Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Fort Worth, TX

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fort Worth, TX

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Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 050458 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1158 PM CDT Sun Jun 4 2023

New Short Term, Aviation

SHORT TERM
/NEW/ /Overnight through Monday night/

The overall weather pattern will not change much through the short term portion of the forecast with weak flow aloft and plenty of low and mid level moisture. Thunderstorms that developed across the CWA this afternoon have dissipated late this evening with only a few lingering showers across North and Central Texas.
Additional showers and thunderstorms will continue to move westward out of East Texas through the night. This convection should slowly weaken as it gets deeper into the CWA due to gradually decreasing instability, but storms may not dissipate completely. Therefore, we will carry low PoPs (20-40%) overnight for most of the region. Outflows from any of this activity will likely become the focus for scattered showers and storms Monday afternoon. The severe storm potential will be very low due to weak shear and only modest CAPE but still can't rule out some gusty winds to 40 mph with some of the stronger storms. Most of the storms that do develop promise to deliver locally heavy rainfall due to slow movement and plenty of available moisture.

Temperature trends will not change much through Monday night with lows generally in the 60s and highs in the 80s to around 90.

79

LONG TERM
/Issued 153 PM CDT Sun Jun 4 2023/ /Tuesday and Beyond/

The upper-level pattern will remain fairly stagnant through midweek with a deep upper-level low anchored over the northeast CONUS and another low positioned over southern California. In between, subtropical ridging will attempt to build over portions of far West Texas and the southern Rockies while weak low pressure meanders about the Southern and Central Plains. Daily chances for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue through much of the work week during peak heating with support from a series of weak embedded shortwaves in the west- northwesterly flow aloft. Pinpointing where convective initiation may occur each day will be largely dependent on mesoscale features left behind by previous convection. Weak mid-level flow will limit the overall severe weather threat. However, a high PWAT airmass (1.5-1.7") with moderate instability (SBCAPE ~1250-1750J/kg) will support the potential for a few stronger storms capable of producing gusty downburst winds, small hail, and heavy downpours.

Later in the work week and into the weekend, ridging looks to build overhead the Southern Plains leading to warmer temperatures and lower chances for precipitation. Widespread afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s are expected by Friday. It is a bit uncertain how the synoptic-scale pattern will evolve over the weekend, but some guidance is pointing toward a series of shortwaves ejecting into the Southern Plains ahead of the West Coast troughing. This may increase our chances for more widespread precipitation, especially over the latter half of the weekend. Take this with a grain of salt though, as the late week forecast will likely evolve over the next few days.

Langfeld

AVIATION
/NEW/ /06Z TAFs/

VFR through Monday night with scattered to occasionally broken mid and high clouds and few to scattered Cu. A light (less than 10 kt)
wind will prevail through Monday night, mainly from the northeast or east.

Multiple outflow boundaries lingering across the region will provide the necessary lift for scattered showers and thunderstorms through Monday. The main concern overnight will be the storms approaching from the east. These storms will encounter more stable air as they near the I-35 corridor, but a brief period of -TSRA is still possible before sunrise, especially at DAL and ACT.
Impacts from thunderstorms at or in the vicinity all of the TAF sites will be most likely during the afternoon and early evening (19-23Z) Monday.

79

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 68 89 68 89 69 / 30 50 20 30 10 Waco 65 86 66 85 66 / 30 50 30 30 20 Paris 66 89 66 88 67 / 20 30 20 30 20 Denton 64 89 65 89 65 / 30 40 20 30 10 McKinney 66 90 66 87 66 / 30 40 20 30 10 Dallas 69 89 69 89 70 / 30 50 20 30 10 Terrell 66 88 67 88 67 / 30 40 20 30 20 Corsicana 67 89 68 88 69 / 30 50 30 30 20 Temple 64 85 66 86 66 / 20 50 30 40 20 Mineral Wells 64 84 64 87 65 / 50 50 20 30 10

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.

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