Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for New Era, MI

DISCUSSION
Issued at 243 AM EDT Mon Apr 21 2025

- Windy With Morning Showers Monday

Isolated showers and storms have developed over the region this morning with more widespread precipitation and scattered storms arriving shortly. A low pressure system moving into Wisconsin today is the driver of our precipitation, with a cold front crossing the area this morning bringing the more widespread precipitation. Satellite shows a pronounced dry slot behind this front that will keep the afternoon dry. Increased mixing behind the front will lead to 30 to 40 mph gusts Monday as well.

- Several Chances For Showers Mid to Late Week

Our next chance of rain is Tuesday Night into Wednesday as we see a warm frontal boundary lift north through lower Michigan. What follows is quasi-zonal flow with small embedded shortwaves. Periods of showers cannot be ruled out Wednesday/Thursday, but these setups feature low predictability so timing, occurrence, and placement of showers is not certain.

Rain chances increase again Thursday Night into Friday as a low pressure system moves into the midwest. This will bring the potential for both showers and thunderstorms into the region.
Conditions then dry out for the weekend as high pressure and ridging move into the Upper Great Lakes.

- Late Week Warmup Expected

Highs are expected to climb into the 60s through Wednesday and well into the 70s Thursday and Friday as ridging arrives. Some cooling is expected behind the late week system, but it only drop highs into the 60s for the weekend.



AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 135 AM EDT Mon Apr 21 2025

LLWS will continue through the morning with rain and a few thunderstorms pushing slowly east across Lower Michigan between about 12Z to 15Z. MVFR conditions can be expected much of Monday with ceilings from 1200 to 2000 ft AGL. VFR conditions should arrive during the evening as the stratus clouds scatter out.

MARINE
Issued at 243 AM EDT Mon Apr 21 2025

No changes to the going forecast this morning. Winds have increased ahead of a cold front with gusts of 25 to 30 knots ongoing. Better mixing behind the front will lead to a period of gales around 35 knots during the day today before winds fall tonight. A period of winds and waves hazardous to small craft are expected after the gale warning expires. Conditions subside below small craft advisory criteria by daybreak Tuesday and remain there through midweek as gradient winds weaken.

GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for LMZ844>849.
Gale Warning from 8 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening for LMZ844>849.