Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Valley, AL

DISCUSSION
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 1258 PM CDT TUE JUN 23 2026

Current surface obs indicate the frontal boundary is stalled to our south along the Gulf Coast. Dewpoints range from the mid 60s north to lower 70s south, and humidity is slightly lower today than it has been recently. Broad ridging over the Desert Southwest and persistent cyclonic flow over the Great Lakes and Midwest regions will influence northwesterly flow across Central Alabama. An embedded shortwave trough will spark convection from Oklahoma through Arkansas tonight. This forcing will shift eastward by tomorrow and additional thunderstorm activity is expected to progress into Mississippi tomorrow morning. PoPs were raised given the medium confidence in the arrival of a decaying MCS or additional thunderstorm development in southwestern portions of our area tomorrow afternoon. This activity is expected to diminish as it moves eastward into the evening hours, potentially producing some strong wind gusts. Thereafter, the forecast trends drier and warmer as the Bermuda High begins to build westward where it will become centered over the Gulf Coast by this weekend. This will result in a warming trend with heat indices approaching the triple digits nearly each day from Friday into early next week.

86/Martin

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 614 PM CDT TUE JUN 23 2026

VFR conditions prevail through this TAF cycle. Winds will become light and variable overnight, increasing to around 10 knots out of the north through the day Wednesday. We opted to introduce a PROB30 for TSRA across the northern sites from 20Z-00Z Wednesday evening. Confidence is fairly low as the latest CAMs struggle with how much of a MCS to our west makes it out of Mississippi.

Note: METARs from AUO are available but missing data; therefore, AMD NOT SKED continues.

95/Castillo

FIRE WEATHER

High rain chances continue as we will remain in a wet pattern through the work week. Ample moisture in place will keep MinRH values above 50% through the entire forecast period. Elevated fire weather concerns are not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 60 85 66 88 / 0 10 20 20 Anniston 61 85 67 88 / 0 0 20 20 Birmingham 63 86 69 88 / 0 20 30 30 Tuscaloosa 65 86 70 89 / 0 50 50 40 Calera 63 89 68 90 / 0 30 40 30 Auburn 65 87 69 87 / 0 0 20 20 Montgomery 65 87 69 88 / 0 30 40 30 Troy 64 88 68 88 / 0 10 40 40

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.