Wednesday, February19, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Palm Coast, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:59AMSunset 6:17PM Wednesday February 19, 2020 7:59 AM EST (12:59 UTC) Moonrise 4:19AMMoonset 2:47PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ454 Expires:202002191500;;760614 Fzus52 Kjax 190651 Cwfjax Coastal Waters Forecast For Northeast Florida/southeast Georgia National Weather Service Jacksonville Fl 151 Am Est Wed Feb 19 2020 Atlantic Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves, Along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Amz452-454-191500- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 151 Am Est Wed Feb 19 2020
Today..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north northeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers.
Tonight..North northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Thursday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 7 seconds. Inland waters choppy. A chance of showers.
Thursday night..North winds 25 to 30 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas up to 9 feet building to 6 to 9 feet with occasional seas up to 11 feet after midnight. Dominant period 7 seconds. Inland waters rough. Showers likely.
Friday..North winds 25 to 30 knots with gusts to around 40 knots. Seas 8 to 11 feet with occasional seas up to 14 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Inland waters very rough. A chance of showers.
Friday night..North northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 8 to 11 feet with occasional seas up to 14 feet. A slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet with occasional seas up to 11 feet. A chance of showers.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas up to 9 feet. A slight chance of showers.
Sunday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 151 Am Est Wed Feb 19 2020
Synopsis.. A weakening front will shift south across the waters today and stall across the northeast florida waters tonight. Strong high pressure will build north of the region late today through Saturday with an extended period of advisory levels.
Gulf stream.. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of feb 15, 2020 at 1200 utc... 66 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 75 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 86 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 99 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Palm Coast, FL
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location: 29.58, -81.19     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 191036 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 536 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2020

AVIATION. [Through 12Z Thursday]

Patchy fog and low stratus will impact some of the TAF sites this morning. VFR conditions are then forecast for the afternoon with northerly winds 5-10 knots. Winds will become northeasterly behind a weak cold front and increase to around 10 knots. Ceilings will lower from northeast to southwest tonight as low stratus moves into the area. Scattered showers and sprinkles will be near the coastal TAF sites overnight as well.

PREV DISCUSSION [316 AM EST].

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

Upper level ridging centered between western Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula will remain stationary through the day. The ridge will then flatten out tonight and begin to retrograde to the west overnight. Upper level energy will continue to stream eastward across the Southeast through tonight. At the surface, an area of low pressure was moving to the northeast to the north of Maine, with a surface cold front across north central Georgia. Strong high pressure diving southeast across the northern Plains will help nudge the weak frontal boundary southward into the area today. The boundary will then stall across north central Florida overnight.

Scattered showers were moving across interior southeast Georgia, and this is expected to continue through tonight. Mainly dry conditions are forecast south of I-10, except scattered showers are possible across Flagler County and southeast Marion County. Isolated to widely scattered light showers are possible across northeast Florida tonight in the low level northeasterly flow. Light northwest to northerly winds this morning will become northeasterly 10 to 15 mph late in the day along the coast as the frontal boundary shifts southward.

Highs today will be in the low to mid 70s across southeast Georgia and the upper 70s to mid 80s across northeast Florida. Overnight lows will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s across southeast Georgia, coolest near the Altamaha River, and the mid 50s to lower 60s across northeast Florida.

SHORT TERM [Thursday Through Friday].

On Thursday, showers will be widespread across the area as an area of low pressure moves east along a frontal boundary over northern Florida. Showers end from northwest to southeast on Friday as high pressure builds into the region and pushes the cold front south. Dry conditions, cooler temperatures and clearing skies are expected on Friday, however, a developing coastal trough may bring in coastal showers later in the day on Friday. A much colder airmass settles in dropping low temperatures Friday night to potentially below freezing over inland southeast Georgia and Suwannee Valley.

LONG TERM [Saturday Through Tuesday].

Surface high pressure over the southeastern US on Saturday moves off the eastern seaboard on Sunday keeping the weekend mainly dry. Rain returns on Monday into Tuesday as a low pressure system moves across the midwest and its associated fronts move through the southeastern US. Temperatures will go through a warming trend this weekend into early next week as the prevailing flow shifts to be southwesterly.

MARINE.

A weakening front will shift south across the waters today and stall across the northeast Florida waters tonight. Strong high pressure will build north of the region late today through Saturday with an extended period of advisory levels. Rip Currents . Moderate risk of rip currents northeast Florida beaches through Thursday. Low risk of rip currents southeast Georgia beaches today, and Moderate risk on Thursday.

HYDROLOGY.

Minor to moderate river flooding continues for the Altamaha River basin.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

AMG 73 48 54 37 50 / 50 60 90 70 0 SSI 74 53 59 41 50 / 40 40 70 80 10 JAX 78 57 67 42 53 / 20 30 50 70 10 SGJ 78 59 71 46 55 / 20 30 40 60 20 GNV 82 59 76 43 55 / 10 20 40 60 10 OCF 84 61 80 46 60 / 20 20 30 50 10

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AM . None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 6 mi74 min Calm 66°F 1023 hPa65°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 20 mi59 min W 5.1 G 5.1 67°F 62°F1021.4 hPa (+1.0)
41117 30 mi59 min 64°F2 ft

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL20 mi69 minN 07.00 miOvercast59°F57°F94%1021.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOMN

Wind History from OMN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSE4S8S8E5E4E5E7SE7SE7SE4----------------------CalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmE5NE7NE8NE8NE7NE5NE5N5----------------------Calm--
2 days agoCalmSE7SE5E3SE9SE9SE11
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SE8SE5----------------------CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Bings Landing, Matanzas River, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Smith Creek, Flagler Beach, Florida
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Smith Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:50 AM EST     0.09 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:18 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:20 AM EST     0.96 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:47 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 04:43 PM EST     0.16 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:16 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 10:27 PM EST     0.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.