Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Eagle, CO
January 13, 2025 4:52 PM MST (23:52 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 7:19 AM Sunset 5:00 PM Moonrise 4:50 PM Moonset 7:40 AM |
NEW! Add second zone forecast
Area Discussion for Grand Junction, CO
Hide HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS65 KGJT 132343 AFDGJT
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 443 PM MST Mon Jan 13 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- A weak system dropping out of Wyoming is bringing light snow to portions of northern Utah and Colorado this afternoon and evening. Accumulations and impacts will be minimal.
- Temperatures will be below normal the next few days as flow continues out of the north. The Gunnison Basin and adjacent drainages will be especially cold with highs in the single digits and lows well below zero.
- Tuesday will see scattered light snow showers mostly in the Park and Elkhead Mountains with a few isolated snow showers possible in the central Colorado mountains. No significant accumulation expected from these showers with minimal impacts.
- Otherwise, expect quieter weather Tuesday through Thursday with the next chance for precipitation arriving at the end of the work week.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
Issued at 114 PM MST Mon Jan 13 2025
Models are in fair agreement with satellite imagery indicating high pressure off the Northern California Coast, but low pressure descending out of the Pacific Northwest across California to a point off the SoCal/Baja Coast is running faster than the models. This indicates the models are struggling with the details of this system which injects uncertainty in the results early in the model runs. In spite of this uncertainty, this will have little impact on the forecast for eastern Utah and Western Colorado that will continue with the Arctic Express continuing to pump cold, dry air from the Arctic Circle and northern Canada south into the region. This will keep temperatures on the cold side Tuesday with the lower valleys near normal to five degrees below normal, the mountains about ten degrees below normal, and the high mountain valleys like Gunnison and Silverton close to 20 degrees below normal for mid January. The cold pool of air aloft is cold enough to support weak orographic snow showers over the San Juans and the northern mountains this afternoon and this evening. Warm air advection in the mid layers tomorrow will cap the southern mountains, but expect another round of scattered light orographic driven snow showers over the northern mountains with isolated showers extending south into the central mountains.
These showers will produce little if any accumulation.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Issued at 114 PM MST Mon Jan 13 2025
On Wednesday the pattern will be comprised of a cut off low pressure west of the northern Baja, and a ridge of high pressure located north of the that over the Pacific Northwest. The ridge spills over into our region, but weakens in the process. Despite that it will bring warmer temperatures and keep the weather quiet. For the most past Thursday and Friday remain dry as the closed low gets sheared out and ushered eastward fairly quickly well south of us. Attention then turns to a shortwave trough that comes out of western Canada and arrives here on Friday night into Saturday. Widespread to scattered mountain snow showers are expected as the trough tracks overhead from northwest to southeast. A potent cold front will accompany the trough possibly supporting snow showers in some of the valleys. That system clears out of the forecast area early Sunday, but showers look to linger in the mountains through out the day.
Most ranges will see snowfall with this event, but the Park Range looks to be favored once again. Behind the front 700 mb temperatures are projected to reach -20C, which would be one of the coldest air masses of the season. Lapse rates will be rather steep so diurnal snow showers are possible Sunday and Monday even with limited moisture. There may be help from a weak wave on Monday as well.
Fresh snow covered valleys could get rather cold if clouds can clear out at night. Although stratus and or fog is common in these post frontal regimes. It is too early to tell, but the stage could be set for near record cold. Northerly flow aloft stays locked in place into early next week as the polar vortex takes over eastern North America.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 443 PM MST Mon Jan 13 2025
Convective showers continued over higher terrain late this afternoon, and brought brief snow showers to KASE and KTEX just a bit earlier. A short wave trough in the northwesterlies aloft appeared in both satellite and model data and is expected to push over the forecast area this evening. Consequently, added ceilings below ILS breakpoints at both KEGE and KASE. Showers less likely at these airfields so included VCSH as precipitation can't be ruled out entirely. Ceilings are unlikely to drop to the lower ILS breakpoints at surrounding airports. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions for the next 24 hours with light winds.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...None.
UT...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 443 PM MST Mon Jan 13 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- A weak system dropping out of Wyoming is bringing light snow to portions of northern Utah and Colorado this afternoon and evening. Accumulations and impacts will be minimal.
- Temperatures will be below normal the next few days as flow continues out of the north. The Gunnison Basin and adjacent drainages will be especially cold with highs in the single digits and lows well below zero.
- Tuesday will see scattered light snow showers mostly in the Park and Elkhead Mountains with a few isolated snow showers possible in the central Colorado mountains. No significant accumulation expected from these showers with minimal impacts.
- Otherwise, expect quieter weather Tuesday through Thursday with the next chance for precipitation arriving at the end of the work week.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
Issued at 114 PM MST Mon Jan 13 2025
Models are in fair agreement with satellite imagery indicating high pressure off the Northern California Coast, but low pressure descending out of the Pacific Northwest across California to a point off the SoCal/Baja Coast is running faster than the models. This indicates the models are struggling with the details of this system which injects uncertainty in the results early in the model runs. In spite of this uncertainty, this will have little impact on the forecast for eastern Utah and Western Colorado that will continue with the Arctic Express continuing to pump cold, dry air from the Arctic Circle and northern Canada south into the region. This will keep temperatures on the cold side Tuesday with the lower valleys near normal to five degrees below normal, the mountains about ten degrees below normal, and the high mountain valleys like Gunnison and Silverton close to 20 degrees below normal for mid January. The cold pool of air aloft is cold enough to support weak orographic snow showers over the San Juans and the northern mountains this afternoon and this evening. Warm air advection in the mid layers tomorrow will cap the southern mountains, but expect another round of scattered light orographic driven snow showers over the northern mountains with isolated showers extending south into the central mountains.
These showers will produce little if any accumulation.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Issued at 114 PM MST Mon Jan 13 2025
On Wednesday the pattern will be comprised of a cut off low pressure west of the northern Baja, and a ridge of high pressure located north of the that over the Pacific Northwest. The ridge spills over into our region, but weakens in the process. Despite that it will bring warmer temperatures and keep the weather quiet. For the most past Thursday and Friday remain dry as the closed low gets sheared out and ushered eastward fairly quickly well south of us. Attention then turns to a shortwave trough that comes out of western Canada and arrives here on Friday night into Saturday. Widespread to scattered mountain snow showers are expected as the trough tracks overhead from northwest to southeast. A potent cold front will accompany the trough possibly supporting snow showers in some of the valleys. That system clears out of the forecast area early Sunday, but showers look to linger in the mountains through out the day.
Most ranges will see snowfall with this event, but the Park Range looks to be favored once again. Behind the front 700 mb temperatures are projected to reach -20C, which would be one of the coldest air masses of the season. Lapse rates will be rather steep so diurnal snow showers are possible Sunday and Monday even with limited moisture. There may be help from a weak wave on Monday as well.
Fresh snow covered valleys could get rather cold if clouds can clear out at night. Although stratus and or fog is common in these post frontal regimes. It is too early to tell, but the stage could be set for near record cold. Northerly flow aloft stays locked in place into early next week as the polar vortex takes over eastern North America.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 443 PM MST Mon Jan 13 2025
Convective showers continued over higher terrain late this afternoon, and brought brief snow showers to KASE and KTEX just a bit earlier. A short wave trough in the northwesterlies aloft appeared in both satellite and model data and is expected to push over the forecast area this evening. Consequently, added ceilings below ILS breakpoints at both KEGE and KASE. Showers less likely at these airfields so included VCSH as precipitation can't be ruled out entirely. Ceilings are unlikely to drop to the lower ILS breakpoints at surrounding airports. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions for the next 24 hours with light winds.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...None.
UT...None.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KEGE
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KEGE
Wind History Graph: EGE
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of northern rockey
Edit Hide
Grand Junction, CO,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE