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Marine Weather and Tides Calabash, NC Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 7:06AM

Sunset 5:08PM

Sunday December 8, 2019 12:53 PM EST (17:53 UTC)

Moonrise 3:03PM

Moonset 3:26AM

Illumination 89%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Calabash, NC

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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC

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FXUS62 KILM 081722 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 1222 PM EST Sun Dec 8 2019

SYNOPSIS. A coastal warm front will move onshore late today and tonight, bringing numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms, followed by a significant warm-up well above normal Monday and Tuesday. A cold front will cross the coast late Tuesday and early on Wednesday, bringing additional rain. Brief clearing and drying Thursday, before a wet Gulf system dumps rain on the area Friday through Saturday morning.

UPDATE. Minor adjustments were constructed on the pop/wx grids, slight changes to timing and placement, but the theme unchanged, rain and isolated TSTMs late today and tonight, moving out Monday. Radar receiving echo returns from the east, as a coastal warm front can be seen making landward progress. Light stratiform rain to spread along the coast, transitioning to convective type pcpn later this afternoon and tonight.

Sharply tapered QPF E to W brings system rain totals of a few hundredths of rain to the I-95 corridor, to 3/4 inch from SUT to ILM to Surf City, 1/4 to 1/3 from Murrells Inlet to Myrtle Beach.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/. Benign wx this morning will be short-lived. The center of sfc high pressure will move off the Mid-Atlantic coast and offshore during today. The ridging from the high will extend/nose across the Carolinas from the high but weaken considerably once the high's center moves off the Coast. This will allow a developing coastal front/trof just offshore and nearly parallel to the Carolina Coastline from Cape Hatteras to Cape Romain, to move northwest and onshore this evening. The front/trof will further move inland overnight before finally lifting entirely northwest thru north of the FA by or during early Monday Morning. Pcpn and low chance POPs ahead of the coastal trof/front this aftn will be from stratiform light rain or drizzle. As the front/trof moves closer and onshore, pcpn will become more showery with isolated tstorms even a possibility. Decent forcing along this boundary and just enough instability from mild/moist air having been over the Gulf Stream water advects toward the coast. The cooler nearshore waters have not quite reached levels or covered more acreage that would prevent convection from occurring other than possibly elevated. For Mon, models keep plenty of clouds with low chance POPs in the AM, and along with breaks of clouds and sun possible. By aftn, pcpn chances will remain well outside the ILM CWA, west thru north thru northeast of the FA. QPF from this morning thru 6 PM Mon will run 0.10 to 0 25 inches along and west of the I-95 corridor. and east to the coast, looking at 0.5 to 0.75 inches.

Temps actually near normal today will drop slightly after sunset as clouds and pcpn overtake the FA. Lows tonight will actually occur during this evening. As the coastal front/trof pushes onshore and across the FA, temps after it's passage will actually rise slowly thru the night, more-so closer to the coast.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. Deep warm and moist southwest flow will keep as fair amount of clouds around and temps well above normal. Pcp water values reach up near 1.5 inches with soundings and moisture profiles showing more in the way of high clouds, but expect some good breaks in the clouds pushing temps well into the 70s Tues, except along the beaches where it will be a bit cooler. Overall, expect warmer and more humid weather Mon night through Tues night. Aside from a stray shwr, pcp should remain at bay for the most part until cold front approaches Tues night into early Wed. Looks like most of the shwrs will fade as front approaches coast very early Wed but clouds and pcp may linger on the back end as SW flow aloft remains.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Much uncertainty exists through mid to late week period. High pressure builds down behind cold front on Wed, but looks like a wedge develops with increasing isentropic lift through the mid week period. This may keep clouds in the forecast with increasing chc of rain Thurs into Fri. Coastal trough will deepen and eventually move north as a Gulf system moves up from the south. With shallow cold air locked in place, expect increasing isentropic lift. Overall, expect unsettled weather with plenty of clouds and intermittent possibly heavier rain at times spreading north across the region into next weekend. Temps will run near or below normal during the day and above overnight due to clouds and moisture.

AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Coastal trough developed just off of the coast and isentropic lift is producing focused -RA at the coastal terminals. MVFR ceilings are affecting MYR and expect ILM and CRE to follow suit within the next 2 hours. As the warm front approaches the coast, shower chances will increase, mainly in coastal NC with increasing intensities. After 00Z, expect a general trend toward worsening IFR conditions with a quick transition to stratus at the coast and slower transition inland. Fog will also be an issue at our inland terminals tomorrow morning.

Extended Outlook . IFR/LIFR conditions expected at times Sun night into Mon as a coastal disturbance passes. MVFR conditions also possible again Tuesday as the next cold front approaches.

MARINE. Today thru Sun: The development of the coastal front/trof just offshore and parallel to the Carolina Coastline from Cape Hatteras to Cape Romain is in the making this morning as the. The ridge of high pressure nosing across the Carolina will lose it's sustainability as the center of the high moves off the Mid- Atlantic Coast today. This will allow the coastal front/trof just offshore to push northwest and across the local waters and onshore this afternoon and fully onshore and inland tonight. The SCA conditions from NE winds and resulting seas may diminish/subside slightly to briefly below SCA levels. However, should see both winds and especially seas climb back tonight thru Mon as SE-S winds ramp up after the inland progression of the coastal front. Have kept 3 of the 4 coastal waters zones in the SCA thru late Mon aftn due to the hiest seas and winds basically occurring north of the Murrells Inlet. As for pcpn, the best threat for convection will occur late this aftn thru much of tonight, and is associated with the coastal front/trof pushing northwestward and finally onshore this evening and tonight. Wind gusts 30 to 35 kt from tstorms is not out of the question given low level winds 30 kt or higher. The colder SSTS may help prevent those winds from reaching the ocean sfc.

Mon Night thru Thu: Continued S-SW flow will keep seas in the 3 to 5 ft range most waters with some lingering 6 fters possible in the outer waters Mon night. Tuesday night's cold frontal passage will bring a sharp wind shift to the north steepening wave wave faces. A cool air wedge of high pressure over land Wednesday and Thursday will keep N to NE gradient winds strong enough to warrant an advisory on their own, pushing seas more solidly into advisory criteria. WNA shows seas possibly reaching higher than 10 ft in outer waters Wed night into Thurs with northerly winds 15 to 25 kts or possibly higher.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for AMZ256. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Monday for AMZ250-252-254.



SYNOPSIS . RGZ UPDATE . 8 NEAR TERM . DCH SHORT TERM . RGZ LONG TERM . RGZ AVIATION . 21 MARINE . DCH/RGZ

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2)	5 mi	45 min	N 14 G 19	46°F	56°F		1028.5 hPa
41119	5 mi	63 min			56°F	2 ft
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC	23 mi	53 min		49°F
41108	31 mi	53 min			56°F	4 ft
WLON7	41 mi	53 min		48°F	52°F		1027.5 hPa (-1.8)
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC	48 mi	53 min	N 8.9 G 13	49°F	55°F		1026.6 hPa (-2.0)
NIWS1 - North Inlet-Winyah Bay Reserve, SC	48 mi	68 min	N 5.1	51°F			1027 hPa	39°F
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	49 mi	45 min	NNE 16 G 19	50°F	57°F		1026.8 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC	49 mi	43 min			58°F	4 ft

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
North Myrtle Beach Grand Strand Airport, SC	9 mi	60 min	N 8	10.00 mi	Overcast	49°F	39°F	69%	1027.8 hPa
Myrtle Beach International Airport, SC	22 mi	57 min	N 9	10.00 mi	Overcast	50°F	37°F	63%	1027.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCRE

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Tide / Current Tables for Dunn Sound, Little River Inlet, South Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Myrtle Beach Airport, South Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (12,3,4,5)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC

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