Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Prudhoe Bay, AK
June 26, 2024 1:53 AM AKDT (09:53 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 2:53 AM Sunset 12:54 AM Moonrise 1:53 AM Moonset 8:51 AM |
PKZ814 Cape Halkett To Flaxman Island Out To 15 Nm- 216 Pm Akdt Tue Jun 25 2024
Tonight - E winds 20 kt. Freezing fog and fog.
Wed - E winds 15 kt. Fog.
Wed night - E winds 10 kt. Fog and freezing fog.
Thu - NE winds 15 kt. Fog.
Thu night - E winds 20 kt. Fog and freezing fog.
Fri - E winds 20 kt. Fog.
Fri night - N winds 15 kt.
Sat - N winds 20 kt.
Sun - N winds 20 kt.
PKZ800
No data
No data
FXAK69 PAFG 252208 AFDAFG
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 208 PM AKDT Tue Jun 25 2024
SYNOPSIS
A very active pattern will bring the warmest temperatures so far this Summer to much of the Interior on Wednesday and Thursday while a highly unusual Bering Sea low pressure system brings near Gale force winds to the Yukon Delta coast on Wednesday. The heat wave will even extend to the North Slope on Wednesday and Thursday, bringing near record high temperatures to that area.
Thunderstorms will continue to be active this week, with relatively dry thunderstorms possible east of Chena Hot Springs on Wednesday evening. Thursday and Friday also look to be very active thunderstorm days across Northern Alaska.
DISCUSSION
Analysis and Model Discussion...Aloft at 500 mb, a tight closed low is retrograding northward off the Arctic Coast as a strong ridge builds over the central and eastern Interior. A vertically stacked low is now poised around the western Bering Sea. This feature tracks along the western Aleutians to near Adak then turns northward, reaching St. Paul Island by Wednesday afternoon. As the low continues to drift northward Thursday and Friday, a sharp convergence zone will form along the boundary between the ridge over the Interior and the low in the Bering Sea. This will serve as a focus area for scattered thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday afternoons and evenings. Thunderstorms will likely even drift north of the Brooks Range, especially west of Umiat. with the center of the high moving over the eastern Arctic Coast by Thursday afternoon, we expect very warm temperatures all the way up to the Arctic Coast Wed, Thu, and Fri.
Another impactful feature will be a shortwave rotating to the southwest around the center of the upper level ridge centered over the Yukon Flats on Wednesday afternoon. With dry air at the surface, elevated instability, and lifted condensation levels as high as 8500 feet, this will likely produce widely scattered dry thunderstorms over the Fortymile Uplands and upper Tanana Valley Wednesday afternoon.
Central and Eastern Interior...Hot and dry conditions with afternoon and evening thunderstorms continue with highs reaching the low to mid 80s. Wednesday will be the hottest day of the week with highs in the upper 80s to near 90. Thursday will be slightly cooler, but expect an increase in thunderstorm activity especially south and west of the Yukon Flats.
West Coast and Western Interior...Warm and mostly dry conditions persist. With a strong low pressure system approaching in the Bering Sea Wednesday and Thursday, expect southeast winds 15 to 25 mph from Nome south late tonight and Wednesday. The front will bring little in the way of precipitation with only light rain expected along the Yukon Delta. Thursday looks to be a very big thunderstorm day from east of Kotzebue to Huslia and southeast.
North Slope and Brooks Range...Warm temperatures will extend north all the way to the Arctic Coast on Wednesday and Thursday as the ridge moves north over the Arctic Coast. Isolated thunderstorms are expected even up to the Arctic Coast on Wednesday.
Thunderstorm activity will increase in the Brooks Range on Thursday. East winds around 15 mph are expected tonight along the coast.
Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...The aforementioned low pressure system in the Bering Sea will bring elevated surf 1 to 2 feet above the normal high tide line along the Yukon Delta coast as well as south facing shorelines south of the Bering Strait including Nome. Water will be elevated Wed-Fri with multiple water level peaks as storm surge values remain fairly constant and tides go in and out.
FIRE WEATHER
A strong ridge aloft continues to build over Interior Alaska with numerous shortwaves moving around the ridge providing instability for thunderstorm activity. The most concerning of these shortwaves will move around the high center from the north on Wednesday afternoon and evening over the southeast Interior. With lifted condensation levels as high as 8.5 kft along with northeast steering flow and surface RHs as low as 20%, this is an ideal setup for dry thunderstorms. Dry thunderstorms will be possible east of Chena Hot Springs, but most likely in the upper Tanana Valley from Dot Lake east to the Alcan Border.
Wednesday, in addition to the possibility of dry thunderstorms described above, will be the hottest and driest day of the week with highs expected to reach the upper 80s to near 90 across most of the Interior. Min RHs will be 20-25% east of Tanana and slightly higher to the west. Outside of the widely scattered dry thunderstorms east of Chena Hot Springs, expect isolated thunderstorms across the rest of the Interior.
On Thursday, the ridge will shift north to the Arctic Coast as a strong low in the Bering Sea pushes further north. This will tighten the gradient and cause east winds 10 to 20 mph across the northern Interior. It will still be plenty hot and dry, so if the winds pan out, could see Red Flag conditions for hot/dry/windy in the northern Interior on Thursday. Thursday may also be the largest lightning day of the year so far as scattered thunderstorms are expected to form along a boundary between the Bering low and the Interior ridge extending from the Western Brooks Range to Fairbanks to the Alcan Border. Isolated thunderstorms are expected even up to the Arctic Coast. The EC lightning mapper indicates this quite well.
Friday will likely be another big thunderstorm day, with activity at this time looking the most active over the Yukon Flats.
HYDROLOGY
Glacial fed rivers including the Tanana are beginning to rise as warming temperatures lead to increased high elevation snowmelt.
AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AK...Dense Smoke Advisory for AKZ839-840-844.
PK...Gale Warning for PKZ801-850.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ802.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ805.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ806.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ816-853-854.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ817.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ851.
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 208 PM AKDT Tue Jun 25 2024
SYNOPSIS
A very active pattern will bring the warmest temperatures so far this Summer to much of the Interior on Wednesday and Thursday while a highly unusual Bering Sea low pressure system brings near Gale force winds to the Yukon Delta coast on Wednesday. The heat wave will even extend to the North Slope on Wednesday and Thursday, bringing near record high temperatures to that area.
Thunderstorms will continue to be active this week, with relatively dry thunderstorms possible east of Chena Hot Springs on Wednesday evening. Thursday and Friday also look to be very active thunderstorm days across Northern Alaska.
DISCUSSION
Analysis and Model Discussion...Aloft at 500 mb, a tight closed low is retrograding northward off the Arctic Coast as a strong ridge builds over the central and eastern Interior. A vertically stacked low is now poised around the western Bering Sea. This feature tracks along the western Aleutians to near Adak then turns northward, reaching St. Paul Island by Wednesday afternoon. As the low continues to drift northward Thursday and Friday, a sharp convergence zone will form along the boundary between the ridge over the Interior and the low in the Bering Sea. This will serve as a focus area for scattered thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday afternoons and evenings. Thunderstorms will likely even drift north of the Brooks Range, especially west of Umiat. with the center of the high moving over the eastern Arctic Coast by Thursday afternoon, we expect very warm temperatures all the way up to the Arctic Coast Wed, Thu, and Fri.
Another impactful feature will be a shortwave rotating to the southwest around the center of the upper level ridge centered over the Yukon Flats on Wednesday afternoon. With dry air at the surface, elevated instability, and lifted condensation levels as high as 8500 feet, this will likely produce widely scattered dry thunderstorms over the Fortymile Uplands and upper Tanana Valley Wednesday afternoon.
Central and Eastern Interior...Hot and dry conditions with afternoon and evening thunderstorms continue with highs reaching the low to mid 80s. Wednesday will be the hottest day of the week with highs in the upper 80s to near 90. Thursday will be slightly cooler, but expect an increase in thunderstorm activity especially south and west of the Yukon Flats.
West Coast and Western Interior...Warm and mostly dry conditions persist. With a strong low pressure system approaching in the Bering Sea Wednesday and Thursday, expect southeast winds 15 to 25 mph from Nome south late tonight and Wednesday. The front will bring little in the way of precipitation with only light rain expected along the Yukon Delta. Thursday looks to be a very big thunderstorm day from east of Kotzebue to Huslia and southeast.
North Slope and Brooks Range...Warm temperatures will extend north all the way to the Arctic Coast on Wednesday and Thursday as the ridge moves north over the Arctic Coast. Isolated thunderstorms are expected even up to the Arctic Coast on Wednesday.
Thunderstorm activity will increase in the Brooks Range on Thursday. East winds around 15 mph are expected tonight along the coast.
Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...The aforementioned low pressure system in the Bering Sea will bring elevated surf 1 to 2 feet above the normal high tide line along the Yukon Delta coast as well as south facing shorelines south of the Bering Strait including Nome. Water will be elevated Wed-Fri with multiple water level peaks as storm surge values remain fairly constant and tides go in and out.
FIRE WEATHER
A strong ridge aloft continues to build over Interior Alaska with numerous shortwaves moving around the ridge providing instability for thunderstorm activity. The most concerning of these shortwaves will move around the high center from the north on Wednesday afternoon and evening over the southeast Interior. With lifted condensation levels as high as 8.5 kft along with northeast steering flow and surface RHs as low as 20%, this is an ideal setup for dry thunderstorms. Dry thunderstorms will be possible east of Chena Hot Springs, but most likely in the upper Tanana Valley from Dot Lake east to the Alcan Border.
Wednesday, in addition to the possibility of dry thunderstorms described above, will be the hottest and driest day of the week with highs expected to reach the upper 80s to near 90 across most of the Interior. Min RHs will be 20-25% east of Tanana and slightly higher to the west. Outside of the widely scattered dry thunderstorms east of Chena Hot Springs, expect isolated thunderstorms across the rest of the Interior.
On Thursday, the ridge will shift north to the Arctic Coast as a strong low in the Bering Sea pushes further north. This will tighten the gradient and cause east winds 10 to 20 mph across the northern Interior. It will still be plenty hot and dry, so if the winds pan out, could see Red Flag conditions for hot/dry/windy in the northern Interior on Thursday. Thursday may also be the largest lightning day of the year so far as scattered thunderstorms are expected to form along a boundary between the Bering low and the Interior ridge extending from the Western Brooks Range to Fairbanks to the Alcan Border. Isolated thunderstorms are expected even up to the Arctic Coast. The EC lightning mapper indicates this quite well.
Friday will likely be another big thunderstorm day, with activity at this time looking the most active over the Yukon Flats.
HYDROLOGY
Glacial fed rivers including the Tanana are beginning to rise as warming temperatures lead to increased high elevation snowmelt.
AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AK...Dense Smoke Advisory for AKZ839-840-844.
PK...Gale Warning for PKZ801-850.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ802.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ805.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ806.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ816-853-854.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ817.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ851.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| PRDA2 - 9497645 - Prudhoe Bay, AK | 49 mi | 53 min | E 17G | 39°F | 33°F | 29.95 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for PAKU
NEW Forecast page for PAKU (use "back" to return)
toggle option: (graph/table)
NEW Forecast page for PAKU (use "back" to return)
Wind History graph: AKU
(wind in knots)Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Cross Island (Dinkum Sands), Alaska, Tide feet
Prudhoe Bay
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:48 AM AKDT Moonrise
Wed -- 04:45 AM AKDT 0.66 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:48 AM AKDT Moonset
Wed -- 11:20 AM AKDT 0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:34 PM AKDT 0.55 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:19 PM AKDT 0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:48 AM AKDT Moonrise
Wed -- 04:45 AM AKDT 0.66 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:48 AM AKDT Moonset
Wed -- 11:20 AM AKDT 0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:34 PM AKDT 0.55 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:19 PM AKDT 0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Prudhoe Bay, Dock, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.2 |
| 1 am |
| 0.3 |
| 2 am |
| 0.4 |
| 3 am |
| 0.6 |
| 4 am |
| 0.6 |
| 5 am |
| 0.7 |
| 6 am |
| 0.6 |
| 7 am |
| 0.5 |
| 8 am |
| 0.3 |
| 9 am |
| 0.2 |
| 10 am |
| 0.1 |
| 11 am |
| 0 |
| 12 pm |
| 0 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.1 |
Petro,Dome/Fairbanks,AK
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE