Saturday, August17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kotlik, AK

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Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 9:55PM Saturday August 17, 2019 6:32 PM AKDT (02:32 UTC) Moonrise 9:50PMMoonset 7:24AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ200 Norton Sound- 230 Pm Akdt Sat Aug 17 2019
Tonight..NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Sun..NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Sun night..N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Mon..NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Mon night..NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Tue..NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Tue night..NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Wed..N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Thu..N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
PKZ200 Norton Sound- 230 Pm Akdt Sat Aug 17 2019
Tonight..NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Sun..NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Sun night..N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Mon..NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Mon night..NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Tue..NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Tue night..NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Wed..N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Thu..N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kotlik, AK
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location: 63.05, -163.38     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak69 pafg 172010
afdafg
northern alaska forecast discussion
national weather service fairbanks ak
1210 pm akdt Sat aug 17 2019

Synopsis
A blocking pattern in the upper atmosphere will keep northerly
flow over mainland alaska with a ridge over the bering sea today
through Monday night. This will allow the interior to dry some
from the recent very wet period. On the surface a 1046 mb high
centered over the chukchi sea will keep a cooler trend going for
the north slope, brooks range and eastern interior for the short
term. No significant rainfall is expected for the next 60 hours.

Discussion
The blocking ridge over the bering sea will continue through the
weekend to keep northerly flow over mainland alaska. A few
shortwaves will move through the northerly flow bringing chances
for showers for far eastern brooks range, however precipitation
will be light. Interior will mainly see fluctuations in the cloud
cover from these shortwaves. No major weather systems expected for
the bering sea through the period with surface high pressure
dominating.

Models initialize well aloft and show similar solutions through
4pm sat. After that time, the NAM and GFS keep a deeper low aloft
over the yukon territory and alcan border than the gfs. Favor the
nam and ecmf solutions after 4pm sat. For precipitation, we will
blend the precipitation solutions from the NAM and gfs, which
will result in rain continuing this morning in the extreme se
interior, and then keep isolated to scattered showers near the
alcan border Sat pm through mon, with scattered to numerous snow
showers over the north slope east of the dalton hwy.

Coastal hazard potential days 3 and 4... None.

Fire weather
A few lightning strikes reported in the upper yukon river valley
other the recent rainfall has assisted with moisting up the area.

Hydrology
Total preciptiation in the past 48
hours has been over 1 inch in much of the area south of wonder
lake to livengood to circle, excluding the 40 mile basin which was
drier. Portions of the chena, salcha and goodpaster basins have
had 1.5-2.0 inches of rain. The alaska range has had between 2 and
4 inches between the gerstle river and wonder lake with the
eielson visitor center having 4 inches in 24hrs.

Small streams across all of the interior from the chatanika river
south will remain high today but should be falling, while rivers
are rising rapidly today as the streams empty into the rivers.

Flooding along creeks draining of the alaska range should end
today as the water flows out, but rivers draining the alaska range
could still rise and flood through sun, especially in the denali
area. Flooding will occur today on the little chena, chena
upstream of the moose creek dam, the salcha, and the goodpaster
rivers, and will flooding will continue into mon, the and those
rivers all have flood warnings.

We will also look into flood advisory for tanana river at
fairbanks after we get the new river forecast for the tanana
river today. The tanana river at fairbanks is expected to rise
and crest above minor flood stage on Sun night. The tanana river
at manley could have similar issues as well.

Afg watches warnings advisories
Flood warning for akz222-akz223-akz224
flood advisory for akz221-akz223
flood watch for akz226.

Small craft advisory for pkz245.

Proton aug 19


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure

Link to 5 minute data for PAEM

Wind History from AEM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----------------------CalmSW4SW4SW4SW4SW4SW6SW7SW9SW8W10W9W11
1 day agoE5E4E5NE4NE8NE5N5N6NE5N5NE8NE6N6N6NE5NE4NE4NE6NE5CalmNE5NE5NE3E5
2 days agoNE7--NE13NE13NE11NE12NE10N9N7N6N6N7N7NE5NE5NE4NE4N4NE5NE6NE6E4NE6NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Apoon Mouth, Yukon River, Norton Sound, Alaska
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Apoon Mouth
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:57 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:24 AM AKDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:55 AM AKDT     3.80 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:41 PM AKDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:55 PM AKDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:49 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.51.71.822.22.52.83.13.53.73.83.73.32.721.40.90.50.30.30.40.71.1

Tide / Current Tables for Pikmiktalik River entrance, Norton Sound, Alaska
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Pikmiktalik River entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:53 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:20 AM AKDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:12 AM AKDT     4.11 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:58 PM AKDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:53 PM AKDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:46 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.61.81.92.12.32.633.33.63.94.143.73.12.41.71.10.70.40.30.40.71.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Alaska    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Nome, AK
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.