Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Buchanan Lake Village, TX
January 14, 2025 8:25 PM CST (02:25 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 7:29 AM Sunset 5:52 PM Moonrise 6:48 PM Moonset 8:21 AM |
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Area Discussion for Austin/San Antonio, TX
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FXUS64 KEWX 142358 AAA AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 558 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2025
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 216 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2025
Key Messages...
- Rain chances for areas generally along and east of I-35 Wednesday.
Plenty of high clouds are in place across south central Texas, with observations also showing a deck of clouds in the 5-6K AGL range spreading northward with time. The clouds are courtesy of warm air advection and based on the latest data, we will see this pattern remain intact overnight into Wednesday morning. Continued warm air advection will result in plenty of cloud cover tonight across the vast majority of the region. The clouds will keep temperatures warmer compared to last night and most areas will see overnight lows in the mid 30s to mid 40s. A few spots across northern Val Verde into northern Edwards counties could see temperatures drop to near freezing as low clouds may not move into this area until sunrise Wednesday. The warm air advection should also result in some light rain showers expanding northward from the coastal and Rio Grande plains into most of the I-35 corridor early Wednesday morning. Rain chances will be highest over the coastal plains, but rainfall amounts are expected to remain at or below 1/4" for the region.
Clouds, light rain and northerly winds will keep temperatures down in the 50s for most locations on Wednesday. Partly to mostly clouds skies are in store Wednesday night as precipitation ends. Look for overnight lows in the lower 30s to lower 40s.
LONG TERM
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 216 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2025
Key Messages...
- Warming trend continues through Saturday - Very High confidence(80-100%) for below normal temperatures occurring Sunday through Wednesday - Low confidence of precipitation(0-20%) occurring Monday-Tuesday
Thursday continues our warming trend with most area's highs in the mid 60s and lows in the low to mid 40s. Friday looks warmer with highs generally around 70 with a bit more clouds compared to thursday. For Saturday temperatures look to rise into the upper 60s to near 70 although could be warmer depending on when the cold front moves through the area. However what is agreed upon by the models is the crashing of temps due to strong CAA starting Saturday evening with lows waking up Sunday morning around 30 degrees for most with areas in the Hill Country in the mid 20s. Thus a hard freeze is expected at this time. Temperatures do not rebound much for Sunday with highs barely reaching 50 with the Hill Country looking to be stuck in the low to mid 40s which is well below normal for this time of year.
Speaking of below normal temperatures..following this Arctic air blast low temps for Monday are forecast to be in the low to mid 20s areawide with some teens showing up in the Hill Country. Highs and low temperatures trend colder each day throughout the end of the forecast period. This looks to be a more prolonged cold snap which is something we haven't really had this winter so far. another thing to keep is mind is Cold Weather advisories may need to be issued for several days if the forecast continues to trend colder. Now is the time to prepare the four P's People, Pets, Pipes, and Plants.
Regarding precip chances, there are some signs from the ensembles and Global models of some form of precip occurring during the Monday to Tuesday timeframe however as we saw with the last system its far too early to state specifics at this time. Stay tuned to future forecasts as more details come into focus.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 544 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2025
VFR conditions are forecast for local terminals through at least 06Z Wednesday. After 06Z Wed, MVFR cigs are forecast to affect the San Antonio terminals with light north to northeast winds prevailing through the overnight hours into Wednesday morning. For KAUS, light rain is forecast to arrive around 11Z Wed. and lingers through 18Z Wed. VFR cigs are forecast to remain through the forecast period for KAUS. Out west, KDRT staying with light winds out of the east tonight through the overnight period. Low clouds arrive after day-break, however, stays VFR. Light westerly winds are forecast for KDRT for most of the day on Wednesday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Austin Camp Mabry 44 58 39 67 / 10 20 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 45 57 37 66 / 20 20 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 45 57 39 66 / 20 30 0 10 Burnet Muni Airport 40 57 36 64 / 10 10 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 43 62 42 66 / 10 10 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 42 57 35 65 / 10 10 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 45 58 37 64 / 20 20 0 10 San Marcos Muni Airport 45 56 37 65 / 20 30 0 10 La Grange - Fayette Regional 46 55 37 64 / 20 40 10 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 46 57 40 64 / 20 30 0 10 Stinson Muni Airport 47 57 40 65 / 30 40 0 10
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 558 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2025
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 216 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2025
Key Messages...
- Rain chances for areas generally along and east of I-35 Wednesday.
Plenty of high clouds are in place across south central Texas, with observations also showing a deck of clouds in the 5-6K AGL range spreading northward with time. The clouds are courtesy of warm air advection and based on the latest data, we will see this pattern remain intact overnight into Wednesday morning. Continued warm air advection will result in plenty of cloud cover tonight across the vast majority of the region. The clouds will keep temperatures warmer compared to last night and most areas will see overnight lows in the mid 30s to mid 40s. A few spots across northern Val Verde into northern Edwards counties could see temperatures drop to near freezing as low clouds may not move into this area until sunrise Wednesday. The warm air advection should also result in some light rain showers expanding northward from the coastal and Rio Grande plains into most of the I-35 corridor early Wednesday morning. Rain chances will be highest over the coastal plains, but rainfall amounts are expected to remain at or below 1/4" for the region.
Clouds, light rain and northerly winds will keep temperatures down in the 50s for most locations on Wednesday. Partly to mostly clouds skies are in store Wednesday night as precipitation ends. Look for overnight lows in the lower 30s to lower 40s.
LONG TERM
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 216 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2025
Key Messages...
- Warming trend continues through Saturday - Very High confidence(80-100%) for below normal temperatures occurring Sunday through Wednesday - Low confidence of precipitation(0-20%) occurring Monday-Tuesday
Thursday continues our warming trend with most area's highs in the mid 60s and lows in the low to mid 40s. Friday looks warmer with highs generally around 70 with a bit more clouds compared to thursday. For Saturday temperatures look to rise into the upper 60s to near 70 although could be warmer depending on when the cold front moves through the area. However what is agreed upon by the models is the crashing of temps due to strong CAA starting Saturday evening with lows waking up Sunday morning around 30 degrees for most with areas in the Hill Country in the mid 20s. Thus a hard freeze is expected at this time. Temperatures do not rebound much for Sunday with highs barely reaching 50 with the Hill Country looking to be stuck in the low to mid 40s which is well below normal for this time of year.
Speaking of below normal temperatures..following this Arctic air blast low temps for Monday are forecast to be in the low to mid 20s areawide with some teens showing up in the Hill Country. Highs and low temperatures trend colder each day throughout the end of the forecast period. This looks to be a more prolonged cold snap which is something we haven't really had this winter so far. another thing to keep is mind is Cold Weather advisories may need to be issued for several days if the forecast continues to trend colder. Now is the time to prepare the four P's People, Pets, Pipes, and Plants.
Regarding precip chances, there are some signs from the ensembles and Global models of some form of precip occurring during the Monday to Tuesday timeframe however as we saw with the last system its far too early to state specifics at this time. Stay tuned to future forecasts as more details come into focus.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 544 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2025
VFR conditions are forecast for local terminals through at least 06Z Wednesday. After 06Z Wed, MVFR cigs are forecast to affect the San Antonio terminals with light north to northeast winds prevailing through the overnight hours into Wednesday morning. For KAUS, light rain is forecast to arrive around 11Z Wed. and lingers through 18Z Wed. VFR cigs are forecast to remain through the forecast period for KAUS. Out west, KDRT staying with light winds out of the east tonight through the overnight period. Low clouds arrive after day-break, however, stays VFR. Light westerly winds are forecast for KDRT for most of the day on Wednesday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Austin Camp Mabry 44 58 39 67 / 10 20 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 45 57 37 66 / 20 20 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 45 57 39 66 / 20 30 0 10 Burnet Muni Airport 40 57 36 64 / 10 10 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 43 62 42 66 / 10 10 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 42 57 35 65 / 10 10 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 45 58 37 64 / 20 20 0 10 San Marcos Muni Airport 45 56 37 65 / 20 30 0 10 La Grange - Fayette Regional 46 55 37 64 / 20 40 10 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 46 57 40 64 / 20 30 0 10 Stinson Muni Airport 47 57 40 65 / 30 40 0 10
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KAQO
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KAQO
Wind History Graph: AQO
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of southern planes -- texas
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Central Texas,
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