Kaktovik, AK Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Kaktovik, AK

April 15, 2024 4:38 PM AKDT (00:38 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:09 AM   Sunset 9:32 PM
Moonrise 12:00 AM   Moonset 12:00 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kaktovik, AK
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Area Discussion for - Fairbanks, AK
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FXAK69 PAFG 152319 AFDAFG

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 319 PM AKDT Mon Apr 15 2024

SYNOPSIS
Active weather pattern continues across Northern Alaska as a series of storms move east northeast. A low pressure system causing strong southerly winds, snow, and blowing snow from the Bering Strait north to Point Hope this afternoon with conditions improving tonight. A second system is approaching the Y-K Delta and will move north along the West Coast through Tuesday. Strong southerly winds, heavy snow, and blowing snow are expected to develop over the West Coast as the low moves north.

DISCUSSION
Synoptic Analysis and Forecast...
Aloft, at 500 mb, a 482 dam (decameter) low sits near the North Pole. Broad upper level troughing extends southwest from this low and across eastern Russia and into the Bering Sea with a shortwave stretching across Wrangel Island and Chukotka. This shortwave absorbs the energy from the wave moving north of St Matthew this evening and tonight. The shortwave slowly pushes east through Tuesday with the trough axis stretching from the low to Wrangel Island across the Gulf of Anadyr to east of Atka and south into the far North Pacific. A closed upper level low develops over the Gulf of Anadyr Tuesday afternoon, dropping south in to the Bering Wednesday. A 558 dam ridge is over the central Gulf of Alaska with the ridge axis stretching north to Glenallen to Circle to Mackenzie Bay. The ridge axis pushes east Tuesday to stretch from near Yakutat and into the Yukon and Northwest Territories. By Wednesday a 567 dam ridge center sets up over the southern Yukon with the ridge becoming negatively tilted by Thursday.

At the surface, a 996 mb low is near the North Pole. A 1003 mb low is 125 NM north of Utqiagvik with a front extending east over the offshore Arctic waters a front stretching southwest to the northeast Chukotsk Peninsula. This low and front quickly lifts northeast through tonight as the low moves to be 350 NM north of Kaktovik by Tuesday morning and then continuing northeast,with a front extending southwest to the northwest Arctic Coast. A 992 mb low 75 NM southeast of St Matthew Island moves northeast to be centered over the Bering Strait Tuesday morning weakening to 996 mb further weakening as it cross the northwest Arctic coast and then moves offshore north of Utqiagvik by Tuesday afternoon, resulting in an elongated trough/front that stretches from near the western Canadian Archipelago southwest to Point Hope and then south along the West Coast. By Wednesday, this front/trough stretches across the eastern Arctic waters to the Seward Peninsula and then south to the Aleutians. High pressure builds east across the Arctic Waters Wednesday and Thursday.

Models...
The 15/12Z models initialized well against the 12Z RAOBS and surface obs and are in good agreement with the overall synoptic pattern. Differences really don’t emerge until Tuesday night into Wednesday with the upper level low that develops over the Gulf of Anadyr that drops south into the Bering Sea. Models are well clustered in terms of strength but vary in placement with the GFS the farthest west and fastest to move south. Made only very minor changes to the inherited forecast package as it was in good shape and leaned towards a general model blend for the last twenty four hours.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
A low moving northeast off the Chukotsk Peninsula is dragging a front across the region, bringing snow, blowing snow, and gusty winds, especially to the northwest and western Arctic coast. South to southwest winds increase to 20 to 35 mph for the western and northwest Arctic coasts with gusts to 50 near Point Hope. At Utqiagvik winds have been gusting into the 30 mph range. Blowing snow has been reduced visibility to half a mile or less across these areas. Conditions expected to improve late this evening and tonight. Further east, drier conditions are expected and south to southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph will prevail. In the Brooks Range, southerly flow ramps up Monday into Tuesday with sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph and gusts of 40 to 50 mph. These southerly winds will cause areas of blowing snow reducing visibility to one half mile or less through Tuesday evening.

West Coast and Western Interior...
Strong southerly winds, snow, and blowing snow are ongoing this afternoon, as two systems impact the West Coast. The northernmost system is impacting the area from the Bering Strait coast, the Chukchi Sea coast and the Noatak Valley. Wind gusts of 30 to 50 mph have been reported, as well as periodic blizzard conditions and heavy snow. The second storm system is approaching the Y-K Delta this afternoon, where Chevak has dropped in visibility to a quarter mile or less with wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph. Strong southerly winds will spread north tonight and Tuesday with gusts up to 50 mph expected from the Seward Peninsula south. Areas of blowing snow will accompany these winds dropping visibility to a quarter mile or less along the Y-K Delta and the southern Seward Peninsula, and a half mile or less at times elsewhere along the coast. Some rain may mix in with the snow. Heaviest snow accumulations through Tuesday night of 6 to 12 inches of snow at Kivalina, Point Hope and Red Dog Mine, as well 6 to 12 inches over the southern Seward Peninsula from Golovin west. Unsettled conditions continue through the week.

Sea levels 2-3 feet above normal along the West Coast into Tuesday could cause water to push on top of the ice near shore.

Central and Eastern Interior...
Fairly quiet conditions across the Central and Eastern Interior this week as ridging aloft builds in, the exception being the along the south slopes of the central Brooks Range where falling combines with gusty southerly winds to produce visibility of half a mile or less along the Dalton tonight through Tuesday. West to southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph expected over the Interior summits through Tuesday. Southerly Chinook flow develops Monday in the Alaska Range with gusts up to 60 mph expected at this time.
Temperatures trend upwards this week with highs Tuesday in the 30s north and upper 40s and lower 50s south and highs in the upper 30s north to lower to mid 50s by Wednesday.

Extended Forecast Days 4-7...An Arctic low remains in place in the high Arctic this week while an upper level ridge axis becomes situated over the Eastern Interior and the Yukon. An upper level low develops over the Gulf of Anadyr with troughing extending south of the Aleutians.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AK...Winter Storm Warning for AKZ801-825.
Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ802-803.
Wind Advisory for AKZ849.
Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ809-812.
Winter Storm Warning for AKZ814.
Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ815.
Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ817.
Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ819.
Winter Storm Warning for AKZ820-821.
Winter Storm Warning for AKZ822-823.
Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ824.
Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ826.
Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ827.
PK...Gale Warning for PKZ801.
Gale Warning for PKZ802-850.
Gale Warning for PKZ803-805-852.
Gale Warning for PKZ804.
Gale Warning for PKZ806.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ807.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ808-809.
Gale Warning for PKZ810-855-856.
Gale Warning for PKZ811-812-857-858.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ813-814-860.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ816-817-851-859.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ816-817.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ851-859.
Gale Warning for PKZ853-854.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ861.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
PAAD POINT THOMSON AIRSTRIP,AK 16 sm23 minS 0910 smClear23°F16°F74%30.10
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Wind History from ABA
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Tide / Current for Flaxman Island, Alaska
   
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Flaxman Island
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Mon -- 12:22 AM AKDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:33 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:09 AM AKDT     0.61 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:14 AM AKDT     First Quarter
Mon -- 02:08 PM AKDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:58 PM AKDT     0.44 feet High Tide
Mon -- 09:55 PM AKDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Petro,Dome/Fairbanks,AK



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