Absecon, NJ Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Absecon, NJ


December 6, 2023 12:29 PM EST (17:29 UTC)
Sunrise 7:02AM   Sunset 4:36PM   Moonrise  1:29AM   Moonset 2:07PM 

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ452 Coastal Waters From Little Egg Inlet To Great Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 1004 Am Est Wed Dec 6 2023
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Rest of today..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt, increasing to 30 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 3 to 5 ft this afternoon. N swell 2 to 4 ft at 6 seconds. A slight chance of rain or snow. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. N swell 2 to 5 ft at 6 seconds.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. N swell 2 to 3 ft at 7 seconds, becoming ne at 7 seconds in the afternoon.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. SW swell 2 to 3 ft at 6 seconds.
Fri..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. E swell around 2 ft at 7 seconds.
Fri night..SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. E swell around 2 ft at 9 seconds, becoming S 2 to 3 ft at 7 seconds after midnight.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..S winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon, then becoming sw 25 to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, building to 7 to 10 ft. A chance of rain in the afternoon. Rain likely through the night.

ANZ400 1004 Am Est Wed Dec 6 2023
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A weak low off the carolina coast moves offshore through Wednesday. High pressure will build in for the rest of the week into the first half of the weekend, though a weak system may clip the western part of the area Thursday morning. A strong cold front approaches on Sunday and passes on Sunday night, with high pressure building in for the early part of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Absecon, NJ
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Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 061613 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 1113 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023

SYNOPSIS
A weak low off the Carolina coast moves offshore through Wednesday. High pressure will build in for the rest of the week into the first half of the weekend, though a weak system may clip the western part of the area Thursday morning. A strong cold front approaches on Sunday and passes on Sunday night, with high pressure building in for the early part of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
An area of snow is moving out of the Lehigh Valley and is approaching western portions of the Delaware Valley, including Philadelphia. Temperatures in and around Philadelphia are warm enough to support rain, however, with surface dew points in the upper 20s, there may be enough of a wet-bulb effect to allow for temperatures to drop enough for some snow to mix in, or even to briefly change over to all snow, especially in the suburbs. QPF will be light, so not expecting much, if any, snow accumulation.

A northwest pressure gradient will tighten through this afternoon between building high pressure situated off to our southwest and departing low pressure sliding northeast out of the Carolinas well offshore. The upper trough will continue its passage, becoming more neutrally tilted as it does so. The coldest air aloft associated with it will be overhead today, so expect mid-level cloud coverage to persist at least through this afternoon until the trough axis pushes offshore and allows for some drier air to build in its wake in northwesterly flow.
Profiles look favorable to tap into a 20-30 kt 850 mb wind with steep low level lapse rates given the cold air aloft, so expect gusts will pick up this afternoon to the 20-25 mph range.

In addition, some diurnally driven scattered showers are possible across the area this afternoon owing to the upper trough, but without focused surface forcing and still lacking boundary layer moisture as lower dew points advect in this afternoon, coverage should be limited. Hi res model guidance shows transient showers diving southeast across the area and soundings have some low level instability owing to the steep lapse rates/cold air aloft. Most showers will be rain (possibly mixed with some graupel) except in the higher elevations of the southern Poconos and Lehigh Valley where surface temperatures will be cooler and favor scattered snow showers. The depth of the moisture looks to be cut off below the DGZ, but the steep lapse rates/marginal instability may result in some quick hitting showers. Modest cold advection aloft in the northwesterly flow will drop 850 mb temperatures to the -7 to -10C range, so highs will be a touch colder than Tuesday in the low to mid 40s with upper 30s in the higher elevations.

Any showers will cease tonight with loss of the admittedly weak December sun and cloud coverage will break for the first half of the night save for our northwest zones where soundings indicate stratocu will persist in the typical cold advection northwest flow regime.
Closer to daybreak Thursday morning, another shortwave embedded in the northwesterly flow aloft will dive out of the Great Lakes and again reinforce cloud coverage. Wind shouldn't go entirely calm with the gradient in place, so temps should be able to drop to the mid 20s with the window of clearer skies expected.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
Latest hi res guidance has lent more credence to the potential for light rain/snow showers from a weak shortwave trough embedded within a potent upper level jet streak. Still not expecting a significant increase in precip totals or snow accumulations, though the potential for a more widespread area to see flurries or light rain/snow showers has increased, mainly across eastern PA and higher elevations of northern NJ.
Otherwise, areas near the Philly metro, southern NJ, and the Delmarva will be largely dry under mostly cloudy to overcast skies. Temperatures will remain about 5 degrees below climo during the afternoon with highs in the mid 30s to mid 40s once again.

High pressure will dominate into Thursday night with dry conditions expected as skies clear out. Temperatures will be slightly warmer due to low-level flow turning more west/southwesterly and weak warm air advection setting up. Cloud cover hanging around for the first portion of the evening will also help in keeping things slightly warmer. Lows will get down into the mid to upper 20s and low 30s.

A mid-level ridge is expected to move over the region on Friday, which will keep the region dry and bring warmer temperatures. Should be a nice December day to close out the week with some sun and warmth with temperatures for the most part getting into the low to mid 50s. Nighttime lows will warm slightly as well, only dropping into the low to mid 30s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
The strong ridge will continue to build into Saturday. The ridge continues to amplify offshore Saturday night and Sunday as a trough digs across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley and shifts eastward, taking on a negative tilt as it approaches our area. Rather robust cyclogenesis looks to occur over the Ohio Valley, with the quickly developing surface low traversing the upper Great Lakes, moving into Ontario by sometime Sunday. This will drop what looks to be a relatively strong cold front through our region late Sunday. The trough and associated cold front is forecast to move through the region Sunday night. What looks to be weak transient ridging or at least zonal flow should be in place for Monday.

In terms of sensible weather or impacts, things should be fairly benign Friday Night and Saturday with continued warming bringing afternoon highs into the mid to upper 50s for Saturday. The strengthening low across the Midwest and associated cold front will begin to approach on Sunday. The 00z deterministic and ensemble suite of guidance are coming to better temporal agreement and continues to show a later arrival of the cold front. Highest PoPs at this time are late Sunday afternoon and into Sunday Night. This early winter cold front continues to show the potential to be dynamic as surface low pressure deepens over the Great Lakes and tilting becomes negative, allowing strong warm air advection and moisture advection to ensue.

The main concerns appear to be strong winds and heavy rain. A dynamic wind field with a strong low-level jet will likely be present. Even the NBM 25th percentile (the lower end for what could possibly occur) for maximum gusts on Sunday was showing gusts near 40 MPH across the region. As far as rainfall, still a long way to go and a lot of uncertainty, but worth noting that the general ensemble mean was showing totals around an inch or so. WPC has placed a wide swath of the eastern seaboard under a Marginal Excessive Rainfall Outlook. Will need to continue monitoring this system for any changes as there are growing signs that this could be an impactful system.

Highs on Sunday could reach into the 60s, especially if the cold front comes through on Sunday Night. As you could probably guess from the previous sentence, this will be an all rain event as the entire area will be firmly in the warm sector as the front approaches. The beginning of next week will be quiet as high pressure tries to build in from the southwest behind the departing cold front. Temperatures will be closer to seasonal norms.

AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...

Today...Mainly VFR. Some brief MVFR conditions possible at KPHL/KPNE in light RA/SN into 17Z or so. Otherwise 4-5kft CIGs will dominate and scatter out this afternoon as some drier air builds in. NW wind 10-15 knots with occasional gusts to 20 knots possible. Moderate confidence.

Tonight...VFR with mid level clouds building in after 08z.
Northwesterly wind 5-8 knots. High confidence.

Outlook...

Thursday...Primarily VFR, though some restrictions possible at KRDG/KABE with potential light snow showers. West/southwest winds around 5-10 kt. Moderate confidence.

Thursday Night...VFR with clearing skies. Winds favoring a southwest direction around 5 kt or less but some spots will go calm. Moderate confidence.

Friday through Saturday...VFR. South/southwest winds around 5-10 kt.
Moderate confidence.

Sunday...Sub-VFR conditions likely. South/southeast winds around 15- 25 kt with gusts 25-35 kt possible. Low confidence.

MARINE
A Small Craft Advisory is in effect from 1PM Wednesday - 3AM Thursday for the Atlantic coastal waters and 4PM-9PM Wednesday for the Delaware Bay. Northwesterly wind will increase to 10-15 knots with gusts to 25-30 knots and seas build to 3-4 feet. Gusts are expected to diminish late Wednesday night giving way to a lingering northwesterly wind at 10-15 knots.

Outlook...

Thursday through Thursday Night...No marine headlines anticipated.
Westerly winds around 10-20 kt and seas 2 to 4 feet.

Friday through Saturday Night...No marine headlines anticipated.
South/southwest winds around 10-15 kt and seas 2 to 4 feet.

Sunday...SCA conditions expected with Gales possible. Southerly winds increasing to 25-30 kt and gusts up to 35-40 kt possible.
Seas increase to around 5 to 8 feet.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST this evening for ANZ430-431.
Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EST Thursday for ANZ450>455.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 6 mi60 min 42°F 48°F29.93
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 8 mi60 min W 4.1 41°F 30.0429°F
CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ 40 mi60 min NNW 9.9G15 41°F 30.00
BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE 44 mi60 min 30.02
44091 46 mi34 min 53°F3 ft
SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ 47 mi60 min NNW 11G14 40°F 53°F30.02
BDSP1 49 mi60 min 39°F 43°F30.01
PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA 49 mi60 min 40°F 42°F30.01

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Wind History for Cape May, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KACY ATLANTIC CITY INTL,NJ 5 sm35 minNW 1010 smMostly Cloudy43°F28°F57%29.98

Wind History from ACY
(wind in knots)


Tide / Current for Absecon, Absecon Creek, U.S. Hwy. 30 bridge, New Jersey
   
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Absecon
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Wed -- 12:28 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:21 AM EST     3.32 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:39 AM EST     0.95 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:07 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 03:21 PM EST     3.32 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:34 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 10:09 PM EST     0.52 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Absecon, Absecon Creek, U.S. Hwy. 30 bridge, New Jersey, Tide feet
12
am
1.8
1
am
2.4
2
am
3
3
am
3.3
4
am
3.2
5
am
2.8
6
am
2.2
7
am
1.7
8
am
1.3
9
am
1
10
am
1
11
am
1.3
12
pm
1.9
1
pm
2.6
2
pm
3
3
pm
3.3
4
pm
3.2
5
pm
2.8
6
pm
2.2
7
pm
1.6
8
pm
1.1
9
pm
0.7
10
pm
0.5
11
pm
0.7



Tide / Current for Ventnor City, ocean pier, New Jersey
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Ventnor City
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Wed -- 12:28 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:52 AM EST     3.48 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:56 AM EST     1.00 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:07 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 01:52 PM EST     3.48 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:34 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:26 PM EST     0.54 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Ventnor City, ocean pier, New Jersey, Tide feet
12
am
2.9
1
am
3.3
2
am
3.5
3
am
3.2
4
am
2.6
5
am
2
6
am
1.5
7
am
1.2
8
am
1
9
am
1.2
10
am
1.8
11
am
2.4
12
pm
3
1
pm
3.4
2
pm
3.5
3
pm
3.2
4
pm
2.6
5
pm
2
6
pm
1.4
7
pm
0.9
8
pm
0.6
9
pm
0.6
10
pm
1.1
11
pm
1.8




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