Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Beechwood, MI
May 15, 2024 1:20 AM EDT (05:20 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:19 AM Sunset 9:02 PM Moonrise 12:15 PM Moonset 2:05 AM |
LMZ846 Holland To Grand Haven Mi- 1005 Pm Edt Tue May 14 2024
Rest of tonight - Northeast winds around 15 knots. Mostly cloudy through about 2 am then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Wednesday - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots backing north late in the day. Sunny. Waves 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday night - East winds 5 to 15 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots veering south. Partly Sunny with a slight chance of rain showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday - South winds 10 to 15 knots veering west. Partly Sunny with a chance of rain showers. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Saturday - East winds around 10 knots veering west, then veering north late in the day. Mostly Sunny. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday - West winds around 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
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Area Discussion for - Grand Rapids, MI
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FXUS63 KGRR 150233 AFDGRR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 1033 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Drying out tonight; sunny/dry for Wednesday
- Scattered showers return late Thursday and continue into Friday
- Warm with low chances for showers this weekend into early next week
UPDATE
Issued at 1033 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
Little movement in the key features is expected tonight with surface high pressure situated over Ontario to our north and a low meandering through the Ohio Valley. Northeast winds will continue through the night. Aloft a weak trough will nudge to the east allowing a small ridge to begin to push in. Given the above factors, we see little in the way of change of conditions overnight. Small chances for showers will continue in our south overnight along I-94. Clouds will likely hang in through the night over at least the southern half of the forecast area, or from near I-96 to the south. Lows tonight should range from the middle 40s up across Central Lower Michigan to the lower 50s along I-94.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 340 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
- Drying out tonight; sunny/dry for Wednesday
Low level convergence zone has set up near the Michigan/Indiana border and SB Capes of 500-1000 J/KG related to earlier sunshine has resulted in scattered thunderstorms. The storms are currently tracking west and should remain south of the I-94 corridor based on current radar trends. However would not totally rule out additional development farther north especially if any outflows from those push/fan out northward. Also the convection currently in Lenawee County could clip the JXN area based on current movement.
Meanwhile the band of showers farther north near GRR related to mid level deformation have mostly faded with only a few lighter showers/sprinkles remaining.
Once the diurnal convection in far srn Lwr MI dissipates after sunset we should be largely dry overnight with only 20 pops lingering into early Wednesday mainly near/south of I-94.
Drier air pours in from the north/northeast on Wednesday with decreasing clouds occurring from north to south. Should be a very pleasant day with plenty of sunshine, highs near 70, dew pts in the 40s, and a fresh northeast breeze.
- Scattered showers return late Thursday and continue into Friday
Pleasant weather will persist early Thursday, with short range models in good agreement that surface ridge will be overhead early in the day. WAA will then increase later on Thursday as the aforementioned ridge migrates east, and a 500 mb short wave trough moves from northern Plains into Upper MS valley. This will set the stage for scattered showers and thunderstorms late Thursday, Thursday Night, and into Friday. Surface forcing weakens considerably by Friday, in response to dampening upper trough.
However, still expect scattered /diurnally enhanced/ showers and storms Friday with broad/weak trough aloft, daytime heating, and lake breezes.
Low temperatures Thursday morning in the 40s will rebound into the mid 70s Thursday afternoon. Highs on Friday will again reach the 70s. High temps both Thursday and Friday will be several degrees above normal.
- Warm with low chances for showers this weekend into early next week
Temperatures are expected to remain above normal this weekend into early next week. Though differences exist in the ensemble output, the general trend is for the relatively zonal/progressive flow pattern aloft to become slightly more amplified by early next week, with troughing over the Pacific NW and downstream ridging over Upper MS Valley and Great Lakes. This will support continued warm temperatures, with highs in the 70s to around 80 /again, several degrees above normal/. Current ensemble output provides mixed signals on whether weak short wave energy can still advance into the Great Lakes, even as upper heights slowly build. As a result, the forecast will reflect low chances /20-30%/ for showers Saturday, and again Monday/Tuesday.
All in all, expect a decent stretch of weather this weekend and into next week - especially for the mid-late May timeframe - with above normal temperatures and occasional wetting showers.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 751 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
This forecast period looks to be rather quiet with low impacts expected. A mid cloud deck based around 9-11k ft agl remains over all of the terminals as of 2330z. The southern sites have a lower cloud deck around 4-5k ft agl also. Not really an issue with VFR conditions at all of our terminals. Latest trend in the data indicates that the clouds will be quicker to move out than previous data. Some of the clouds will remain, but they just won't be as widespread. High clouds may linger longer.
The only change in the conditions for tomorrow will be less mid cloud cover, and maybe some diurnal cumulus the further south and east you go. The cumulus bases are expected to be VFR around 3-4k ft agl. KMKG will see a lake breeze kick in around 16-18z or so where the wind will switch around to be from the NW.
MARINE
Issued at 340 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
The Big Sable Point observation indicates that the stronger northerly winds of 15-20 kts has developed near the Points as anticipated. There may be a further increase in winds north of Whitehall through sunset before falling off and turning more northeasterly after dark. Since the duration of these increased conditions should be brief will not have a Small Craft Advisory.
A similar situation is shown for Wednesday afternoon, with northerly flow strengthening over the entire nearshore by mid afternoon and continuing through sunset. Otherwise little support for hazardous marine conditions through the rest of the week.
GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 1033 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Drying out tonight; sunny/dry for Wednesday
- Scattered showers return late Thursday and continue into Friday
- Warm with low chances for showers this weekend into early next week
UPDATE
Issued at 1033 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
Little movement in the key features is expected tonight with surface high pressure situated over Ontario to our north and a low meandering through the Ohio Valley. Northeast winds will continue through the night. Aloft a weak trough will nudge to the east allowing a small ridge to begin to push in. Given the above factors, we see little in the way of change of conditions overnight. Small chances for showers will continue in our south overnight along I-94. Clouds will likely hang in through the night over at least the southern half of the forecast area, or from near I-96 to the south. Lows tonight should range from the middle 40s up across Central Lower Michigan to the lower 50s along I-94.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 340 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
- Drying out tonight; sunny/dry for Wednesday
Low level convergence zone has set up near the Michigan/Indiana border and SB Capes of 500-1000 J/KG related to earlier sunshine has resulted in scattered thunderstorms. The storms are currently tracking west and should remain south of the I-94 corridor based on current radar trends. However would not totally rule out additional development farther north especially if any outflows from those push/fan out northward. Also the convection currently in Lenawee County could clip the JXN area based on current movement.
Meanwhile the band of showers farther north near GRR related to mid level deformation have mostly faded with only a few lighter showers/sprinkles remaining.
Once the diurnal convection in far srn Lwr MI dissipates after sunset we should be largely dry overnight with only 20 pops lingering into early Wednesday mainly near/south of I-94.
Drier air pours in from the north/northeast on Wednesday with decreasing clouds occurring from north to south. Should be a very pleasant day with plenty of sunshine, highs near 70, dew pts in the 40s, and a fresh northeast breeze.
- Scattered showers return late Thursday and continue into Friday
Pleasant weather will persist early Thursday, with short range models in good agreement that surface ridge will be overhead early in the day. WAA will then increase later on Thursday as the aforementioned ridge migrates east, and a 500 mb short wave trough moves from northern Plains into Upper MS valley. This will set the stage for scattered showers and thunderstorms late Thursday, Thursday Night, and into Friday. Surface forcing weakens considerably by Friday, in response to dampening upper trough.
However, still expect scattered /diurnally enhanced/ showers and storms Friday with broad/weak trough aloft, daytime heating, and lake breezes.
Low temperatures Thursday morning in the 40s will rebound into the mid 70s Thursday afternoon. Highs on Friday will again reach the 70s. High temps both Thursday and Friday will be several degrees above normal.
- Warm with low chances for showers this weekend into early next week
Temperatures are expected to remain above normal this weekend into early next week. Though differences exist in the ensemble output, the general trend is for the relatively zonal/progressive flow pattern aloft to become slightly more amplified by early next week, with troughing over the Pacific NW and downstream ridging over Upper MS Valley and Great Lakes. This will support continued warm temperatures, with highs in the 70s to around 80 /again, several degrees above normal/. Current ensemble output provides mixed signals on whether weak short wave energy can still advance into the Great Lakes, even as upper heights slowly build. As a result, the forecast will reflect low chances /20-30%/ for showers Saturday, and again Monday/Tuesday.
All in all, expect a decent stretch of weather this weekend and into next week - especially for the mid-late May timeframe - with above normal temperatures and occasional wetting showers.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 751 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
This forecast period looks to be rather quiet with low impacts expected. A mid cloud deck based around 9-11k ft agl remains over all of the terminals as of 2330z. The southern sites have a lower cloud deck around 4-5k ft agl also. Not really an issue with VFR conditions at all of our terminals. Latest trend in the data indicates that the clouds will be quicker to move out than previous data. Some of the clouds will remain, but they just won't be as widespread. High clouds may linger longer.
The only change in the conditions for tomorrow will be less mid cloud cover, and maybe some diurnal cumulus the further south and east you go. The cumulus bases are expected to be VFR around 3-4k ft agl. KMKG will see a lake breeze kick in around 16-18z or so where the wind will switch around to be from the NW.
MARINE
Issued at 340 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024
The Big Sable Point observation indicates that the stronger northerly winds of 15-20 kts has developed near the Points as anticipated. There may be a further increase in winds north of Whitehall through sunset before falling off and turning more northeasterly after dark. Since the duration of these increased conditions should be brief will not have a Small Craft Advisory.
A similar situation is shown for Wednesday afternoon, with northerly flow strengthening over the entire nearshore by mid afternoon and continuing through sunset. Otherwise little support for hazardous marine conditions through the rest of the week.
GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| HLNM4 - 9087031 - Holland, MI | 0 mi | 51 min | NE 8G | 59°F | 58°F | 29.80 | 35°F | |
| 45029 | 10 mi | 41 min | E 9.7G | 57°F | 54°F | 2 ft | 45°F | |
| SVNM4 - South Haven, MI | 26 mi | 41 min | NE 9.9G | 58°F | ||||
| 45168 | 27 mi | 41 min | E 9.7G | 58°F | 56°F | 2 ft | 29.82 | 48°F |
| 45161 | 30 mi | 41 min | 1 ft | |||||
| MKGM4 - Muskegon, MI | 32 mi | 31 min | NE 9.9G | 57°F | 29.84 | 46°F | ||
| SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI | 49 mi | 81 min | NE 5.1G | 61°F | 29.82 |
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| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KBIV WEST MICHIGAN RGNL,MI | 6 sm | 27 min | E 09G15 | 10 sm | Overcast | 57°F | 45°F | 63% | 29.84 |
Grand Rapids/Muskegon, MI,
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