Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Orlando, FL

DISCUSSION
Issued at 242 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Currently-Tonight...Low level circulation of Invest 93L is pushing onshore north of Volusia County and remains disorganized. N/NE shear has kept persistent bands of rain and isolated storms S/SW of the center across areas near to north of a line from Orlando to the Cape. Some localized heavy rainfall totals have occurred with the heavier showers and storms, including up to 5-7 inches in northern Brevard County near Mims and Turnbull where a Flash Flood Warning was issued earlier today. As low shifts westward across FL into tonight, this persistent rainfall will also gradually transition west into this evening. Additional, scattered showers and storms will be possible farther southeast of the I-4 corridor with daytime heating through late afternoon/early evening. A Flood Watch continues through 8 PM from Brevard/Osceola counties northward through Lake and Volusia for the continued potential for locally heavy to excessive rainfall totals up to 5-7 inches that may lead to isolated flash flooding. This activity will then diminish into this evening, with isolated onshore moving showers and possibly a storm or two along the coast from the Cape southward overnight. Lows will be in the low to mid 70s.

Wednesday-Thursday...As Invest 93L moves westward into the northeast Gulf, NHC is still giving the system a medium (40%) chance of tropical development into mid to late week as it moves across the northeastern and north-central Gulf. Across east central FL, waves of deeper moisture (PW values up to 2-2.3") will lift northward across the area, keeping higher rain chances in the forecast (up to 70-80%). Scattered to numerous showers and storms will develop each afternoon and evening, with greatest coverage focusing inland. A few stronger storms will be possible each day, with the main threats including frequent lightning strikes, wind gusts of 40-50 mph, and torrential downpours leading to minor flooding.
Hot and humid conditions are forecast each day. Highs will reach the upper 80s to low 90s, with peak afternoon heat index values around 100-105F Wednesday and 102-107F Thursday.

Friday-Monday...(Previous Discussion) Broad mid level ridging slides over Florida late week and through the weekend. At the surface, the western flank of the Atlantic high extends across central Florida and into the Gulf. A more summerlike pattern of scattered afternoon showers and storms returns, guided by the sea breeze circulation. High temperatures warm into the low to mid 90s each day, with peak heat index values forecast to range 100-106 degrees.

MARINE
Issued at 242 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Tonight-Wednesday...An area of low pressure (Invest 93L) is pushing onshore across the northeast coast of FL and will continue westward through tonight before exiting into the NE Gulf Wednesday where it currently has a medium chance (40%) for tropical development into mid to late week. Poor boating conditions will continue into tonight, mainly over the offshore waters where S/SE winds will be up to 15-20 knots. Winds will then remain out of the S/SE around 10-15 knots into Wednesday.
Seas will be around 2-3 feet for much of the period, except up to 4 feet offshore Volusia County into tonight. Lingering deep moisture across the area will continue development of at least scattered showers and storms over the waters, especially overnight tonight into Wednesday morning.

Thursday-Sunday...Subtropical ridge axis will dominate the weather pattern late week into this weekend. Winds will remain out of the southeast through late week and then S/SE into the weekend. Seas will continue to range around 2-3 feet for much of the period, with more normal shower and storm coverage forecast.



AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 126 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Surface low has shifted onshore near KDAB this afternoon, accompanied by a large swath of rain and embedded thunderstorms.
Activity has been confined to KMCO/KTIX northward, where prevailing IFR to LIFR conditions have been observed the last few hours. As the low shifts west to northwest thru the late afternoon, rainfall will also pull towards the Gulf, returning coastal sites to MVFR as of the 18Z package. Embedded storms will lead to brief TS threat, handled across the interior with TEMPO thru 22Z. Isolated storms have sparked south of TIX, but vicinity mention should suffice.
Showers clearing the area by 00-01Z, with a return to afternoon convection after 17Z tomorrow.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 74 89 76 90 / 30 60 10 70 MCO 74 91 76 92 / 40 80 20 80 MLB 76 90 78 89 / 40 70 20 70 VRB 73 90 75 90 / 40 70 20 70 LEE 74 90 76 92 / 40 80 20 80 SFB 74 91 76 93 / 40 70 20 80 ORL 74 91 76 93 / 40 80 20 80 FPR 73 89 75 89 / 40 70 30 70

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ041-044>046-053- 141-144-247-347-447-547-647-747.

AM...None.