Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Eagle, CO
July 2, 2024 11:51 PM MDT (05:51 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:35 AM Sunset 8:34 PM Moonrise 1:34 AM Moonset 4:59 PM |
Area Discussion for - Grand Junction, CO
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FXUS65 KGJT 030508 AFDGJT
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 1108 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible along the Continental Divide this afternoon.
- This drier regime brings the return of critical fire weather conditions across northern portions of Colorado and Utah on Wednesday.
- Dry and warm conditions persist through the Holiday weekend and likely into early next week.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 225 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Dry air is filtering into the region under northwest flow aloft.
Lapse rates are steep behind the departing system and that combined with suborn moisture in the mountains could result in isolated showers this afternoon. The highest chances will be the central and southern mountains, but not much rain is expected. By sunset any active showers are expected to dissipate. Tomorrow another shortwave tracks over the Northern Rockies and it's associated jet noses overhead. Deeper mixing tomorrow afternoon will tap into these winds and allow them to reach the surface. Areas along and north of I-70 as well as the mountains could see wind gusts up to 30 mph. The dry air will result in minimum RH values dropping into the teens and single digits across the western half of the CWA Despite all of the recent rain some fuels are still deemed critical. Where these fuels coincide with the dry/windy conditions there is a Fire Watch in effect. Based on the hot dry windy index these conditions are marginal in the Colorado zones, with higher values in the eastern Uinta Basin. Would like the overnight shift to have one more look at the wind forecast.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
Issued at 225 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Independence Day revelers will have plenty of sunshine to bask in Thursday. The amplifying ridge over the West will continue to push dry air in and fight back any threat of monsoon moisture's return.
Afternoon highs Thursday and Friday will stick around the climatological normal mark for the region. Coupled with low relative humidities in the new air mass, the start of the holiday weekend looks pretty mild. Saturday and Sunday will see afternoon highs start to tick back up as the sturdy ridge to our west encroaches on the CWA Triple digits in our desert valleys should quickly return, while overnight lows will remain nice thanks to the persistent low dewpoints. Attention turns to the future of Hurricane Beryl early next week. Models are pushing remnant moisture from the storm back into the Southwest early Tuesday morning. This turns into a very tentative forecast at this point, but worth noting as it looks like the next opportunity for some active weather here on the West Slope.
For now, it looks like Tuesday afternoon could see some showers make their way into our southern counties. Again, this is contingent on the outcome of Beryl's landfall location, a very tentative forecast.
In the meantime, we will lick our wounds a bit more after a very wet June.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 1107 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024
VFR conditions expected over the next 24 hour with afternoon breezes on Wednesday bringing some gusts to 25 to 30 mph at area TAFs.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 225 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Dry air has filtered into the area due to a shift in the pattern. A system passing over the Northern Rockies will bring wind gusts up to 30 mph in spots tomorrow. Despite the recent rain some locations still have critical fuels. Where these conditions overlap a Fire Weather Watch is in effect tomorrow. Confidence in this marginal set up is not high enough to upgrade the watch. Winds decrease on Thursday and stay relatively low through the weekend. Conditions remain dry as high pressure to our west stays locked in place.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday evening for COZ200-202.
UT...Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday evening for UTZ486-487.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 1108 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible along the Continental Divide this afternoon.
- This drier regime brings the return of critical fire weather conditions across northern portions of Colorado and Utah on Wednesday.
- Dry and warm conditions persist through the Holiday weekend and likely into early next week.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 225 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Dry air is filtering into the region under northwest flow aloft.
Lapse rates are steep behind the departing system and that combined with suborn moisture in the mountains could result in isolated showers this afternoon. The highest chances will be the central and southern mountains, but not much rain is expected. By sunset any active showers are expected to dissipate. Tomorrow another shortwave tracks over the Northern Rockies and it's associated jet noses overhead. Deeper mixing tomorrow afternoon will tap into these winds and allow them to reach the surface. Areas along and north of I-70 as well as the mountains could see wind gusts up to 30 mph. The dry air will result in minimum RH values dropping into the teens and single digits across the western half of the CWA Despite all of the recent rain some fuels are still deemed critical. Where these fuels coincide with the dry/windy conditions there is a Fire Watch in effect. Based on the hot dry windy index these conditions are marginal in the Colorado zones, with higher values in the eastern Uinta Basin. Would like the overnight shift to have one more look at the wind forecast.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
Issued at 225 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Independence Day revelers will have plenty of sunshine to bask in Thursday. The amplifying ridge over the West will continue to push dry air in and fight back any threat of monsoon moisture's return.
Afternoon highs Thursday and Friday will stick around the climatological normal mark for the region. Coupled with low relative humidities in the new air mass, the start of the holiday weekend looks pretty mild. Saturday and Sunday will see afternoon highs start to tick back up as the sturdy ridge to our west encroaches on the CWA Triple digits in our desert valleys should quickly return, while overnight lows will remain nice thanks to the persistent low dewpoints. Attention turns to the future of Hurricane Beryl early next week. Models are pushing remnant moisture from the storm back into the Southwest early Tuesday morning. This turns into a very tentative forecast at this point, but worth noting as it looks like the next opportunity for some active weather here on the West Slope.
For now, it looks like Tuesday afternoon could see some showers make their way into our southern counties. Again, this is contingent on the outcome of Beryl's landfall location, a very tentative forecast.
In the meantime, we will lick our wounds a bit more after a very wet June.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 1107 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024
VFR conditions expected over the next 24 hour with afternoon breezes on Wednesday bringing some gusts to 25 to 30 mph at area TAFs.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 225 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Dry air has filtered into the area due to a shift in the pattern. A system passing over the Northern Rockies will bring wind gusts up to 30 mph in spots tomorrow. Despite the recent rain some locations still have critical fuels. Where these conditions overlap a Fire Weather Watch is in effect tomorrow. Confidence in this marginal set up is not high enough to upgrade the watch. Winds decrease on Thursday and stay relatively low through the weekend. Conditions remain dry as high pressure to our west stays locked in place.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday evening for COZ200-202.
UT...Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday evening for UTZ486-487.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KEGE
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KEGE
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KEGE
Wind History graph: EGE
(wind in knots)
Grand Junction, CO,
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