska Peninsula and Kodiak Island. Model guidance has all trended toward a deeper low tracking into the Gulf tonight and lingering through early next week. As a result, have strengthened the overall wind forecast for the Gulf coastal waters tonight through Sunday night. There is some model spread in the track of the low, so will likely need to fine-tune the areas of strongest winds moving forward. Initially, southeasterly flow will lead to upslope along the coastal mountains beginning tonight, helping to enhance shower coverage and intensity for the entire coastal zone, including Kodiak Island. Flow will then gradually back to the east Sunday and north on Monday, allowing showers to diminish a bit along the coast. However, short-waves will then lift from the eastern Gulf to the Copper River Basin, with showers spreading inland. The rest of Southcentral may see an occasional light shower this weekend, but once again anything that does fall should be brief in nature with very light (if any) accumulation.
-SEB
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Anchorage AK 507 AM AKDT Sat Oct 5 2024
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Today through Monday night)...
A deep vertically stacked low is spinning just off the Southwest AK coast (west of Cape Newenham) early this morning. The cyclonic circulation around this low is humongous, spanning nearly the entire Alaska region from the central Bering Sea to the Panhandle and north to the Interior (of mainland AK). A gale force occluded front has been slowly pushing onshore along the north Gulf coast overnight, lingering early this morning from eastern Prince William Sound southeastward along the Gulf coast down to the Panhandle.
Any remaining gale force winds will rapidly diminish behind the front this morning while steady rain breaks up as the front gets torn up trying to cross the coastal mountains into inland areas of Southcentral. As expected, rainfall amounts were heaviest along the south to eastern Kenai Peninsula coastal areas where anywhere from 2 to 6 inches of rain fell. Area rivers and streams saw some steep rises, but water levels are beginning to crest well within banks. There may be some patchy light rain or sprinkles as the front progresses inland this morning, but it would be very brief in nature.
Colder air aloft moving in behind the front will lead to a showery regime for the next few days. There will be a steady supply of upper level short-waves embedded in the upper level flow to help focus showers. A new surface low will develop ahead of a strong short-wave rounding the base of the trough this morning to the south of the Alaska Peninsula and Kodiak Island. Model guidance has all trended toward a deeper low tracking into the Gulf tonight and lingering through early next week. As a result, have strengthened the overall wind forecast for the Gulf coastal waters tonight through Sunday night. There is some model spread in the track of the low, so will likely need to fine-tune the areas of strongest winds moving forward. Initially, southeasterly flow will lead to upslope along the coastal mountains beginning tonight, helping to enhance shower coverage and intensity for the entire coastal zone, including Kodiak Island. Flow will then gradually back to the east Sunday and north on Monday, allowing showers to diminish a bit along the coast. However, short-waves will then lift from the eastern Gulf to the Copper River Basin, with showers spreading inland. The rest of Southcentral may see an occasional light shower this weekend, but once again anything that does fall should be brief in nature with very light (if any) accumulation.
-SEB
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA, AND THE BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (SATURDAY MORNING to MONDAY MORNING)...
The low pressure system which has lingered in the Eastern Bering Sea over the last several days will continue to bring gale-force wind, 15 to 20 ft seas, and light rain to the central and eastern Aleutian Islands under broad cyclonic flow. While the center of the low paused overnight west of Cape Newenham, it is expected to resume a southward track today, crossing the Alaska Peninsula near Cold Bay by Sunday morning. Conditions begin to improve late this afternoon. Wind and waves affecting marine zones north of the Aleutian Islands will continue to diminish through Monday as ridging builds across the Bering Sea from the west.
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Tuesday through Friday)...
The long term period begins with the storm system in the Gulf continuing to wind down. The stalled low will continue to weaken and spin in the Gulf keeping unsettled weather and a slight chance for showers to remain for the northern Gulf coast through Tuesday. The upper level trough over mainland Alaska and the Gulf becomes more negatively tilted and less defined into Thursday as it begins to interact and merge with an upstream system in the Bering, forming a broad longwave trough spanning from Eastern Siberia to Canada.
Upper level ridging over southwest Alaska and the Aleutians on Tuesday will give way to fairly zonal upper level flow as well as a surface low that will brush by the western Aleutians through Wednesday. This fast moving system has the potential to bring briefly unsettled weather to the western and central Aleutians Tuesday into Wednesday, out ahead of a more potent system emerging off of the Kamchatka Peninsula. The second system will enter the western Bering by Thursday before crossing the Aleutian chain and strengthening by Friday morning. This system has the potential to become another impactful storm given sufficient upper level jet support and access to ample moisture, bringing possible heavy rain and gusty winds for the eastern Aleutians and AKPen by the end of the period.
-JH
AVIATION
PANC...A band of light showers associated with the back edge of a front will push through the terminal for the next hour or so.
During this time, ceilings may drop below 5000 ft, but lift quickly thereafter. Light southeasterly winds will continue for several hours before the Turnagain Arm wind pushes into the terminal later this morning. Winds gust 15 to 25 kts, but may diminish at times today as the wind appears likely to bend in and out of Anchorage. Light rain showers are also possible today, leading to a low chance for ceilings to drop intermittently below 5000 ft. Late tonight or early Sunday morning, the Turnagain Arm wind bends definitively southward, leaving light northerly winds at the terminal.
Quesada
The low pressure system which has lingered in the Eastern Bering Sea over the last several days will continue to bring gale-force wind, 15 to 20 ft seas, and light rain to the central and eastern Aleutian Islands under broad cyclonic flow. While the center of the low paused overnight west of Cape Newenham, it is expected to resume a southward track today, crossing the Alaska Peninsula near Cold Bay by Sunday morning. Conditions begin to improve late this afternoon. Wind and waves affecting marine zones north of the Aleutian Islands will continue to diminish through Monday as ridging builds across the Bering Sea from the west.
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Tuesday through Friday)...
The long term period begins with the storm system in the Gulf continuing to wind down. The stalled low will continue to weaken and spin in the Gulf keeping unsettled weather and a slight chance for showers to remain for the northern Gulf coast through Tuesday. The upper level trough over mainland Alaska and the Gulf becomes more negatively tilted and less defined into Thursday as it begins to interact and merge with an upstream system in the Bering, forming a broad longwave trough spanning from Eastern Siberia to Canada.
Upper level ridging over southwest Alaska and the Aleutians on Tuesday will give way to fairly zonal upper level flow as well as a surface low that will brush by the western Aleutians through Wednesday. This fast moving system has the potential to bring briefly unsettled weather to the western and central Aleutians Tuesday into Wednesday, out ahead of a more potent system emerging off of the Kamchatka Peninsula. The second system will enter the western Bering by Thursday before crossing the Aleutian chain and strengthening by Friday morning. This system has the potential to become another impactful storm given sufficient upper level jet support and access to ample moisture, bringing possible heavy rain and gusty winds for the eastern Aleutians and AKPen by the end of the period.
-JH
AVIATION
PANC...A band of light showers associated with the back edge of a front will push through the terminal for the next hour or so.
During this time, ceilings may drop below 5000 ft, but lift quickly thereafter. Light southeasterly winds will continue for several hours before the Turnagain Arm wind pushes into the terminal later this morning. Winds gust 15 to 25 kts, but may diminish at times today as the wind appears likely to bend in and out of Anchorage. Light rain showers are also possible today, leading to a low chance for ceilings to drop intermittently below 5000 ft. Late tonight or early Sunday morning, the Turnagain Arm wind bends definitively southward, leaving light northerly winds at the terminal.
Quesada
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for PAIL
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for PAIL
Wind History Graph: AIL
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of Alaska
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King,Salmon/Anchorage,AK
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