Friday, July19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fort Worth, TX

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Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 8:37PM Friday July 19, 2019 5:50 PM CDT (22:50 UTC) Moonrise 9:42PMMoonset 7:57AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fort Worth, TX
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location: 32.77, -97.29     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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Fxus64 kfwd 191953
afdfwd
area forecast discussion
national weather service fort worth tx
253 pm cdt Fri jul 19 2019

Discussion
We have a couple more hot days to get through over the weekend
before a pattern shift delivers a cold front, thunderstorm
chances, and relatively pleasant temperatures early next week.

An elongated bermuda high extends across much of the southeastern
us, keeping much of the southern plains subsident and seasonably
hot. This trend will continue over the weekend, with hot
conditions and little no chance for rainfall within the forecast
area. An easterly wave feature does exist on the southern fringes
of the ridge axis that will drift towards the area late Saturday.

However, any convective potential is expected to remain in east
texas or farther southeast along the gulf coast. While high
temperatures will be in the mid and upper 90s, heat index values
will largely be below 105 due to dewpoints mixing into the 60s
each afternoon. Therefore, no formal heat headlines are planned
at this time. In addition, a persistent southerly breeze of 10-20
mph should prevent the heat from feeling terribly oppressive.

Some large-scale changes will begin to take shape late Sunday as
the upper ridge translates westward while becoming strongly
amplified. Meridional flow will essentially extend from northern
canada all the way southward into the central plains along the
eastern periphery of the ridge. This fetch of northerly flow will
send a summertime cold front southward, which should encroach on
our forecast area sometime on Monday. Timing of this feature
remains a bit uncertain as its speed will likely be dependent on
the amount of convection associated with it, as consolidating
outflows could force the effective frontal zone to accelerate
southward.

Convective chances will increase along the front as it enters
north texas on Monday while encountering moderate instability
amidst modest deep-layer shear. Some multicellular clusters or
line segments may exist along the front while additional elevated
convection remains possible following its initial passage. At
least some low-end potential for a strong severe storm will exist
(mostly for wind), simply given the instability present coupled
with deep inverted-v profiles within the boundary layer. This risk
is expected to be rather isolated at this time with storms
likely struggling to become organized. Storms will continue
southward with the front headed into Tuesday, where some upglide
above the frontal surface may continued support showers or storms
behind the initial boundary.

Behind the cold front, noticeably cooler and drier air will slowly
filter in through the midweek time period. With the previously
mentioned northerly fetch, the source region of this airmass will
essentially have been canada. However, it will have undergone
substantial modification prior to reaching this far south. Still,
we should see temperatures as much as 5-10 degrees below normal
(aided by some lingering cloud cover), along with much lower
(possibly upper 50s) dewpoints. With the drier air in place,
lows should be capable of falling into the 60s for a couple of
mornings. By late july standards, next week is shaping up to
rather pleasant as we continue to keep the triple-digit heat at
bay.

-stalley

Aviation issued 1244 pm cdt Fri jul 19 2019
18z tafs
the main concern through the next 24-30 hours will be the
overnight MVFR deck that will once again develop across the hill
country and briefly affect waco early Saturday morning.

For today, afternoon cumulus clouds will develop around fl050
then diminish as the Sun sets. Gusty southerly winds will persist
through the afternoon and remain around 15 knots overnight.

Although there is a slight chance that the MVFR deck will invade
north texas airports overnight, the probability remains too low
to include in the taf. This, however, will continue to be analyzed
through the rest of today and into tonight.

All MVFR is expected to thin out by mid-morning Saturday, leaving
behind another day of cumulus clouds with breezy southerly winds.

Hernandez

Preliminary point temps pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 79 98 78 98 78 0 0 0 0 5
waco 77 97 76 98 75 0 0 0 0 0
paris 76 92 75 93 75 0 0 0 5 10
denton 77 97 77 98 77 0 0 0 0 5
mckinney 77 96 77 97 77 0 0 0 0 5
dallas 80 98 79 98 79 0 0 0 0 5
terrell 77 94 77 98 77 0 0 0 5 5
corsicana 77 94 75 94 75 0 0 0 5 5
temple 75 96 74 96 75 0 0 0 0 0
mineral wells 75 97 74 97 74 0 0 0 0 5

Fwd watches warnings advisories
None.

26 08


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Worth, Meacham International Airport, TX5 mi57 minSSE 16 G 2610.00 miFair95°F69°F43%1010.7 hPa
Fort Worth, Naval Air Station, TX6 mi58 minS 20 G 2510.00 miPartly Cloudy and Breezy98°F64°F33%1010.6 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, TX13 mi57 minSSE 15 G 2110.00 miFair96°F69°F41%1011.3 hPa
Fort Worth Spinks Airport, TX14 mi64 minSSE 14 G 2210.00 miFair97°F69°F42%1013.2 hPa
Grand Prairie, Grand Prairie Municipal Airport, TX14 mi60 minSE 10 G 2210.00 miClear97°F64°F34%1012.9 hPa
Fort Worth, Fort Worth Alliance Airport, TX15 mi57 minSSE 19 G 2610.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy96°F69°F41%1010.2 hPa
Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, TX17 mi57 minSSE 15 G 2010.00 miPartly Cloudy96°F69°F41%1010.7 hPa
Dallas, Redbird Airport, TX23 mi57 minS 17 G 2510.00 miFair95°F68°F41%1011.6 hPa
Dallas Love Field, TX24 mi57 minS 11 G 1910.00 miMostly Cloudy95°F68°F41%1011.5 hPa

Wind History from FTW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS17
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1 day agoS12
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2 days agoS11S10SE14
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G18
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.