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Marine Weather and Tides Calabash, NC Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 7:15AM

Sunset 5:40PM

Saturday January 25, 2020 2:26 PM EST (19:26 UTC)

Moonrise 7:56AM

Moonset 6:26PM

Illumination 0%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Calabash, NC

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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC

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FXUS62 KILM 251720 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 1240 PM EST Sat Jan 25 2020

SYNOPSIS. Dry high pressure will continue to build into the area through the remainder of the weekend. Temperatures will turn cooler tonight as cold air filters in. Generally fair and dry this upcoming week, with exception of shower chances Monday and again mid week, as several disturbances track overhead. Temperatures will run close to normal for late January this upcoming week.

UPDATE. Offshore winds up to 15 kts have allowed seas to drop below Small Craft Advisory thresholds. SCA was expired for AMZ254-256 and cancelled for AMZ250-252.

Aside from minor adjustments, forecast remains on track for a dry afternoon with temps in the 50s to lower 60s with sunshine and downslope flow offsetting a bit of CAA through today. Temps will be a little cooler well inland especially in a few cloudy spots mainly west of I-95.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/. Rain will slide farther offshore with the front over the next few hours, allowing for a dry daytime period today alongside decreasing clouds and high temps in the upr 50s/lwr 60s.

Continued dry into tonight and Sun as sfc high pressure builds in from the west. Expect light west winds under a partly/mostly sunny sky and temps maxing out in the mid/upr 50s Sun. Low temps tonight in the mid/upr 30s.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. The short term and the long term forecast will be very active as several mid and upper-level disturbances cross the southeast United States. The first shortwave will move from the Upper Plains to the Carolinas on Monday and a 150-knot jet streak will be coincident with this wave on Monday. The precipitable water will increase to 0.75" to 1.00" which is around the 75% moving average for the last half of January, but the QPF from the system will be low with less than 0.10" forecasted. The GFS and ECMWF ensemble both show the QPF chances of greater than 0.10" are between 30% and 50% over northeast South Carolina and less in southeast North Carolina.

Low Temperatures: Sunday Night: Upper 30s inland and lower 40s at the beaches. Monday Night: Middle 30s inland and the upper 30s at the beaches.

High Temperatures: Monday: 54°F to 58°F.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. The extended forecast will continue with an active sub- tropical jet stream with a weak disturbance passing across the Carolina Wednesday into Thursday. The deterministic GFS and ECMWF are both still inconsistent with each other and even their ensembles. The models depict possible showers Wednesday into Thursday but with low confidence in timing stayed with lower PoP chances. The models continue to develop a deep cutoff low near the Big Bend area of Texas by Thursday night. At this point, the ECMWF solutions and the GFS solutions diverge through the remainder of the forecast period. Both develop an upper-level low that moves across south Texas, and a surface low developing over the eastern gulf. The ECMWF develops a single surface low, similar to a Miller Type A configuration while the GFS has modified Miller Type B pattern with an inland low and a coastal low forming off Cape Hatteras. As one can deduce, the model confidence on the weekend storm is low. Even with these systems and confidence, the temperatures are expected to be near normal for this time of the year.

AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Blanket of stratus reached far enough east before transitioning to strato cu field. These clouds produced some brief MVFR-IFR ceilings at FLO. This ceiling will lift to VFR with full VFR expected this TAF cycle all other terminals. WSW winds today 6-10 kt, a few gusts to 18 kt in afternoon. No VSBY restrictions anticipated.

Extended Outlook . VFR Sunday, some restrictions are possible Monday and Wed as a couple of weak disturbances impact area with potential for ISO to SCT rain showers, with brief MVFR cigs or VSBYs possible.

MARINE. Seas will slowly subside through the day as high pressure builds in with a subsiding offshore flow over the waters, 10-15 kt winds this aftn and tonight becoming just ~10 kt for Sun, with seas then down to 2-4 ft as the easterly swell diminishes.

Sunday Night through Wednesday: High pressure will build over waters with a lee-side trough in the western Carolinas. This pattern will veer the winds overtime from the southwest to northwest. Wind speeds will be less than 15 knots and seas through this period are expected at 3 to 4 feet Sunday Night and slowly drop to 2 to 3 feet Monday into Tuesday and 1 to 2 feet on Wednesday. Even with mainly offshore flow, the Wave Watch 3 produces a 10-second easterly swell of 2 to 3 foot Monday and slowly diminish this easterly swell to 1 to 2 feet by Wednesday.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . ILM UPDATE . RGZ NEAR TERM . MAS SHORT TERM . RH LONG TERM . RH AVIATION . 08 MARINE . MAS/RH

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2)	5 mi	78 min	S 14 G 21	53°F	53°F		1014.2 hPa
41119	5 mi	96 min			53°F	3 ft
SSBN7	5 mi	34 min				2 ft
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC	23 mi	56 min		59°F
41108	31 mi	56 min			54°F	4 ft
WLON7	41 mi	56 min			51°F		1012.5 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC	48 mi	56 min	SW 11 G 13		53°F		1012 hPa
NIWS1 - North Inlet-Winyah Bay Reserve, SC	48 mi	101 min	W 11	59°F			1014 hPa	41°F
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	49 mi	78 min	SW 12 G 18	54°F	53°F		1013.1 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC	49 mi	46 min			53°F	4 ft

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
North Myrtle Beach Grand Strand Airport, SC	9 mi	33 min	WSW 12	10.00 mi	Fair	62°F	41°F	46%	1013 hPa
Myrtle Beach International Airport, SC	22 mi	30 min	W 13	10.00 mi	Fair	61°F	39°F	46%	1013.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCRE

Wind History from CRE (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Dunn Sound, Little River Inlet, South Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Myrtle Beach Airport, South Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (14,3,4,5)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC

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