Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cleveland, OH
November 8, 2024 12:28 AM EST (05:28 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:06 AM Sunset 5:14 PM Moonrise 1:34 PM Moonset 11:17 PM |
LEZ146 Expires:202411080315;;644122 Fzus51 Kcle 072026 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 326 pm est Thu nov 7 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez145-146-080315- vermilion to avon point oh-avon point to willowick oh- 326 pm est Thu nov 7 2024
.small craft advisory in effect from 3 am est Friday through late Friday night - .
Tonight - West winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Friday - West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest. Sunny. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Friday night - North winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Saturday - East winds 5 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Sunday through Tuesday.
the water temperature off toledo is 59 degrees, off cleveland 59 degrees, and off erie 58 degrees.
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 326 pm est Thu nov 7 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez145-146-080315- vermilion to avon point oh-avon point to willowick oh- 326 pm est Thu nov 7 2024
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Sunday through Tuesday.
the water temperature off toledo is 59 degrees, off cleveland 59 degrees, and off erie 58 degrees.
LEZ100
No data
No data
NEW! Add second zone forecast
Area Discussion for Cleveland, OH
Hide  HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KCLE 080241 AFDCLE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 941 PM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure over the Plains will extend into the region tonight and Friday before becoming centered over the Great Lakes Saturday. Low pressure will track from the Upper Midwest through the northern Great Lakes Sunday lifting a warm front across the region before the cold front crosses Sunday night.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
930 PM Update...
The forecast remains on track and there were no needed changes with this update.
630 PM Update...
A quiet evening is being observed across the area with temperatures lingering in the upper 40s to low 50s. With increased radiational cooling overnight, temperatures are still expected to drop into the upper 30s to low 40s tonight. In some areas, especially throughout valleys, temperatures may decrease enough for patchy fog to develop. Opted to add patchy fog across the southeastern tier of counties with this update, but with overall marginal conditions and winds expected to increase near daybreak Friday, not expecting anything widespread.
Previous Discussion...
A quiet and seasonably cool end to the week is expected as high pressure builds into the region. This elongated area of surface high pressure is currently centered over the central Plains and Mid Mississippi Valley, and surface ridging along its eastern periphery will build into the region tonight and Friday while the center of the high does not move much. This will maintain a broad swath of fair weather from the heart of the Midwest through the southern Great Lakes. Lingering lake-effect clouds continue to erode from north to south this afternoon as drier air works into the region, and expect skies to be mostly clear areawide by 00Z. This will set up decent radiational cooling overnight with lows in the upper 30s/low 40s, although this is still pretty mild for this time of year. Mostly sunny skies will result in a milder day Friday with highs in the upper 50s/low 60s.
Friday night, a glancing blow of cold air will drop through the eastern Great Lakes and New England as a northern stream mid/upper trough swings into the region. The cold pool aloft will be just east of the region as the center of the surface high shifts into the central Great Lakes, but expect a colder night with lows in the low/mid 30s. Could see some W to SW winds gusting to 20-25 knots ahead of the trough/cold front Friday afternoon and evening before turning NW and quickly decreasing Friday night. Lake-effect clouds are possible in NE Ohio and NW PA, but expect the airmass to be too dry with subsidence as well, so no precip is expected.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
High pressure will provide for quiet and calm weather Saturday. Low pressure over the Plains on Saturday will lift across the Upper Midwest and into northern Michigan Saturday night and Sunday. A warm front ahead of this low will lift through the area Sunday morning, quickly followed by a cold front Sunday evening into Sunday night.
Precipitable water values will climb to 1.25 to 1.50" on Sunday, which is nearing 3 standard deviations above climatological normal for the date. This anomalously moist airmass, coupled with a brief period of strong lift beneath coupled jet support moving across the area during the day Sunday, should yield an area-wide wetting rain moving in from the west pre-dawn Sunday and sweeping across the area through the day. The greatest intensity of rain is expected on the nose of a strong southwesterly low-level jet. Forecast rainfall amounts currently are in the 0.40 to 0.80" range across most of the area, with probabilities for over 1.00" between 10-30% per most recent national blended (NBM) ensemble guidance. Rain exits to the east late Sunday into Sunday night as the cold front sweeps through.
Highs on Saturday will mainly be in the 50s, with near 60 possible towards Findlay. Lows Saturday night will mainly be in the 40s, with a few 30s possible in far Northeast OH/Northwest PA. Highs on Sunday will generally be in the low to mid 60s, with clouds and rain expected to keep temperatures in check a bit. Lows Sunday night generally settle into the 40s, with near 50 along the lakeshore. It will be breezy on Sunday beneath a strong low-level jet, though limited mixing should keep gusts under 40 MPH.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
The first half of next week will be fairly quiet in the weather department. A few lake effect rain showers are possible Monday in seasonable westerly flow behind Sunday night's cold front. A shortwave and secondary cold front move through Monday evening, bringing a brief push of chillier air and turning winds more northwesterly. Lake effect/enhanced shower chances briefly expand Monday night. A surface ridge axis moves through Tuesday and Tuesday night with dry and quiet weather. Low pressure takes shape over the central U.S. around Wednesday, moving east-northeast towards the Great Lakes or Ohio Valley on Thursday. The track, intensity, and timing of this low are quite variable on extended ensembles. Either way, have rain chances in the forecast Wednesday and Thursday.
Current impression is that Wednesday could end up dry, though enough ensemble members have some rain to keep in the low (30-40%) POPs for now, with higher POPs Wednesday night into Thursday. Temps will be a bit warmer than average next week with some fluctuations.
AVIATION /00Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/
Conditions have rebounded to VFR across the area this evening with mostly clear skies being observed. These conditions are expected to remain predominant for all terminals through this period, although there is a non-zero chance for some patchy fog near the KMFD, KCAK, and KYNG terminals. Confidence is higher within the valleys of the area, however given the weak winds overnight and increased radiational cooling, it is possible that these terminals may briefly be reduced to MVFR. With low confidence at this point, opted to not include the mention in any of the TAFs, but will continue to monitor. Any fog that does develop should quickly erode near sunrise as winds increase and temperatures warm.
The more notable impact to terminals will be the gusty winds ahead of an approaching cold front and associated LLJ of 35-45 knots across the area on Friday. Light and variable winds tonight will increase to 12-15 knots from the west by Friday afternoon with gusts of 20-25 knots possible. Near the end of this TAF period, winds will begin to decrease and shift more northerly at 5-10 knots and diminishing gusts.
Outlook...Non-VFR possible with rain showers and low ceilings Sunday through Monday.
MARINE
A cold front drops across Lake Erie on Friday. Westerly flow begins picking up ahead of the front tonight, shifting northerly behind the front on Friday and then more northeasterly Friday night as high pressure starts building in from the northwest. Winds over the central and eastern basin will be 15-25 knots overnight tonight into Friday ahead of the front, gradually weakening Friday night. A Small Craft Advisory has been issued from Vermilion, OH points east for late tonight through most of Friday night. Winds of 15-20 knots are expected west of the Small Craft Advisory. East-northeast flow will subside to 15 knots or less Saturday, shifting more southerly Saturday night. South-southwest winds increase to 15-25 knots ahead of a cold front on Sunday, shifting west-southwest and remaining 15- 25 knots into Monday. This Sunday into Monday timeframe will be the next timeframe to monitor for Small Craft Advisories.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM Friday to 4 AM EST Saturday for LEZ145-146.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Saturday for LEZ147>149.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 941 PM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure over the Plains will extend into the region tonight and Friday before becoming centered over the Great Lakes Saturday. Low pressure will track from the Upper Midwest through the northern Great Lakes Sunday lifting a warm front across the region before the cold front crosses Sunday night.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
930 PM Update...
The forecast remains on track and there were no needed changes with this update.
630 PM Update...
A quiet evening is being observed across the area with temperatures lingering in the upper 40s to low 50s. With increased radiational cooling overnight, temperatures are still expected to drop into the upper 30s to low 40s tonight. In some areas, especially throughout valleys, temperatures may decrease enough for patchy fog to develop. Opted to add patchy fog across the southeastern tier of counties with this update, but with overall marginal conditions and winds expected to increase near daybreak Friday, not expecting anything widespread.
Previous Discussion...
A quiet and seasonably cool end to the week is expected as high pressure builds into the region. This elongated area of surface high pressure is currently centered over the central Plains and Mid Mississippi Valley, and surface ridging along its eastern periphery will build into the region tonight and Friday while the center of the high does not move much. This will maintain a broad swath of fair weather from the heart of the Midwest through the southern Great Lakes. Lingering lake-effect clouds continue to erode from north to south this afternoon as drier air works into the region, and expect skies to be mostly clear areawide by 00Z. This will set up decent radiational cooling overnight with lows in the upper 30s/low 40s, although this is still pretty mild for this time of year. Mostly sunny skies will result in a milder day Friday with highs in the upper 50s/low 60s.
Friday night, a glancing blow of cold air will drop through the eastern Great Lakes and New England as a northern stream mid/upper trough swings into the region. The cold pool aloft will be just east of the region as the center of the surface high shifts into the central Great Lakes, but expect a colder night with lows in the low/mid 30s. Could see some W to SW winds gusting to 20-25 knots ahead of the trough/cold front Friday afternoon and evening before turning NW and quickly decreasing Friday night. Lake-effect clouds are possible in NE Ohio and NW PA, but expect the airmass to be too dry with subsidence as well, so no precip is expected.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
High pressure will provide for quiet and calm weather Saturday. Low pressure over the Plains on Saturday will lift across the Upper Midwest and into northern Michigan Saturday night and Sunday. A warm front ahead of this low will lift through the area Sunday morning, quickly followed by a cold front Sunday evening into Sunday night.
Precipitable water values will climb to 1.25 to 1.50" on Sunday, which is nearing 3 standard deviations above climatological normal for the date. This anomalously moist airmass, coupled with a brief period of strong lift beneath coupled jet support moving across the area during the day Sunday, should yield an area-wide wetting rain moving in from the west pre-dawn Sunday and sweeping across the area through the day. The greatest intensity of rain is expected on the nose of a strong southwesterly low-level jet. Forecast rainfall amounts currently are in the 0.40 to 0.80" range across most of the area, with probabilities for over 1.00" between 10-30% per most recent national blended (NBM) ensemble guidance. Rain exits to the east late Sunday into Sunday night as the cold front sweeps through.
Highs on Saturday will mainly be in the 50s, with near 60 possible towards Findlay. Lows Saturday night will mainly be in the 40s, with a few 30s possible in far Northeast OH/Northwest PA. Highs on Sunday will generally be in the low to mid 60s, with clouds and rain expected to keep temperatures in check a bit. Lows Sunday night generally settle into the 40s, with near 50 along the lakeshore. It will be breezy on Sunday beneath a strong low-level jet, though limited mixing should keep gusts under 40 MPH.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
The first half of next week will be fairly quiet in the weather department. A few lake effect rain showers are possible Monday in seasonable westerly flow behind Sunday night's cold front. A shortwave and secondary cold front move through Monday evening, bringing a brief push of chillier air and turning winds more northwesterly. Lake effect/enhanced shower chances briefly expand Monday night. A surface ridge axis moves through Tuesday and Tuesday night with dry and quiet weather. Low pressure takes shape over the central U.S. around Wednesday, moving east-northeast towards the Great Lakes or Ohio Valley on Thursday. The track, intensity, and timing of this low are quite variable on extended ensembles. Either way, have rain chances in the forecast Wednesday and Thursday.
Current impression is that Wednesday could end up dry, though enough ensemble members have some rain to keep in the low (30-40%) POPs for now, with higher POPs Wednesday night into Thursday. Temps will be a bit warmer than average next week with some fluctuations.
AVIATION /00Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/
Conditions have rebounded to VFR across the area this evening with mostly clear skies being observed. These conditions are expected to remain predominant for all terminals through this period, although there is a non-zero chance for some patchy fog near the KMFD, KCAK, and KYNG terminals. Confidence is higher within the valleys of the area, however given the weak winds overnight and increased radiational cooling, it is possible that these terminals may briefly be reduced to MVFR. With low confidence at this point, opted to not include the mention in any of the TAFs, but will continue to monitor. Any fog that does develop should quickly erode near sunrise as winds increase and temperatures warm.
The more notable impact to terminals will be the gusty winds ahead of an approaching cold front and associated LLJ of 35-45 knots across the area on Friday. Light and variable winds tonight will increase to 12-15 knots from the west by Friday afternoon with gusts of 20-25 knots possible. Near the end of this TAF period, winds will begin to decrease and shift more northerly at 5-10 knots and diminishing gusts.
Outlook...Non-VFR possible with rain showers and low ceilings Sunday through Monday.
MARINE
A cold front drops across Lake Erie on Friday. Westerly flow begins picking up ahead of the front tonight, shifting northerly behind the front on Friday and then more northeasterly Friday night as high pressure starts building in from the northwest. Winds over the central and eastern basin will be 15-25 knots overnight tonight into Friday ahead of the front, gradually weakening Friday night. A Small Craft Advisory has been issued from Vermilion, OH points east for late tonight through most of Friday night. Winds of 15-20 knots are expected west of the Small Craft Advisory. East-northeast flow will subside to 15 knots or less Saturday, shifting more southerly Saturday night. South-southwest winds increase to 15-25 knots ahead of a cold front on Sunday, shifting west-southwest and remaining 15- 25 knots into Monday. This Sunday into Monday timeframe will be the next timeframe to monitor for Small Craft Advisories.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM Friday to 4 AM EST Saturday for LEZ145-146.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Saturday for LEZ147>149.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH | 5 mi | 58 min | SSW 4.1G | 46°F | 60°F | 30.14 | ||
45176 | 7 mi | 48 min | WSW 12G | 53°F | 60°F | 2 ft | 30.14 | 46°F |
45196 | 11 mi | 58 min | SW 14G | 52°F | 59°F | 1 ft | 30.14 | 46°F |
45164 | 19 mi | 88 min | WNW 14G | 57°F | 61°F | 2 ft | ||
LORO1 | 27 mi | 58 min | WSW 9.9G | 51°F | ||||
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH | 29 mi | 58 min | SSW 13G | 48°F | 58°F | 30.11 | 45°F | |
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH | 40 mi | 48 min | WSW 16G | 55°F | 59°F | 30.18 | 47°F | |
OWMO1 | 44 mi | 88 min | WSW 4.1 | 45°F | 40°F | |||
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH | 44 mi | 103 min | SW 1 | 42°F | 30.21 | 41°F | ||
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH | 46 mi | 118 min | SSW 5.1G | |||||
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH | 46 mi | 88 min | SW 8G | 46°F | 30.12 |
Wind History for Cleveland, OH
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KBKL BURKE LAKEFRONT,OH | 3 sm | 35 min | SW 10 | 10 sm | Clear | 50°F | 41°F | 71% | 30.17 | |
KCLE CLEVELANDHOPKINS INTL,OH | 10 sm | 37 min | SW 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 45°F | 39°F | 81% | 30.17 | |
KCGF CUYAHOGA COUNTY,OH | 11 sm | 13 min | SW 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 45°F | 41°F | 87% | 30.18 | |
KLNN LAKE COUNTY EXECUTIVE,OH | 21 sm | 13 min | SW 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 45°F | 41°F | 87% | 30.16 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KBKL
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KBKL
Wind History Graph: BKL
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of GreatLakes
Edit Hide
Cleveland, OH,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE