Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Aguadilla, PR

.Short Term(Today through Monday)...
Issued at 330 AM AST Sat Feb 28 2026

Overnight conditions were generally calm across the USVI, with little or no rainfall. Meanwhile, a pocket of moisture brought showers mainly across east and south Puerto Rico, while the rest of the islands observed mostly quiet weather. Still over the region, a layer of cirrus clouds is moving across the northeastern Caribbean, while the east-southeast winds brought some low-level clouds. While writing this discussion, we observed temperatures in the upper 70s across the US Virgin Islands, in the mid- or low-70s along the coast, and in the mid-60s and even cooler across the higher elevations and valleys. Winds were mainly land breeze across the leeward sides of the islands, from the ESE at 5 to 10 mph, with some higher gusts at coastal stations in the windward locations.

The Azores High will dominate our local weather pattern, promoting breezy to locally windy ESE-SE winds over the next few days. Model guidance indicates 925 mb winds above normal levels (around the 75th percentile of the local climatology for this month). Although we expect good periods of sunshine or mostly clear skies, these breezy winds will bring pockets of moisture daily, resulting in quick-moving showers, especially across the windward locations. Then, by the afternoon, under the southeast wind flow, we cannot rule out some showers developing across the northwest quadrant of PR and downwind from the USVI. As a result, at times we anticipate periods of moderate to locally heavy rain, leading to ponding of water across portions of the islands.

Model guidance suggests near-normal to above-normal temperatures at 925 mb during the next few days. This trend could indicate warmer-than-normal temperatures across both PR and the USVI each day.

.Long Term(Tuesday through Saturday)...
Issued at 330 AM AST Sat Feb 28 2026

At the beginning of the long-term period, a broad surface high- pressure system will be positioned over the northeastern Atlantic, while another builds across the western Atlantic. This pattern will promote mainly easterly winds on Tuesday, shifting to predominantly northeasterly winds for the remainder of the period. As the pressure gradient tightens across our region, breezy to windy conditions are likely from Tuesday onward. As a result, winds will be one of the primary weather concerns. The wind risk will fluctuate from limited to elevated, particularly along coastal areas of the islands.
Residents should secure loose outdoor objects, as items may be blown around or damaged.

The latest model guidance suggests that moisture content will remain variable, oscillating between near-seasonal levels and slightly above normal as patches of moisture move within the trade wind flow.
Precipitable water values are expected to range between 1.20 and 1.60 inches. This pattern will support frequent passing showers, particularly during the overnight and morning hours across windward sectors, followed by afternoon convection each day over interior and western Puerto Rico. Fast-moving showers driven by strong winds should reduce rainfall accumulation and therefore limit the flood potential.

Around midweek, upper-level dynamics will become more favorable, with improved ventilation and cooler temperatures aloft (around -9 degrees C). These conditions could support a few isolated thunderstorms across western Puerto Rico during the afternoon, if convection develops. Across the U.S. Virgin Islands, mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies will prevail, with passing showers mainly during the nighttime and early morning hours. Winds will also remain a primary hazard throughout the long-term period across the islands.

The 925 mb temperature outlook indicates above-normal values at the beginning of the period, followed by a decrease to near-average levels for the remainder of the forecast. Daytime maximum temperatures are expected to range from the low to mid-80s across lower elevations of the islands and from the mid-70s across higher elevations.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 330 AM AST Sat Feb 28 2026

VFR conditions will prevail today. Although pockets of moisture embedded in the prevailing winds will result in some quick passing SHRA/-SHRA. During the afternoon, between 28/16-23z, some showers will develop across the interior and northwest. We do not anticipate extensive impacts to terminals. Expect SE winds at 5-10 kt overnight with higher gusts, and after 28/13z at 10-20 kt with gusts between 20 and 30 kt.

MARINE
Issued at 330 AM AST Sat Feb 28 2026

A broad surface high over the Atlantic will continue to tighten the local pressure gradient and promote fresh to locally strong east to east-southeast winds. Although this high will remain near the region, another broad surface high will build over the western to central Atlantic at the start of the next workweek, sustaining fresh to strong winds. Expect E–ESE winds to back slightly to the east- northeast by midweek. These conditions will maintain choppy to rough seas across the regional waters through the weekend and into early next week, especially across the Atlantic and Caribbean Offshore waters and local passages. Small craft should continue to exercise caution.

BEACH FORECAST
Issued at 330 AM AST Sat Feb 28 2026

Nearshore buoys have already shown decreased wave heights early this morning, which has resulted in somewhat lower breaking wave action along local beaches. However, breezy to windy winds will create favorable conditions for the development of rip currents across the region, prevailing through the weekend and early next week.

Therefore, a moderate risk of rip currents will persist for most of the local beaches in Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands.
Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the surf zone, particularly along expose beaches.

Looking ahead, another northerly swell will likely arrive by midweek next week, potentially resulting in hazardous beach conditions once again.

For localized and updated rip current information, visit weather.gov/beach/sju.

SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PR...None.
VI...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM AST Sunday for AMZ711-723.

Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 5 PM AST Sunday for AMZ733.

Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM to 5 PM AST Sunday for AMZ741.