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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Eagle, CO

June 24, 2024 11:54 PM MDT (05:54 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:32 AM   Sunset 8:34 PM
Moonrise 10:20 PM   Moonset 7:11 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Eagle, CO
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Area Discussion for - Grand Junction, CO
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114 FXUS65 KGJT 250434 AFDGJT

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 1034 PM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Residual moisture will continue to fire isolated afternoon showers and storms this afternoon and again on Tuesday.

- A push of deep subtropical moisture moves in by Wednesday, returning widespread showers and storms through Thursday.

- Mid-week moisture content, exceeding 200% of normal, also returns the threat of flash flooding due to periods of heavy rain and/or training storms.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
Issued at 101 PM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Afternoon showers and storms have already triggered atop the high country. While last week`s mositure surge has displaced to our southwest, anomalously high precipitable water values have been slow to exit the region. PWATs still range from 120 to 200%, equating to dew points in the upper 40`s. Nothing to scream about, but still sufficient moisture to see isolated pockets of heavy rainfall. SBCAPE ranges from 1000 to 1500 J/kg across the Western Slope, along with DCAPE values in excess of 1000 J/kg, this afternoon. Thus, as storms drift off high terrain, collapsing cells will be capable of producing small hail and strong outflow winds, 40 to 50 mph. Though most activity wanes around sunset, elevated CAPE should support storms surviving through late night hours again this evening.

Rinse and repeat for Tuesday...not much changes synoptically, thus, expect another warm day with isolated storms triggering off mountainous terrain in the afternoon. This lingering pool of moisture overhead is slightly shifting to the southwest, so terrain across northwest Colorado may be less active Tuesday afternoon in comparison to today (i.e. Routt County and portions of east Moffat County).

Aside from storms, high pressure overhead has maintained warm temperatures for late June. Highs and lows will continue to run 5 to 10 degrees above normal tonight and tomorrow.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Issued at 101 PM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024

A trough that has been lurking off the Pacific Northwest finally moves inland on Wednesday. This will nudge the subtropical high sitting over the Desert Southwest eastward, allowing the clockwise flow around the high to begin advecting deeper tropical moisture into eastern portions of the Great Basin, including eastern Utah and western Colorado. This plume of moisture is forecast to be richer than normal for late June, with ensemble guidance indicating values of 200-250% of normal by Thursday, with some guidance even suggesting near-record values for the period. As it stands, a wide area of eastern Utah and western Colorado will see PWAT values of over an inch of moisture. This will mean that, in addition to widespread shower and thunderstorm activity Wednesday and Thursday, the threat for heavy rain and flash flooding will make a return. Thursday remains forecast to be the big day this week, with the deepest moisture in combination with multiple little waves in the flow and a tightening pressure gradient aloft adding in a bit of enhanced shear. So in addition to frequent lightning and heavy rains, some stronger storms are likely and will be able to produce hail and strong, gusty winds.

As the upper level trough continues tracking across the northern tier of the country, the subtropical high will continue to be swept eastward, eventually cutting eastern Utah and western Colorado from that deep moisture plume. In addition, model guidance wants to sweep a punch of dry air in behind the trough axis on Friday, leading to a rapid dry-out of the atmosphere. Now, Friday will most likely see a decrease in available moisture aloft, but surface moisture is more stubborn and could hold on longer. So the potential is there for a continuation of widespread showers and thunderstorms bringing heavy rain on Friday afternoon. Look for decreasing storm coverage through the weekend as another ridge builds in and convection becomes tied primarily to the higher terrain.

Wednesday will see the last day of above normal temperatures this week, as the increasing moisture and storms will keep things cooler for Thursday and Friday, with highs near normal. Heat will rebuild for the weekend as ridging returns, with highs forecast around 5 degrees above normal. Lows will remain mild and 5-10 degrees above normal through the period.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1030 PM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024

VFR conditions will develop overnight and continue for most terminals through the period. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will remain a threat on the high terrain tomorrow afternoon, with less coverage than today. A few showers will drift off their terrain and decay over valleys, leading to gusty outflow winds and the potential for light hail. Winds will hold westerly, with a few terrain influenced gusts tomorrow afternoon. Cloud cover will remain scattered at the mid levels, with a few TEMPO ceilings in the vicinity of showers and storms. Shower activity will quickly diminish towards sunset.

GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CO...None.
UT...None.




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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KEGE EAGLE COUNTY RGNL,CO 5 sm58 minSE 0310 smClear64°F45°F49%30.24
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Grand Junction, CO,




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