Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Absecon, NJ

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
The coastal low which has impacted the Mid-Atlantic region over the past several days has finally moved out to sea as high pressure is centered over the Great Lakes. The region remains caught in between systems as stubborn cloudiness persists. Cloud cover will continue to dwindle away through the overnight hours. Partly cloudy skies should prevail overnight for most, although clouds may linger a bit longer toward the coast. All in all, dry weather is anticipated. Winds will also subside overnight to around 10-20 mph. Lows tonight fall into the mid 40s to mid 50s.

For Wednesday, more in the way of sunshine is expected throughout the course of the day aside for some high clouds. In the morning, a cold front approaches from the north before crossing through the area during the afternoon. Winds will once again become increasingly gusty after the front passes where northwest winds may gust up to 30 mph in the afternoon. Despite the frontal passage, afternoon highs will be noticeably warmer with highs topping out in the mid 60s to low 70s for most, with 50s in the Poconos.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Cold advection will persist thru Wednesday night as high pressure builds in from Canada, resulting in a steady northwesterly wind. Skies should be mostly clear, and lows will drop down into the upper 30s and low 40s.

With the high taking its time building into the area, we'll keep a northwesterly gradient, so the northwest winds will remain steady and occasionally gusty on Thursday. Otherwise, skies will be mostly sunny, but temperatures will only recover to the upper 50s and lower 60s.

It still appears the gradient will remain tight enough Thursday night, with the high center still off to the northwest, such that we'll mostly avoid a frost/freeze threat in locations where the growing season continues. The steady breeze will remain, though a bit weaker than Wednesday night. Lows Thursday night in the mid 30s to lower 40s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
High pressure finally builds overhead Friday, allowing winds to relax more as the cold advection finally dwindles. Another mostly sunny day should help to bring temps up a little, with highs in the low to mid 60s, except upper 50s in the Poconos.

The highs sinks to our south on Friday night, with warm advection beginning aloft as the gradient turns westerly, though remaining light. Some clouds may filter into the area as well.
Lows Friday night in the 40s.

A weak warm frontal passage on Saturday should bring a bit more cloud cover, but also notably warmer temperatures. Highs Saturday in the mid 60s to low 70s.

Warm advection on a southwesterly gradient will continue Saturday night, but remaining dry with high pressure still in control as it drifts off the Carolina coast. Lows Saturday night in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

Warm advection peaks on Sunday just ahead of the next frontal system approaching from the west. Clouds will be increasing, along with the risk of showers, but it still should be the warmest day of the forecast period. Highs Sunday in the low to mid 70s, except 60s in the Poconos.

Aforementioned front moves through Sunday night, with widespread showers and maybe even some thunderstorms and locally heavy rain, depending on how the details set up. Lows Sunday night in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

High pressure starts building back in Monday, with decreasing clouds and precip chances. Highs Monday in the 60s, except 50s in the Poconos.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight...Lingering MVFR CIGs through 02Z or so, except for KACY, where MVFR CIGs will linger into 08Z or so. VFR thereafter. N-NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt or so, diminishing fairly quickly to less than 10 kt. Moderate-high confidence.

Wednesday...VFR with SCT high clouds. NW winds 5 to 10 kt in the morning, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with 20 to 25 kt gusts in the afternoon. High confidence.

Outlook...

Wednesday night thru Saturday...VFR conditions should prevail.

Sunday...Restrictions likely developing late as low clouds and rain move in ahead of an approaching cold front.

MARINE
The Small Craft Advisories on the Atlantic coastal waters are in effect through Wednesday. The Small Craft Advisories on the Delaware Bay have been cancelled today, however a new Small Craft Advisory has been issued beginning at 4 PM on Wednesday.

Northerly winds around 15-20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt will continue into tonight before diminishing after midnight. On Wednesday, north- northwest winds around 10-15 kt in the morning will increase to 15- 20 kt in the afternoon with gusts up to 25 kt following a frontal passage. Seas of 6-10 feet. Fair weather outside of SCA conditions.

Outlook...

Small Craft Advisory conditions look likely at times Wednesday night thru Thursday night due to winds and/or waves, at least on the ocean waters. Delaware Bay will naturally have more sub- advisory periods.

Sub-SCA conditions should become more widespread Friday and continue thru Saturday.

Sunday will see increasing southerly winds and seas building over 5 feet. Advisory conditions likely. Rain developing late Sunday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
The Coastal Flood Advisory was allowed to expire for Atlantic and Cape May County in NJ and Kent County in DE as no further tidal flooding is expected.

Barnegat Bay and the back bays of the Delaware Beaches have been slow to drain and remain mostly in minor flood stage. Flow slowly turns more to the north/northwest tonight and tomorrow.
Would expect continued tidal flooding through tonight though within those back bay and bayside communities. The Coastal Flood Advisory was extended through 9 AM tomorrow.

No further tidal issues expected elsewhere.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...Coastal Flood Advisory until 9 AM EDT Wednesday for NJZ020-026.
DE...Coastal Flood Advisory until 9 AM EDT Wednesday for DEZ003-004.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM Wednesday to 6 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ430-431.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ450>455.