St. Clair Shores, MI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for St. Clair Shores, MI

June 15, 2024 12:32 PM EDT (16:32 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:51 AM   Sunset 9:12 PM
Moonrise 1:57 PM   Moonset 1:11 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LCZ460 Lake St Clair- 347 Am Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Today - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tonight - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.

Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Sunday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.

Monday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon and evening. Mostly Sunny becoming Sunny in the afternoon becoming mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tuesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.

Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.

LCZ400
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near St. Clair Shores, MI
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Area Discussion for - Detroit/Pontiac, MI
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FXUS63 KDTX 151031 AFDDTX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 631 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry with seasonable temperatures today before abnormally warm conditions commence Sunday through much of next week.

-Temperatures likely peak in the mid to upper 90s next week with maximum heat indices near/above 100F.

- Low confidence thunderstorms could offset some of the warming, depending on coverage and timing.

AVIATION

High pressure will be centered over the eastern Great Lakes today.
This system will sustain a light easterly wind component through the day. Dry air circulating around this high will also maintain clear skies other than some late day cirrus.

For DTW/D21 Convection...No thunderstorms are expected.

DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...

* None.

PREV DISCUSSION
Issued at 353 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

DISCUSSION...

Atmospheric state is currently characterized by a longer wavelength ridge across the north-central tier of CONUS, flanked by a Pacific low descending along the coast of British Columbia and broad upper low over Hudson Bay that has begun to eject east. 15.00Z RAOBs reveal a region of +591 dam at H5 over the southern Plains which marks the infancy of a highly anomalous ridge that will build northeastward with time and bring dangerous heat to Southeast Michigan by Monday. As for conditions today, flow trajectories flip from cyclonically curved to anticyclonically augmented due to the approach of the aforementioned northern stream ridge. Stabilizing omega response noted with forecast soundings responding through warming/drying within the mid-levels, especially into the afternoon hours. Effectively clear skies offer broad insolation potential as the days creep toward the summer solstice. High temperatures will be tempered by the presence of veering low-level winds toward the ENE which promotes advective cooling, helped further by the influence of Lake Huron. Highs should largely hold in the upper 70s outside Metro Detroit (near 80 for the metro region).

The southern ridge closes off and centers a bit further east Sunday, primarily over northeast GA and the western Carolinas while surface high pressure over the Great Lakes slides into The Northeast, strengthening to 1025 mb. This realigns sub-H9 winds southeasterly with warming conditions under the return-flow configuration. H8 temps jump significantly as the elevated portion of an approaching warm front lifts through from the southwest. Favorable model consensus of +18C by 18Z supports highs well into the 80s for most locations. A shortwave feature embedded within the mean flow will lift across northern Lower Michigan Sunday evening. The 15.00Z deterministic GFS has now fallen in-line with the corresponding ECMWF/CMC/NAM runs in keeping the precipitation just north of the CWA Latest PoPs offer some minor refinements with a shift to only Slight Chance wording and a re-focus on Midland/Bay/Huron counties during the late evening timeframe. Overnight temperatures stay rather warm as lows hold near/above 70F.

Record-setting heat remains a possibility Monday and at various points throughout next week as the mid-level portion of the ridge builds to 594 dam over North Carolina. Highs temperatures locally are still expected to peak in the upper 90s for most urbanized locations while confidence increases for similar readings for the outlying areas. Heat indices should break into the triple digits as max 0-3 km ThetaE values approach 360K with surface dewpoints in excess of 70F. The combination of +100F heat indices, overnight lows above 70F and the multi-day impact of highly anomalous prolonged late-spring heat warrants discussion of Excess Heat Watches/Warnings within the next update cycle. From an impacts perspective, the effects of this heat wave become more amplified for areas with higher population density. This is supported by the Experimental NWS HeatRisk tool where widespread Extreme Risk for Heat-Related Impacts (Level 4 of 4) could be reached.

The ridge is expected to strengthen as it broadens northeastward along the Mid-Atlantic, peaking near 599 dam at H5 by Wednesday.
EPS/CMCE/GEFS remain on-board with highs in the 90s through Thursday. Uncertainty festers wrt convective potential and subsequent modulation of thermodynamic profiles. MEX and GEFS datasets hint at slightly more "cooling" potential with various shortwave perturbations along the western periphery of the ridge.

MARINE...

High pressure remains in control this weekend, bringing gentle winds across Lake Huron. Conditions hold ahead of a warm front moving across the area Sunday evening. Chances for showers and storms accompany the front, mainly over northern Lake Huron. Southeasterly winds will veer southwesterly behind the front, increasing to 10-15 knots. Gentle to moderate winds alongside chances for unorganized showers will persist through the rest of the week.

DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
Lake Huron...None.
Lake St Clair...None.
Michigan waters of Lake Erie...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
CLSM4 - St. Clair Shores, MI 1 mi33 minNE 11G15 66°F 30.20
AGCM4 21 mi63 min 67°F 62°F
MBRM4 - 9014090 - Mouth of the Black River, MI 42 mi63 min 68°F
FTGM4 - 9014098 - Fort Gratiot, MI 43 mi63 minN 11G12
PBWM4 43 mi63 min 61°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 49 mi93 minNE 11G14 66°F 30.1849°F


Wind History for Fort Gratiot, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KDET COLEMAN A YOUNG MUNI,MI 8 sm39 minNNW 0810 smClear75°F48°F38%30.20
KMTC SELFRIDGE ANGB,MI 9 sm36 minN 0810 smA Few Clouds72°F52°F50%30.17
CYQG WINDSOR,CN 15 sm32 minNE 099 smClear72°F52°F50%30.20
KVLL OAKLAND/TROY,MI 16 sm17 minNE 0810 smClear73°F46°F38%30.22
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Wind History graph: DET
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Detroit, MI,




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