De Soto, KS Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for De Soto, KS

June 18, 2024 12:03 AM CDT (05:03 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:52 AM   Sunset 8:49 PM
Moonrise 4:51 PM   Moonset 2:08 AM 
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near De Soto, KS
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Area Discussion for - Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 1048 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024


- Isolated thunderstorms possible across areas east of I-49/I-35 before sunset. Storms may have frequent lightning and gusty winds.

- Heat and humidity continue with heat index values hovering around 100F for the next several days.Low temperatures around 70-75 degrees bringing limited relief from the heat to vulnerable populations.

- Winds today and tomorrow are expected to gust around 25-30 MPH and 30-35 MPH respectively.

- Slight chances for precipitation Tuesday night through Wednesday mainly across far NW MO and NE KS.

Issued at 250 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

A small area of upper level divergence and a weak boundary with isentropic ascent has developed along the southeast portion of the CWA stretching from around Moberly SW through Clinton. Isolated pop- up thunderstorms are developing; however, these are not long lasting storms and are not expected to become strong or severe. Lightning and gusty winds are the most likely hazards. Chances for these pulse storms continue through sunset.

Otherwise, heat and humidity remain the theme of the week as high temperatures continue above 90 degrees with heat indices hovering around 100F. A strong high pressure parked over the eastern CONUS funnels warm and moist air across the central CONUS. This keeps high temperatures in the mid to upper 90s while also pumping more moisture thus humidity into the region. Fortunately, we do not reside in the axis of the warm air and moisture advection keep things slightly tempered. Dew points look to stay at or below 70 degree which keeps heat indices around 100F instead of multiple days above.
Nonetheless, heat stress is still a concern merely due to the duration of the hot conditions as well as the elevated overnight lows (around 70-75 degrees) which may not bring as much relief as desired from daytime heat to vulnerable populations. Please practice heat safety if working outside and remember to stay hydrated and check in on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

While we are expecting mostly hot and humid conditions with little chances for precipitation, that does not mean the weather pattern isn't active. A shortwave trough passing to the NW of the area is creating a little bit of compression in the pressure gradient along the western side of the east CONUS high which when coupled with diurnal mixing accelerates wind gusts around 25-35 MPH today.
Unfortunately, this will not serve as a refreshing breeze, but rather more of a sauna with a fan. Gusty winds continue Tuesday with further compression of the pressure gradient plus diurnal mixing pushes gusts around 30-35 MPH. The shortwave will advance eastward Tuesday evening dropping a cold front across NW MO bringing some chances for showers and thunderstorms overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Optimistic guidance has this boundary advancing far enough eastward to bring precipitation to the KC metro; however, it likely will not advance that far keeping precipitation chances concentrated across far NW MO and NE KS. Of course, this front is not likely to bring a wholesale pattern change and heat with humidity look to continue.

The extended forecast of the upper level pattern remains fairly consistent with the stout high remaining over the eastern CONUS and a trough persisting to the west. This continues the flow of warm moist air into the region. Highs remain in the 90s through the period with heat indices hovering in the upper 90s to around 100F.
While the trough to the west does eject shortwaves into the pattern catalyzing some showers and thunderstorms across the central Plains, the eastward high lifts these storms to the north and west of the region. Long range guidance suggests that the eastern CONUS high may break down towards the weekend opening up western flow bringing chances for showers and thunderstorms as well as relatively cooler conditions starting Sunday and Monday of next week.

Issued at 1222 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

VFR conditions prevail through the period. Scattered daytime cloud decks can be observed over the TAF sites, and will remain above VFR ceiling thresholds. According to model guidance, cloud coverage is expected to dissipate around 22-23Z this afternoon, starting at STJ.
Winds will be out of the south-southwest at 15-20 knots. Gusts could be over 25 knots in some instances during daylight hours. Winds are expected to relax a tad and may meander more southwesterly after midnight.

Issued at 1048 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

VFR conditions look to remain for the duration of the TAF period.
Occasional winds gusts as high as 30 mph are possible for the next 24 hour period. There is a potential for MVFR ceilings Tuesday morning, however they were left out of the TAF due to uncertainty on cloud base height.


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