Whitehall, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Whitehall, NY

June 20, 2024 3:36 PM EDT (19:36 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:08 AM   Sunset 8:38 PM
Moonrise 7:55 PM   Moonset 3:30 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Whitehall, NY
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Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 201750 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 150 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

SYNOPSIS
Hot and muggy weather will continue through the evening hours, with showers and thunderstorms possible. Some storms will be severe and capable of producing damaging winds, hail and heavy downpours. While it will remain warn and humid on Friday, it won't be quite as hot as the past few days, with some additional showers and thunderstorms possible, especially for southern areas. Continued warm and sticky weather will continue into the weekend, with some additional showers and thunderstorms possible each day, mainly in the afternoon and evening hours.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 130 PM EDT...Severe Thunderstorm Watch #438 is in effect for northern areas (Herkimer, Hamilton, Fulton, Warren, Saratoga and Washington Counties in eastern New York and Bennington and Windham Counties in southern Vermont) through 8 PM this evening.
The threat for damaging winds is the main threat, but hail and heavy downpours will be possible as well.

SPC mesoanalysis shows MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg in place over the region thanks to the very warm and muggy air mass in place over the region. Low level lapse rates are very steep due to the strong heating, with values in the 7-8 C/km range, while mid level lapse rates are weaker due to the warm temps aloft (generally around 6 C/km). The best 0-6 km bulk shear remains well north and west of the region. However, an approaching MCV (currently just east of Lake Ontario) will help to allow for storms to develop and some loose organization is possible into small clusters as they pass west to east. Based on the latest CAMs, northern areas will have the greatest threat for organized storms, although some isolated cells are possible within the pulse environment across the rest of the area. Even within the isolated cells, locally damaging winds are possible due to precip loading/wet microbursts thanks to the high PWATs in place. The high PWATs, high freezing levels and effective cloud processes could lead to some high rainfall rates, with hourly rates over 1.50" per hour possible within the heaviest cells.
The recent dry weather should help prevent a widespread flash flood threat, but can't rule out some isolated issues, especially if storms pass slowly across any urbanized areas.

The strong upper level ridge responsible for the recent hot weather is starting to slowly shift southward. The center of 597 dm ridge is now centered over the northern mid Atlantic States, although heights/temps aloft remain high over our area. 12z KALY sounding still showed 500 mb heights around 596 dm, 850 hpa temps around 19 C and 925 hpa temps around 23 C. Expected highs will be in the low to mid 90s in the valley areas with mid to upper 80s in the high terrain. Combination of temperatures in the 80s/90s and high dew points in the low 70s will once again support dangerous heat index values reaching 95 to 100F.
Technically we have lower heat index values in the southern Adirondacks and southern Greens but given this is the third day of hot/humid weather and that most of these areas do not have air conditioning, we maintained heat advisory headlines.

Showers and thunderstorms diminish in coverage this evening with the loss of daytime heating but a few isolated showers and storms likely linger overnight as the sfc trough stalls over the region. Otherwise, a partly cloudy sky and humid conditions will keep temperatures warm and it will stay muggy, especially in areas that experience rainfall, once again overnight with temperatures only dropping into the upper 60s to low 70s. Fog should develop shortly after sunset in areas that experience rain given the moist environment.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
**Heat Advisories continue for the mid-Hudson Valley and southern Litchfield County through 8PM Friday**

We remain within the northern periphery of our broad ~595dm anticyclone Friday into Saturday with the conveyor belt of increasingly stronger zonal/westerly flow and thus stronger shear developing over eastern NY and western New England each day. For Friday, the sfc trough from Thursday likely lingers just south of Interstate 90 with a cold front gradually approaching from the International border. Areas south of the sfc trough, mainly the mid-Hudson Valley and Litchfield County, will remain in the very warm and humid air mass with temperatures likely rising back into the low to mid 90s. Given continued high humidity, heat index values in these southern zones should exceed heat advisory criteria reaching 95 - 100F for a fourth day and thus we have extended our heat advisory for Dutchess, eastern Ulster and southern Litchfield County through 8 PM Friday. We considered added in northern Litchfield and western Ulster but current thinking is heat index values will be a few degrees shy of the 95F heat advisory criteria and thus did not included these zones. The day shift and reevaluate and expanded the advisory if needed. The rest of the region will still very warm and humid but high temperatures should only reach into the mid to upper 80s and although it still will be quite humid, the lower temperatures will keep heat index values under the 95F threshold.

Given the lingering sfc trough near or just south of I-90 and the additional forcing from the incoming cold front pressing southward, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will likely quickly initiate once we reach the diurnal peak heating hours by late morning with storm coverage growing through much of the afternoon. Sfc instability will remain sufficiently high 1 - 2k J/kg and stronger westerly flow aloft will contribute to higher deep layer shear ranging 25 - 35kts. Damaging winds again are the primary concern with pulse type storms developing along the sfc trough capable of evolving into line or bowing segments thanks to stronger shear values. SPC has expanded it marginal risk for severe weather from the I-90 corridor southward through the mid-Hudson Valley and Berkshire/Litchfield County where the higher instability and sfc trough should overlap. However, the cold front pushing southward from northern NY later in the afternoon will serve as a secondary focus for organized convection for areas north of I-90 and the stronger shear will help compensate for the somewhat weaker instability. Thus, strong to severe storms including line or bowing segment capable of damaging winds are possible even for areas north of I-90. Heavy downpours are possible from thunderstorms throughout the region as well given PWATs hovering around 2" and efficient warm processes still in place.

Showers and storms gradually weaken in coverage and strength Friday night but with boundaries lingering overhead, we maintained chance POPs overnight. Expect another muggy and warm night thanks to the lingering showers/isolated storms with overnight lows only dropping into the mid to upper 60s. Areas in the southern Adirondacks and southern Greens should turn a little cooler as winds shift to the north-northeast in the wake of the cold front. Patchy fog will also likely develop where daytime rain took place.

Our boundaries from Friday hang around into Saturday and as our anticyclone builds further south in to the TN/MS Valley, the "ring of fire" around its northern periphery remains over eastern NY and western New England. While temperatures will not be hot as previous days, it will still be summer-like with high temperatures reaching into the low to mid 80s for much of the area. Dew points will also remain high enough to make it feel humid. Heat index values will luckily finally be below heat advisory criteria which will be a welcomed relief. Our region remaining in the "ring of fire" combined with the boundaries lingering overhead will allow for renewed convection during the peak heating hours once again. Overall instability will be weaker and the sfc boundaries will be less pronounced but with embedded shortwaves still tracking aloft within the fast westerly flow, strong shear may still be able to support some stronger storms. Guidance suggests the boundary starts to lift back northward as a warm front later in the afternoon which could be a more favorable time for more widespread shower and thunderstorm activity. We thus placed likely POPs Saturday afternoon.

Showers and storms coverage weakens Saturday night as front lifts north of the region. Just how far north the front reaches remains uncertain and northern areas could still see shower/storm activity should it not totally clear our area. Southerly winds return in the wake of the boundary and guidance suggests the warm sector that had finally left our region could make a return. Temperatures remain warm in the mid to upper 60s and it stay muggy.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Continued warm and humid conditions are expected to be in place at the start of the long term period on Sunday. Valley areas will be reaching into the upper 80s to low 90s once again, and some heat index values could be approaching advisory criteria in a few southern areas again. As a frontal boundary approaches from the west, another round of showers and t-storms look to occur during the afternoon and evening hours. With the expected warm and humid conditions, there should be enough instability in place, so will need to watch the threat for some stronger storms once again as well. There are some timing differences in the guidance regarding when the front moves through the area, as it could be crossing on Sunday night or even early Monday, but there should be enough forcing for an organized line or cluster of storms on Sunday.

Will keep POPs in the chance range for Sunday night into Monday, as the front and associated trough moves across the region. Once the front clears the area, less humid air will be moving towards the area, although this will be a fairly subtle change and temps will still be above normal. By late Monday, skies will be clearing out as well and the threat for precip will be lowering as well. Will still keep temps well into the 80s for Monday.

Quieter weather is expected for Tuesday with high pressure nearby. While it should be rain-free, temps will still be rather warm (valley areas in the mid to upper 80s) and it will be fairly humid (dewpoints into the 60s) as well.

The next system will impact the region around Wednesday with another round of showers and thunderstorms. In addition, temps will be fairly warm once again with humid conditions. More significant cooling and drying is expected towards Thursday behind this system.

AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Through 18z Friday...VFR conditions currently prevail across all TAF sites this afternoon as adjacent high pressure keeps hold over the region. An approaching disturbance has allowed a few pop-up thunderstorms to develop outside of terminal vicinities (in the Southwest Adirondacks) as of this update with the expectation that additional isolated to scattered storms will develop across the area throughout the afternoon.

Have included TEMPO groups at KALB/KGFL/KPSF for a couple of hours this afternoon to account for the possibility of storms crossing over terminal bounds. While latest CAMs have struggled to depict the ongoing convection, there is moderate confidence in pop-up storms impacting these terminals mainly between 20z this afternoon and 02z this evening. This will especially be true at KGFL where thunderstorms are more likely. IFR conditions are anticipated with thunderstorms due to reduced visibility from heavy downpours. Strong wind gusts and small hail are also possible.

Upon convection ending shortly after sunset due to the loss of daytime heating, VFR conditions will be returned to KALB/KGFL/KPSF with such conditions remaining steady at KPOU.
However, muggy conditions overnight, especially if KGFL and KPSF receive rain this afternoon/evening, will likely lead to fog development. MVFR to IFR conditions are definitely possible at KGFL and KPSF, however we did add BCFG at KALB for a couple of hours between 10-12z since model soundings are showing slower winds and increased surface humidity at that time. But this is also dependent on whether or not the vicinity receives rain to increase low-level humidity. Nonetheless, VFR conditions will then be returned to at all sites after 12z.

Winds throughout the period will generally be light out of the southwest to start and becoming northeasterly by the end of the period. Sustained speeds will reach 3-6 kt. However, should a stronger thunderstorm cross over one of the terminals, brief strong gusts are possible.

Outlook...

Friday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Scattered SHRA
TSRA.
Saturday: High Operational Impact
Numerous SHRA
TSRA.
Saturday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Scattered SHRA
TSRA.
Sunday: High Operational Impact
Likely SHRA
TSRA.
Sunday Night: High Operational Impact
Likely SHRA
TSRA.
Monday: Moderate Operational Impact. Breezy
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

CLIMATE
Record High Temperatures...

Thursday, June 20: Albany - 97 (1953)
Glens Falls - 97 (1923)
Poughkeepsie - 96 (2012)

Friday, June 21: Albany - 97 (1938)
Glens Falls - 96 (2012)
Poughkeepsie - 97 (1949)

Record High Minimum Temperatures...

Thursday, June 20: Albany - 73 (1893)
Glens Falls - 68 (1964)
Poughkeepsie - 71 (1931)

Friday, June 21: Albany - 72 (1923)
Glens Falls - 71 (1953)
Poughkeepsie - 73 (1931)

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for CTZ001.
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for CTZ013.
NY...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NYZ032-033- 038>043-047>054-058>061-063-082>084.
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for NYZ064>066.
MA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for MAZ001-025.
VT...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for VTZ013>015.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KGFL FLOYD BENNETT MEMORIAL,NY 18 sm26 minS 0810 smClear Thunderstorm 90°F75°F63%30.17
KRUT RUTLAND SOUTHERN VERMONT RGNL,VT 24 sm40 minW 0710 smA Few Clouds91°F70°F49%30.21
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Wind History graph: GFL
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Troy, Hudson River, New York
   
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Troy
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:34 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:43 AM EDT     5.31 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:34 AM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:57 PM EDT     3.74 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:33 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Troy, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
0.8
1
am
2.2
2
am
3.5
3
am
4.5
4
am
5.1
5
am
5.3
6
am
4.7
7
am
3.7
8
am
2.8
9
am
2
10
am
1
11
am
0.2
12
pm
0.1
1
pm
1
2
pm
2.1
3
pm
3
4
pm
3.5
5
pm
3.7
6
pm
3.4
7
pm
2.6
8
pm
1.8
9
pm
1.2
10
pm
0.8
11
pm
0.2


Tide / Current for Albany, New York
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Albany
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Thu -- 03:35 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:35 AM EDT     5.31 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:24 AM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:49 PM EDT     3.74 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:23 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Albany, New York, Tide feet
12
am
1
1
am
2.4
2
am
3.7
3
am
4.6
4
am
5.2
5
am
5.3
6
am
4.6
7
am
3.6
8
am
2.7
9
am
1.8
10
am
0.9
11
am
0.1
12
pm
0.2
1
pm
1.2
2
pm
2.3
3
pm
3.1
4
pm
3.6
5
pm
3.7
6
pm
3.3
7
pm
2.5
8
pm
1.7
9
pm
1.2
10
pm
0.7
11
pm
0.2


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Burlington, VT,




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