Richland Hills, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Richland Hills, TX

June 16, 2024 8:51 PM CDT (01:51 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:18 AM   Sunset 8:40 PM
Moonrise 2:46 PM   Moonset 1:36 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Richland Hills, TX
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Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 170000 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 700 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

New Aviation, Short Term

SHORT TERM
/NEW/ Update: After several precipitation free days, rain returns to the forecast across eastern portions of the region. Seasonably warm temperatures can be expected as well with heat index values between 100-104 throughout much of the region. For additional detail regarding tomorrow's rain chances, read the previous discussion below.

Hernandez

Previous Discussion: /This Afternoon through Monday Night/

A warm and breezy afternoon is underway across North Texas with temperatures steadily climbing into the lower 90s under partly cloudy skies. A weak disturbance passing to our north resulted in a few showers/storms off to the west through the late morning, but these have since dissipated and no additional precipitation is expected this afternoon. The remainder of the evening and overnight will feature continued southerly winds with overnight lows falling into the mid 70s.

While strong ridging will be setting up over the eastern CONUS resulting in a pronounced heat wave, North Texas will be positioned between an amplifying trough to the west and the stronger ridge to the east. Persistent southerly flow will allow deeper tropical moisture to spread inland a bit during the day Monday as an inverted mid level trough makes its way westward across the Gulf. This trough will begin to take on tropical characteristics later this week, but until then, a plume of 2.5"+ PWs will approach the TX coast late Monday beneath a weakness in the height fields across North Texas. This should lead to an appreciable uptick in convection across southeast TX tomorrow afternoon, some of which will spread into our eastern and southeastern counties. We've nudged PoPs upward to 40-50% across our southeast counties with lower PoPs as far west as the I-35 corridor. Most of this activity will be diurnally driven and peak during the late afternoon with a quick reduction in coverage by evening. Given the increasing moisture content, locally heavy rainfall will be the main threat with this activity into the middle part of the week.

Dunn

LONG TERM
/Issued 232 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024/ /Tuesday Onward/

An unsettled weather pattern is expected over midweek as an inverted trough and associated tropical disturbance move across Mexico/South Texas. Stout southerly low-level flow on the back- side of the eastern CONUS ridge will continue, sending abundant moisture across the region. As the aforementioned tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico moves closer to the Texas/Mexico coastline on Tuesday, the upper trough will expand northward into Central Texas. This expansion will provide enough lift to promote isolated showers and storms across East Texas over the afternoon and evening hours. Rich tropical moisture in the form of near 2" PWATs are expected in our eastern counties, and will support the potential for heavy rain.

The tropical disturbance will move onshore midweek, bringing rain chances further westward on Wednesday. Best chances for showers and storms will be in southern Central Texas, gradually decreasing the further north you go. Scattered showers and perhaps a few storms are expected to move from east to west over the day Wednesday. Severe weather is not expected during this time, however periods of heavy rain and lightning will impact outdoor plans. Current most likely 72 hour rainfall totals (Tues through Fri) are 1.5-3" across Central Texas, and 1.5" or less north of I-20.

Persistent uncertainty remains in the exact location and track of the tropical disturbance and associated surface low. The GFS has had a more northern track into South Texas, while the NAM and ECMWF are further south into Mexico. The location of the low will impact rainfall totals, with a more northern track bringing much higher rainfall across our Central Texas counties, and vice-versa. To put this into a probabilistic perspective, out of all ensemble members (GEFS / GEPS / EFS), 55% support a more northern track. Yesterday, only 23% of members had this solution. We will continue to watch this in future model runs to for more agreement and consistency to increase our confidence in rainfall totals. Continue to keep an eye on the forecast going into this week.

Thanks to the rain cooled air and cloudy skies both Wednesday and Thursday will feel fairly cool for summer standards, with highs mainly in the 80s both afternoons. Later Thursday night/overnight into Friday, the rain will exit our Big Country counties, allowing for a short respite from the rain for most. Low chances for isolated storms will remain both Friday and Saturday for our southernmost zones. Looking ahead, just out of the bounds of the long term forecast period, there is potential for another GOM tropical disturbance to bring additional showers and storms late next weekend. We'll cover this in the coming days.

Prater

AVIATION
/NEW/ /00Z TAFs/

Concerns...MVFR Monday morning.

With the loss of daytime heating, the scattered cumulus clouds we observed this afternoon are now coming to an end, leaving behind a few passing cirrus clouds. As southerly winds continue tonight, a surge of moisture will work its way northward out of the Gulf and lead to a period of MVFR at all sites. Waco is expected to be the first to experience the low clouds (~11Z) followed by the North Texas airports (~12Z). The MVFR will come to an end around noon as ceiling heights increase. By the afternoon, expect scattered cumulus once again with southerly winds increasing to between 15-20 knots.

Hernandez


PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 77 92 76 91 73 / 0 5 0 5 10 Waco 75 92 74 89 73 / 0 10 5 10 10 Paris 74 90 72 89 71 / 0 20 5 20 10 Denton 74 93 73 91 71 / 0 5 0 5 5 McKinney 74 91 73 90 71 / 0 5 5 10 10 Dallas 76 93 75 90 73 / 0 5 5 10 10 Terrell 74 91 73 89 71 / 0 10 5 10 10 Corsicana 76 92 75 90 74 / 0 20 5 20 20 Temple 75 93 74 89 73 / 0 10 0 10 10 Mineral Wells 75 92 75 91 72 / 0 0 0 0 5

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.




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Dallas/Fort Worth, TX,




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