Nome, AK Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Nome, AK

May 21, 2024 2:33 AM AKDT (10:33 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 4:51 AM   Sunset 11:00 PM
Moonrise 8:06 PM   Moonset 1:53 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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PKZ805 Moses Point To Sledge Island Out To 15 Nm- 432 Pm Akdt Mon May 20 2024

Tonight - NE winds 20 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. Fog.

Tue - E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog, rain.

Tue night - NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

Wed - NE winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

Wed night - SW winds 10 kt. Seas calm.

Thu - SW winds 5 kt. Seas calm.

Thu night - E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

Fri - NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

Sat - N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

PKZ800
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Nome, AK
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Area Discussion for - Fairbanks, AK
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FXAK69 PAFG 210047 AFDAFG

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 447 PM AKDT Mon May 20 2024


SYNOPSIS
Warm and dry conditions over the Eastern Interior will trend wetter and cooler by Thu. The North Slope is cloudy and warmer than normal with nocturnal coastal fog that will trend cooler and wetter late this week. The cool and wet West Coast becomes warmer and drier on the weekend.

Surface Pattern...
Strong high pressure north of the Arctic Coast will persist through late this week. This is causing east winds along with stratus and night time fog along the Arctic Coast that will persist into Thu. There are scattered light snow showers or flurries as well.

A thermal low pressure trough stretching from Northway to Fairbanks to Bettles and remain in place through Tue, then move to Eagle to Coldfoot on Wed and remain there into Thu. There will be isolated showers along this trough today through Wed along with low RH and warmer than normal temperatures, with a few thunderstorms possible along the trough near the ALCAN Border on Thu. Afternoon winds will gust blowing into this trough each day.

High pressure south of the Alaska Range is causing south winds to blow into this thermal trough through Alaska Range Passes today and Tue. Southerly Chinook winds of 25-30 mph gusting to 45 mph will blow along the Alaska Range Tue afternoon through Wed afternoon and will bring Red Flag conditions to Delta Junction to Donnelly Dome area Tue PM, and near Red Flag conditions Wed PM.
Chinook winds will decrease Wed night and end Thu.

A low in the southern Bering Sea will move to the Kuskokwim Delta by Wed night and then move inland and weaken. A weather front stretching from this low to the YK Delta will move north to the Bering Strait to Illiamna by 4pm Tue, and to Point Hope to Denali by 4pm Wed, then to Point Hope to Northway by 4am Thu before weakening. A significant amount of rain will accompany this front over the West Coast and Western Interior tonight through Wed with some drying over Western AK on Thu. . Rain is likely over the Central Interior Wed night into Thu with 0.25-0.50 inch. A chance over the Eastern Interior Wed PM will become likely rain on Thu.
Several inches of snow will fall above 3000-4000 ft Wed night and Thu.

DISCUSSION
Models initialize well aloft at 12Z, and show similar solutions aloft through 4pm Wed. After that time models start to diverge on short wave details Wed night. The NAM is somewhat of an outlier starting Wed night with lower 500 mb heights than all the other models. At this time will use a blend of models for features aloft through 4pm Wed, then use a blend of the ECMWF, GFS and Canadian for features aloft Wed night into Thu. Models all develop a weak to moderate Chinook blowing across the Alaska Range on Tue and Tue night, with the NAM keeping the Chinook stronger later Wed night than other models. As previously stated we will not use the NAM solution on Wed night or Thu.

The long wave pattern consists of a trough over the Bering and Chukchi Seas, a ridge over the NE Pacific north over central Alaska, and another trough over NW Canada. This pattern is progressive with the ridge shifting over Eastern AK on Tue and the first trough over the Bering and Western Alaska. A series of short wave troughs will move east across southern AK from Wed through the weekend, eventually pulling the long wave east over Mainland AK by the weekend. This will change the current warm Eastern Interior and North Slope cooler and wetter late this week, while the cool and wet West Coast becomes warmer and drier on the weekend.

A short wave trough over the SE Interior will move east this evening. This is causing scattered showers over the SE Interior that will dissipate tonight.

A second short wave over the SE Bering Sea will move over SW AK tonight, to the Seward Pen to Kenai Pen on Tue, to Point Hope to Prince William Sound on Tue night, and to Point Hope to Yakutat on Wed. A trailing low aloft will move over SW AK on Wed, then over AK Range Wed night and over the SE Interior on Thu. This second short wave will push an occluded front with mainly rain and elevated snow east with it. This will cause a weak to moderate Chinook to blow across the Alaska Range on Tue and Tue night, the Chinook decreasing Wed night and ending Thu. A significant amount of rain will accompany this first short wave over the West Coast and Western Interior tonight through Wed. Expect significant rain with the low aloft over the Eastern Interior on Wed night and Thu.

At 850 mb temperatures range from +4C over the SE Interior to 0C along the Arctic Coast and -4C over the SW Coast. The The West Coast will remain about the same temp Tue while the SW Interior will cool 2-4C, and the North Slope and Eastern Interior will warm several degrees C. Most of the Interior will cool a few degrees on Wed, while the West Coast and North Slope remain about the same. Most areas will cool on Thu.

With precipitation, the ECMWF is a but faster moving it north over Western AK tonight and Tue, then models in better agreement Tue night and Wed. Wed night and Thu the NAM has much higher amounts in some areas and maintains the chinook shadow too long. Prefer a blend of models for precip through Wed, then a blend of the ECMWF and GFS for precip for Wed night and Thu. Highlights include: rain spreading north over Western AK tonight and Tue, then continuing on Tue night and diminishing on Wed. Expect 0.25-0.50 inch of rain over most of that area, with several inches of snow above 2000 ft. Rain likely over the Central Interior Wed night into Thu with 0.25-0.50 inch. Chance over the Eastern Interior Wed PM becoming likely on Thu with 0.25-0.50 inch there. Several inches of snow will be above 3000-4000 ft Wed night and Thu.

At the surface, models initialize well at 12Z. Models show similar solutions at the surface through Thu. Will use a blend of the GFS, Canadian and ECWMF at the surface since they are the preferred solutions aloft. Siginifcant winds are: Easterly 25 kt over the Northern Bering Sea tonight and Tue, spreading to the Chukchi Sea on Tue then decreasing Wed. Southerly Chinook winds of 25 mph gusting to 45 mph along the Alaska Range Tue afternoon through Wed afternoon will bring near Red Flag conditions to Delta Junction to Donnelly Dome area Tue PM.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

FIRE WEATHER
A thermal low pressure trough stretching from Northway to Fairbanks to Bettles and remain in place through Tue, then move to Eagle to Coldfoot on Wed and remain there into Thu. There will be isolated showers along this trough today through Wed along with warmer than normal temperatures, with a few thunderstorms possible along the trough near the ALCAN Border on Thu. Afternoon winds will gust blowing into this trough each day.

High pressure south of the Alaska Range is causing south winds to blow into this thermal trough through Alaska Range Passes today and Tue. A weather front moving over SW Alaska tonight will move over the Western Interior on Tue, and then over the Central Interior on Wed.

This will cause southerly Chinook winds of 25-30 mph gusting to 45 mph along the Alaska Range Tue afternoon through Wed afternoon and will bring Red Flag conditions to Delta Junction to Donnelly Dome area Tue PM and near Red Flag conditions Wed PM. Chinook winds will decrease Wed night and end Thu.

A significant amount of wetting rain will accompany this first short wave over the West Coast and Western Interior tonight through Wed. Expect wetting rain over the Eastern Interior on Wed night and Thu.

HYDROLOGY
The ice jam on the Yukon at Pilot Station released Sunday afternoon and water levels have now fallen 5 ft and flooding is ending there. Downstream at Mountain Village ice started moving Sun afternoon and the water level rose 5 ft Sun night. Running ice and high water remain at St Mary's, Pitkas Point and Mountain Village and a ice jam flood watch remains for those areas through Tue. The break up front is now downstream of Mountain Village and will likely get to the Yukon Delta at Alakanuk, Emmonak, Nunam Iqua and Kotlik sometime between late Tue night and Fri, bringing the risk of ice jam flooding to those areas Tue night through Fri.
Watches are out for all these areas.

The water levels along the Porcupine River at the Border rose to record levels over the weekend due to heavy snowmelt. This high water is expected to reach Ft Yukon on Wed, where it will gradually fills sloughs and swales east of Ft Yukon and eventually bring high water into Ft Yukon late this week with high water continuing into next week. A flood watch is valid front this Wed through next week Wed.

There are no new reports about the Buckland River, but there was a reported ice jam downstream of Buckland a couple days ago with rising water levels. We will continue to monitor.

River on the North SLope are beginning to flow with water flowing over ice with some open water areas. Those area will continue to see increasing melt this week.



AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AK...Flood Watch for AKZ825.
Flood Watch for AKZ826.
Flood Watch for AKZ833.
Red Flag Warning for AKZ937.
PK...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ801.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ806.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ807.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ811.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ812.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ816.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ817.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ850.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ851.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ852.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ853.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ854.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ855.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ856.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ857-858.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
NMTA2 - 9468756 - Nome, Norton Sound, AK 0 mi45 min NNE 2.9G5.1 43°F 32°F29.74
NMXA2 1 mi30 min NNW 4.1G8 44°F 36°F


Wind History for Nome, Norton Sound, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
PAOM NOME,AK 1 sm40 minNE 0310 smOvercast43°F36°F76%29.73
Link to 5 minute data for PAOM


Wind History from AOM
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Tide / Current for Nome, Norton Sound, Alaska
   
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
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Nome, Norton Sound, Alaska, Tide feet


Tide / Current for
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GEOS Local Image of Alaska   
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Nome/Fairbanks,AK




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